Burnley vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Burnley vs Crystal Palace Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Betting Tips

The Burnley vs Crystal Palace prediction for December 3, 2025, is shaping up to be a fascinating one for Premier League fans and bettors alike. With kick-off set for 19:30 GMT at Turf Moor, both teams arrive with very different ambitions and recent form. Let’s break down the match, the stats, and the best betting tips in simple, clear terms.

Form Guide, Tactics, and Team News

Crystal Palace, under Oliver Glasner, have been one of the season’s surprise packages. Sitting 5th in the table with 20 points from 12 games, Palace have impressed with a strong defense—just 9 goals conceded so far. Their recent 2-0 win away at Wolves showed how organized and mature they’ve become. Burnley, on the other hand, are struggling. Scott Parker’s side is 19th, deep in the relegation zone, with only 10 points and a worrying 24 goals conceded.

Injuries are a concern for both teams:

• Burnley: C. Roberts (knee), J. Beyer (hamstring), and Z. Amdouni (cruciate ligament) are all out.
• Crystal Palace: C. Doucouré (knee surgery), Chadi Riad (cruciate ligament), C. Kporha (back), and R. Cardines (adductor) are missing, with Will Hughes a doubt.

Offensively, Burnley’s Jaidon Anthony has been a bright spot with 4 goals and 1 assist, while Jean-Philippe Mateta leads the line for Palace with 6 goals. In goal, Martin Dubravka is expected to start for Burnley, while Dean Henderson will likely be between the sticks for Palace.

Managerial Insights and Tactical Setups

Glasner’s tactical approach has transformed Palace into a tough team to break down, building on their FA Cup win and 10th-place finish last season. However, he’s voiced concerns about the club’s lack of transfer activity, which could become an issue as the season progresses. Parker, meanwhile, has been open about Burnley’s struggles, especially after a tough loss to Brentford.

Head to Head: History and Recent Meetings

Looking at the head to head record, Burnley and Crystal Palace have met 24 times, with each side winning 9 and 6 draws. But recent history favors Palace. Their last two meetings saw Palace win 3-0 at home and 2-0 at Turf Moor. The bookmakers seem to agree: the betting odds for a Palace win are 1.77, while a Burnley home win is priced at a long 5.2.

A fun historical note: in May 1979, Palace secured promotion to the top flight by beating Burnley in front of over 51,000 fans—a match still remembered by both sets of supporters.

Stats and Betting Markets: What the Numbers Say

• Possession: Burnley 48%, Palace 52% (expected)
• Shots: Burnley 8, Palace 14
• Shots on target: Burnley 3, Palace 4
• Total corners: 6 (Burnley 2, Palace 4)
• Yellow cards: 1 each
• Team values: Burnley €247.15m, Palace €484.53m

In their last head to head at Turf Moor, Palace won 2-0. Burnley’s last big result was a 1-1 draw at Manchester United, defying the odds. Palace, meanwhile, held Liverpool to a 2-2 draw at Anfield earlier this season.

AI Predictions and Best Bets

Now, let’s talk about the Burnley vs Crystal Palace prediction from our AI at NerdyTips. The most reliable tip is over 1.5 total goals, with odds of 1.33 and a trust rating of 5.8/10. This means at least two goals are expected in the match. The over/under market agrees, making this the safest pick.

• Best tip: Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.33, trust 5.8/10)
• Best 1x2 bet: Palace to win (odds 1.77, trust 3.5/10)
• Final score prediction: Burnley 1-2 Crystal Palace
• Half-time prediction: 0-1 to Palace

The odds reflect the gap in quality and form. Palace are favorites for a reason, but Burnley have shown they can surprise bigger teams, as they did against Manchester United. Still, with Palace’s solid defense and attacking edge, the away win looks like the smart play.

Summary: Burnley vs Crystal Palace Prediction and Betting Advice

To sum up, our Burnley vs Crystal Palace prediction is for a Palace win, with at least two goals in the match. The stats, recent head to head results, and betting odds all point toward a narrow but deserved Palace victory. For bettors, over 1.5 total goals is the safest market, but a straight Palace win offers solid value.

Keep an eye on the team news before kick-off, but all signs suggest Palace’s strong season will continue at Turf Moor.