Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
If you’re searching for a detailed and reliable Bulgaria vs Turkiye prediction, you’re in the right place. This World Cup Qualification Europe match is set for October 11, 2025, at Sofia’s iconic Vasil Levski National Stadium, and it’s shaping up to be a fascinating encounter—especially for those interested in betting odds, team form, and tactical battles. Let’s break down what you need to know, from head to head history to total goals and our AI-powered tips for the 1x2 market.
For the first time in their history, Bulgaria and Turkiye will face off in a competitive fixture. The hosts, Bulgaria, are stepping into a new era under recently-appointed head coach Aleksandar Dimitrov. Dimitrov, who made his name with Bulgaria’s U21 squad, is making his senior debut after Ilian Iliev’s resignation—prompted by a rough patch that included consecutive 3-0 defeats in the qualifiers. The home side has endured a seven-game winless streak, with heavy losses to Spain and Georgia, and a 0-4 friendly defeat to Greece. Their last glimmer of hope came almost a year ago, when they held Serbia to a 2-2 draw away, shocking many with odds of 15.76.
On the other side, Turkiye arrives in Sofia with a more stable setup. Vincenzo Montella, whose contract now runs until 2028, has crafted a squad with a strong mix of experience and youth. Despite a bruising 0-6 loss to Spain in qualifying, Turkiye’s recent form is generally solid—six wins, two draws, and just two losses. They’ve beaten Georgia 3-2 in qualifiers and have shown their strength in the UEFA Nations League, notching up wins against Hungary. The away squad’s total value dwarfs Bulgaria’s (€430m vs €44.35m), and with a core of players like Arda Guler (Real Madrid), captain Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Inter Milan), and Baris Yilmaz returning from suspension, they look ready to get the job done.
Tactically, Bulgaria is still a bit of a mystery under Dimitrov. In their last outing against Spain, they lined up defensively in a 5-4-1, sometimes shifting to a 5-3-2, hoping to frustrate opponents and strike on the counter. With little firepower up front and a recent record of conceding goals, expect them to stay compact and hope for a lucky break.
Turkiye, meanwhile, is likely to stick to Montella’s preferred 4-2-3-1. They love to spread the play, use long passes, and whip in early crosses for their quick forwards. Set pieces are another weapon, and with Çalhanoğlu pulling the strings in midfield, Turkiye can switch gears quickly. Their defense can be shaky—conceding 1.7 goals per game on average—but against Bulgaria’s blunt attack, they’ll feel confident.
Now, let’s get into the numbers. The betting odds are stacked heavily in Turkiye’s favor: a home win sits at 12.5, a draw at 5.6, and an away win at just 1.25. Our AI’s Bulgaria vs Turkiye prediction is clear—an away win is the best tip, with a trust rating of 10.0 out of 10. For the 1x2 market, the recommendation is again for Turkiye (2), with the same sky-high trust level and odds of 1.25.
Looking at total goals, our AI expects over 2.5 goals, with a trust rating of 4.9 and odds of 1.65. The predicted final score? A convincing 0:3 win for Turkiye, with the away side expected to dominate possession (70% to Bulgaria’s 30%), fire off 18 shots to Bulgaria’s 3, and rack up 6 corners to the hosts’ 1. In terms of discipline, expect a couple of yellow cards for Bulgaria and one for Turkiye.
In summary, all signs—form, squad value, tactics, and AI prediction—point to a comfortable Turkiye victory in Sofia. While Bulgaria will hope for another surprise like their draw in Serbia, the odds and stats suggest they’ll be up against it. For punters and fans alike, keep an eye on Turkiye’s attacking stars and expect the visitors to take all three points.
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2 -400
Turkiye is expected to win with odds of -4002 -400
Turkiye is expected to win with odds of -400Over 2.5 -154
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -159
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&O2.5 -147
Away win/draw and over 2.5 goals
0:3
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World - World Cup - Qualification Europe| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Spain | 5 | 19-0 | 15 |
| 2 |
Türkiye | 5 | 15-10 | 12 |
| 3 |
Georgia | 5 | 6-13 | 3 |
| 4 |
Bulgaria | 5 | 1-18 | 0 |
