Burnley vs Tottenham Prediction

Burnley vs Tottenham Prediction: Odds, Tips & Story-Style Preview

If you’re searching for a smart Burnley vs Tottenham prediction ahead of the Premier League’s January 24, 2026 fixture, you’re in the right place. With the match set for a 15:00 GMT kickoff at Turf Moor, both teams have plenty to prove—and punters plenty to ponder. Let’s break down the tactics, team news, and betting tips, then see what our AI thinks about the outcome.

Team News, Tactics & Recent Form: The Tale of Two Struggles

Burnley and Tottenham might not be lighting up the top half of the table, but there’s no shortage of drama here. Burnley, currently 19th after 22 matches, are fighting for survival. Three wins, five draws, and fourteen losses tell their story, but don’t let the numbers fool you—Vincent Kompany’s men have recently found a bit of grit. Their last three home league games? One win, one draw, one loss, and a noticeable uptick in goals scored and possession (now just over 50%). That’s not bad for a side that’s spent much of the season chasing the ball.

Tottenham, meanwhile, sit 14th with 27 points from 22 games. Their campaign has been a mixed bag: seven wins, six draws, and a recent run of three wins and two draws in their last five league matches. But if you’re looking for consistency, look elsewhere—Spurs have also lost half of their last six league outings. Injuries haven’t helped, with key men like James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, and Destiny Udogie missing in action. The good news? Yves Bissouma is back, and Richarlison might just lead the line (depending on which injury report you believe).

• Burnley’s last big result: a 1-1 draw away at Liverpool, defying odds of 14.0.
• Tottenham’s away highlight: a 2-0 win at Manchester City, with odds of 5.8.

Head to Head: History Favors Spurs, But Turf Moor Can Surprise

The Burnley vs Tottenham head to head record leans heavily Spurs’ way. In their last six meetings, Burnley have lost three, including two by at least a two-goal margin. Turf Moor hasn’t exactly been a fortress—just one home win for Burnley over Spurs in their last five attempts. The most recent league meeting? A comfortable 3-0 win for Tottenham back in August 2025.

Still, Burnley fans will remember February 2022, when they snatched a 1-0 win over Tottenham despite being big underdogs. Turf Moor can serve up surprises—just ask Liverpool.

Betting Tips & AI Predictions: What the Numbers Say

Let’s get to the heart of this Burnley vs Tottenham prediction: the betting tips and stats. Bookmakers have Spurs as away favorites at 2.15, with a home win at 3.7 and the draw at 3.45. But what does the data say?

1. X2 (Tottenham win or draw) is the recommended tip from NerdyTips’ AI, with a confidence of 4.2.150 and odds of 1.32. It’s not the boldest call, but it’s based on Tottenham’s historical edge and Burnley’s struggles.
2. 1x2 Market: Away Win is our most likely outcome, with a confidence of 3.3 and odds of 2.15. The AI expects Spurs’ superior squad value (€873.5m vs Burnley’s €249.65m) and attacking threat to make the difference.
3. Under 3.5 Goals is another tip, with a trust rating of 3.1 and odds of 1.32. Both teams have struggled for goals at times, and Burnley’s recent defensive improvements suggest a tight affair.

• Predicted final score: Burnley 1-2 Tottenham
• Half-time prediction: 0-1 to Tottenham
• Expected shots: Burnley 11 (3 on target), Tottenham 14 (4 on target)
• Possession: Burnley 53%, Tottenham 47%
• Corners: Burnley 6, Tottenham 2
• Yellow cards: Burnley 1, Tottenham 2

Final Thoughts: Our Burnley vs Tottenham Prediction

This one has the makings of a classic Premier League scrap. Burnley have shown they can frustrate the big boys, but Tottenham’s quality—despite a crowded treatment room—should see them edge it. The best betting tip is X2 (Tottenham win or draw), but if you fancy a bit more risk, the away win at 2.15 looks tempting. For those who like a goals market, under 3.5 goals feels like a safe play.

In summary, our Burnley vs Tottenham prediction is a 2.15 away win for Spurs. Expect a tight first half, a few nervy moments, and maybe—just maybe—a late Tottenham winner to keep their fans dreaming of better days ahead. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as Burnley’s defending!