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Match Prediction

Cali vs Atletico Nacional Prediction

Finished
Colombia flag Colombia
Primera A

Cali

€9.35m

21 Apr00:20
1 : 0

Atletico

€25.60m

Preview

Cali vs Atletico  Prediction Primera A

When Deportivo Cali and Atletico Nacional face off on April 21, 2025, at Estadio Deportivo Cali, it won’t just be another game on the Primera A calendar. This is a clash dripping with history, pride, and the kind of tension that makes football fans cancel their plans. Whether you’re here for the drama, the betting tips, or just to see who comes out on top, we’ve got you covered with a breakdown that’s equal parts stats and storytelling.

Why This Game Matters

The stakes? High. The atmosphere? Electric. Estadio Deportivo Cali will be rocking, especially after their last meeting—a 3-2 thriller in February 2024 where Cali defied the odds. But this time, the script might flip. Nacional arrives as the favorite, despite the home crowd’s roar. The league table, recent form, and that pesky €25.6 million squad value gap (compared to Cali’s €9.35 million) all whisper one thing: Nacional means business.

The Odds Say It’s Nacional’s Game—But Wait

Bookmakers lean toward Atletico Nacional with away win odds at 2.24, while a home victory sits at 3.3. A draw? That’s 3.1. But here’s the twist: away wins only happen 20.9% of the time in Primera A. So why the confidence in Nacional? Their recent 0-2 away win over Santa Fe (at 5.0 odds) suggests they’ve cracked the code on the road. Meanwhile, Cali’s gritty 0-0 draw against Medellín (defying 6.5 odds) shows they’re no pushovers. This is a classic 'stats vs. spirit' battle.

Why Under 2.5 Goals is the Smart Bet

Our AI’s top pick? Under 2.5 goals at 1.64 odds (4.4/10 confidence). Here’s why: only 34.5% of Primera A games see more than 2.5 goals, and both teams score in just 41.5% of matches. Nacional’s defense has been stingy, and Cali’s recent grind-it-out style points to a low-scoring affair. The predicted 0-1 scoreline feels about right, with a 0-0 halftime stalemate likely. If you’re betting, this is the safe—and smart—play.

Tactical Tug-of-War

Possession will be nearly even (Cali 49%, Nacional 51%), but Nacional’s aggression stands out: 14 shots per game to Cali’s 9, with 4 on target vs. 3. They’ll also likely dominate corners (5 to 3) and might force Cali into more yellows (3 vs. 2). The question is whether Nacional’s financial muscle (that €25.6 million squad value) translates to goals. History says money talks, but Cali’s underdog grit could shout louder.

The Referee Factor

With C. Ortega officiating, the big question is: will the ref let the drama flow or make it all about the whistle? Ortega’s history with these teams could tip the scales—especially if things get feisty. A well-timed (or poorly timed) card could change everything.

Final Verdict: Stats vs. Rivalry Magic

The AI’s cold, hard numbers point to Atletico Nacional edging this one, likely 0-1. But football isn’t played on spreadsheets. Cali’s home crowd, their history of defying odds, and the sheer chaos of a rivalry game could flip the script. If you’re betting, the under 2.5 goals market is your friend. But if you’re watching? Buckle up. This Cali vs Atletico Nacional prediction is just the start—the real story unfolds on the pitch.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Cali vs Atletico

U2.5 -156

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -156
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 125

Atletico is expected to win with odds of 124
3/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -156

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -118

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -130

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

49%
Ball Possession
51%
9
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.9
Total Goals
2.4
1.1
Goals Scored
1.4
0.8
Goals Against
1
55%
Possession
58%
10.4
Total Shots
15.5
3.3
Shots on Goal
5.5
4.7
Shots off Goal
6.3
12.7
Fouls
10.1
3.7
Corners
6.2
2.2
Offsides
2.7
2.89
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0.4
369
Total Passes
400

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
5
6
Over 1.5 Goals
6
3
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Cali
10 - 10 - 8
Atletico Nacional
Cali Deportivo 21-Apr-25
1:0
Atletico Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional Atletico 10-Oct-24
1:1
Deportivo Cali
Cali Deportivo 17-Feb-24
3:2
Atletico Atletico Nacional
Cali Deportivo 07-Aug-23
1:1
Atletico Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional Atletico 13-Feb-23
1:1
Deportivo Cali
Atletico Nacional Atletico 18-Sep-22
3:0
Deportivo Cali
Cali Deportivo 22-Mar-22
3:3
Atletico Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional Atletico 09-Dec-21
1:2
Deportivo Cali
Cali Deportivo 05-Dec-21
3:1
Atletico Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional Atletico 22-Oct-21
1:0
Deportivo Cali

Profile time Recent Matches of Deportivo

Profile time Recent Matches Of Atletico

18 DecInd. Medellin Ind. Medelli.
-
Atl. Naciona.Atl. Nacional
13 DecDAtl. Nacional Atl. Naciona.
0:0
Ind. Medelli.Ind. Medellin

Colombia - Primera A Colombia - Primera A

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Independiente MedellinIndependiente 20
46-28
40
2 Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolim 20
29-17
38
3 Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacio 20
38-24
37
4 BucaramangaBucaramanga 20
31-20
37
5 JuniorJunior 20
35-25
35
6 Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC 20
25-19
35
7 Santa FeSanta Fe 20
21-17
31
8 America de CaliAmerica de Cal 20
23-19
29
9 Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrol 20
24-22
29
10 Rionegro AguilasRionegro Aguil 20
29-27
27
11 Once CaldasOnce Caldas 20
21-24
27
12 MillonariosMillonarios 20
23-26
26
13 LlanerosLlaneros 20
17-25
25
14 Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali 20
22-28
21
15 Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalen 20
22-32
21
16 EnvigadoEnvigado 20
18-22
20
17 Deportivo PastoDeportivo Past 20
26-28
19
18 Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pere 20
19-36
18
19 ChicoChico 20
14-29
16
20 La EquidadLa Equidad 20
14-29
14
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