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Match Prediction

CA River Plate vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction

Finished
Uruguay flag Uruguay
Primera División

CA River Plate

€114.20m

22 Jun10:00
2 : 1

Liverpool

€12.62m

Preview

CA River Plate vs Liverpool Prediction Primera División - Apertura

CA River Plate vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Smart Bets for 22 June 2025

Welcome, football fans and betting enthusiasts! If you’re searching for a friendly, stats-packed, and easy-to-read CA River Plate vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction, you’ve come to the right place. With the Primera División - Apertura fixture set for 22 June 2025 at Parque Federico Omar Saroldi, we’ll break down the numbers, recent form, and betting odds—plus a dash of that classic football banter you’d expect from a seasoned NerdyTips publisher.

Setting the Scene: High Value, Tight Odds

Let’s start with the basics: River Plate’s squad is valued at a whopping €114.20m, while Liverpool Montevideo’s comes in at €12.62m. That’s not just a difference; it’s a chasm! Yet, the betting odds tell a different story:

  • River Plate win: 4.0
  • Draw: 3.45
  • Liverpool Montevideo win: 1.79

Despite River Plate’s financial muscle, the bookmakers are giving Liverpool Montevideo the edge. It’s like bringing a bazooka to a water balloon fight and still being the underdog. But football, as we all know, loves to keep us guessing.

Head to Head: History Repeats (or Draws)

Looking at the recent head to head results, it’s clear these teams know how to keep things tight:

  • 2024-10-04: River Plate 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo
  • 2025-04.06: Liverpool Montevideo 0-0 River Plate

Two matches, two draws, and a grand total of two goals. If you’re hoping for a goal fest, you might want to lower your expectations—or at least keep your popcorn portioned out.

League Trends: Draws and Low Scoring Games

The Primera División stats back up the trend:

  • Home win rate: 36.1%
  • Away win rate: 27.4%
  • Draws: 36.5%
  • Both teams scored: 44.7%
  • Over 1.5 goals: 64.4%
  • Over 2.5 goals: 40.3%
  • Over 4.0 goals: 21.4%

Draws are almost as common as a half-time pie at Saroldi, and high-scoring games are rare. Only about one in five matches see more than three goals. This is music to the ears of under-goals bettors and those who like their football with a side of tactical chess.

AI Predictions and Best Bets: Under Goals Is King

NerdyTips’ AI has crunched the numbers and offers a CA River Plate vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction that’s as clear as a well-taken penalty:

  • Best tip: Under 4.0 goals (odds 1.33, trust rating 7.3/10)
  • Statistically best under/over bet: Under 4.0 goals (trust 7.4, odds 1.33)
  • 1x2 prediction: Home win (River Plate) with trust 1.4 and odds 4.0
  • AI predicted score: River Plate 1-0 Liverpool Montevideo (0-0 at half-time)

So, while the bookmakers favor Liverpool Montevideo, the AI is quietly backing River Plate to sneak a win—likely with the only goal of the match coming after the break. If you’re a fan of nail-biting, low-scoring affairs, this one’s for you.

Betting Value: Where’s the Smart Money?

Here’s where it gets interesting for bettors:

  1. Under 4.0 goals is the safest pick, with strong league trends and a history of tight head to head matches. At 1.33 odds, it’s not going to make you rich, but it’s a solid addition to your accumulator.
  2. River Plate to win at 4.0 odds is a bold shout, especially given their squad value and the AI’s prediction. If you like a punt on the underdog (who’s actually the richer team), this could be your ticket.
  3. The draw at 3.45 is tempting, given the 36.5% league draw rate and the last two head to head results. If you’re torn, this is the classic fence-sitter’s choice.

Recent Form: Liverpool’s Surprise and River’s Resilience

Liverpool Montevideo’s recent 3-0 away win over Penarol (with odds of 5.4!) shows they can spring a surprise. But River Plate have shown they can hold firm, especially at home. With no referee assigned yet, expect both teams to play it safe early on—just as the AI predicts with a goalless first half.

Final Thoughts: Prediction and Tips

To wrap up our CA River Plate vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction, here’s what we’re thinking:

  • Expect a tight, tactical battle with few goals.
  • Under 4.0 goals is the smart, stats-backed bet.
  • River Plate, despite the odds, have the home value and AI support to nick a narrow win.
  • Draws are always in play, so don’t rule out another stalemate.

Whatever you choose, remember: football is unpredictable, but with the right stats and a sprinkle of humor, even the toughest fixtures can be fun to follow. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as your matchday banter!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for CA River Plate vs Liverpool

U3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 300

CA River Plate is expected to win with odds of 300
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -105

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 121

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Average / Match

1.6
Total Goals
2.3
0.4
Goals Scored
1.3
1.2
Goals Against
1

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
5
3
Over 1.5 Goals
6
3
Over 2.5 Goals
3
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
2
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

CA River Plate
11 - 8 - 10
Liverpool Montevideo
CA River Plate River P 22-Jun-25
2:1
Liverpool Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool 06-Apr-25
0:0
River P CA River Plate
CA River Plate River P 04-Oct-24
1:1
Liverpool Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool 30-Mar-24
1:1
River P CA River Plate
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool 06-Dec-23
2:1
River P CA River Plate
CA River Plate River P 13-May-23
2:0
Liverpool Liverpool Montevideo
CA River Plate River P 13-Oct-22
0:1
Liverpool Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool 22-May-22
2:1
River P CA River Plate
CA River Plate River P 16-Mar-22
2:0
Liverpool Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool 09-Mar-22
0:1
River P CA River Plate

Profile time Recent Matches of River P

Profile time Recent Matches of Liverpool

13 JanLiverpool M. Liverpool M..
-
Albion.Albion

Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Penarol Penarol7
15-5
16
2 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sport7
12-10
14
3 Wanderers Wanderers7
6-5
12
4 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia7
6-7
8
5 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Mont7
10-12
8
6 Cerro Cerro7
7-9
8
7 CA River Plate CA River Plate6
4-8
4
8 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo6
5-9
2
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