Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Italy
Preview
Spring football in Italy’s Serie D doesn't always grab the headlines, but there’s something quietly compelling about the upcoming fixture between Cairese and Gozzano. Kicking off at 14:00 GMT on March 30th at the quaint Stadio Cesare Brin, this one might not be a blockbuster, but it’s got all the makings of a tactical slow-burner. And if you’re a betting enthusiast looking for value, our Cairese vs Gozzano prediction might just be your ticket to a smart punt.
Let’s start with the basics: the odds. Bookmakers have tilted this one in favor of the visitors, with Gozzano priced at 1.7 to take all three points. A draw sits at 3.52, while a Cairese win is the long shot at 4.55. Given the form book and a bit of historical insight, it’s not hard to see why.
Both teams have had moments of quiet resilience this season, with each pulling off unlikely draws in recent months. Cairese, for instance, ground out a gritty 0-0 away to Ligorna back in December — a result that raised eyebrows given their lofty odds of 7.5. Gozzano, too, pulled a rabbit out of the hat with a goalless draw against Lavagnese in October, also defying odds north of 6.0. So yes, both sides know how to frustrate their opponents when the chips are down.
But here’s the thing — Gozzano come into this one with a slightly stronger pedigree and a deeper squad, valued at €1.30m compared to Cairese’s €1.03m. That’s not a huge gap, but in Serie D terms, it can make a difference, especially when you’re looking for that edge in a tight contest.
Then there’s the league-wide trend to consider. In Serie D - Girone A, away teams don’t usually dominate — they win just 24.2% of the time. But that stat is balanced by the high draw rate of 43.2%, suggesting that while home advantage exists, it’s hardly overwhelming. Gozzano’s away form might not be electric, but it’s solid enough to get the job done against a Cairese side that’s struggled to convert chances into goals.
So, onto the good stuff. Our trusted AI prediction for Cairese vs Gozzano is a narrow away win for Gozzano, with a projected final score of 0-1, a confidence rating of 1.2 out of 10, and odds of 1.7 — not the most confident call, but statistically the best value on the board.
Gozzano’s more structured approach and slightly higher squad value give them the edge in what’s expected to be a low-scoring affair. In fact, our AI is also backing the under 2.5 goals market with a confidence level of 1.0 and odds of 1.68. Considering that only 37.9% of Serie D games go over 2.5 goals and just 20.7% break the 3.5 mark, that under bet feels more like a lean than a gamble.
This game may not light up the scoreboard, but it’s a classic Serie D chess match in the making. Cairese will likely look to hold shape and frustrate, while Gozzano will try to nick a goal and manage the tempo. If you’re tuning in or placing a bet, think defense, patience, and maybe one moment of quality separating the sides.
So there you have it — the Cairese vs Gozzano prediction leans toward the visitors sneaking a win, with a side dish of low-scoring probability. Not the most glamorous pick, but sometimes the smartest bets are the ones that don’t shout — they whisper. And this weekend, Gozzano might just be whispering all the way to three points.
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2 -143
Gozzano is expected to win with odds of -1432 -143
Gozzano is expected to win with odds of -143Under 2.5 -147
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -137
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -294
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
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0
-
0
-
2
|
|
 Cairese |
30-Mar-25
1:2
| Gozzano  |
| Gozzano |
17-Nov-24
2:1
| Cairese |
Recent Matches of Cairese| 01 Feb |
Asti.
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-
| Cairese.
| |
| 25 Jan | D |
Cairese.
|
1:1
| Varese FC.
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Recent Matches of Gozzano
| 25 Jan | L | Gozzano. |
0:1 |
Sanremese. |
Italy - Serie D - Girone A| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bra | 36 | 70-24 | 78 |
| 2 |
NovaRomentin | 36 | 75-27 | 71 |
| 3 |
Vado | 36 | 51-37 | 65 |
| 4 |
Gozzano | 36 | 52-34 | 65 |
| 5 |
Lavagnese | 36 | 49-35 | 64 |
| 6 |
Città di | 36 | 47-34 | 62 |
| 7 |
Ligorna | 36 | 55-42 | 58 |
| 8 |
Chisola | 36 | 43-37 | 50 |
| 9 |
Saluzzo | 36 | 39-35 | 50 |
| 10 |
Sanremese | 36 | 31-33 | 45 |
| 11 |
Asti | 36 | 36-46 | 45 |
| 12 |
Derthona | 36 | 41-50 | 44 |
| 13 |
Oltrepò | 36 | 38-59 | 40 |
| 14 |
Imperia | 36 | 52-58 | 38 |
| 15 |
Vogherese | 36 | 31-44 | 37 |
| 16 |
Cairese | 36 | 32-47 | 37 |
| 17 |
Chieri | 36 | 33-58 | 31 |
| 18 |
Borgaro Nobis | 36 | 34-77 | 28 |
| 19 |
Fossano | 36 | 31-63 | 26 |
| 20 |
Albenga | 0 | 0-0 | 0 |
