Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Belgium
Preview
As the Belgian First Amateur Division heads into its final stretch, all eyes turn to Stadion Jos van Wellen this Saturday, April 5th, where Cappellen host high-flying Knokke at 19:00 GMT. On paper, it might look like a one-sided affair — and the bookmakers seem to agree — but football fans know better than to write the final chapter before kickoff.
With odds sitting at 5.0 for a home win, 4.1 for a draw, and just 1.55 for a Knokke victory, there’s no mistaking who the favorites are. Knokke have been in strong form on the road, and they’ll be arriving in Antwerp with confidence, especially after their impressive 3-0 win away at RAAL La Louviere last May — a result that came despite odds of 7.75 stacked against them.
These two sides have already shared the spoils once this season. Back on February 11, their last head-to-head ended in a lively 2-2 draw. That game showcased both teams’ attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities — a pattern that could repeat itself this weekend. Cappellen, despite their underdog status, have shown they can punch above their weight. Just ask Lyra-Lierse Berlaar, who were stunned by a 2-2 draw last October when Cappellen entered the match as massive underdogs at 6.2 odds.
But consistency has been a challenge for the home side. While they have moments of brilliance, they often struggle to close out matches. Meanwhile, Knokke have been far more reliable, especially in their travels. Their away win rate is one of the strongest in the division, and they tend to control games early — a trend supported by the AI's predicted first-half score of 0:1.
Looking at the numbers, our AI has taken a deep dive into the data and is leaning towards the away side. Here’s what we predict for Cappellen vs Knokke: the best betting tip is a win for Knokke, with a confidence rating of 2.9 out of 10 and odds of 1.55. While the confidence level isn’t sky-high, it reflects Knokke’s dominant form and Cappellen’s inconsistency.
For those eyeing the goals market, there’s more good news. The AI suggests backing over 2.5 total goals, with a trust level of 1.8 and odds of 1.56. Given that 42.6% of games in this league end with three or more goals, and that both teams scored twice in their last meeting, it’s a bet that aligns well with recent trends.
The First Amateur Division is known for its unpredictability. Home wins account for 38.9% of matches, while away wins come in at just 23.5%. However, Knokke have shown they don’t always follow the script. Their ability to grab results on the road — even in tough environments — makes them a dangerous side to bet against.
Interestingly, both teams scoring occurs in 45.7% of league matches, and with both sides finding the net in their last H2H, BTTS (both teams to score) could be another angle worth thinking about — even if it’s not our AI’s top pick this time around.
This one has all the makings of a match that could surprise — but also enough evidence to back Knokke if you’re looking for a smart, numbers-backed bet. Cappellen may put up a fight, especially with home support, but Knokke’s quality and form should see them edge it.
The expected final score? A 2-1 win for Knokke. It might not be a walk in the park, but three points should be heading back with the visitors if they stick to their game plan. For bettors, the value lies in trusting the form book — with just a pinch of caution, as always in this unpredictable league.
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2 -182
Knokke is expected to win with odds of -1822 -182
Knokke is expected to win with odds of -182Over 2.5 -179
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -156
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O2.5 -137
Away win/draw and over 2.5 goals
1:2
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|
0
-
2
-
2
|
|
 Cappellen |
05-Apr-25
0:4
| Knokke  |
| Knokke |
15-Sep-24
2:2
| Cappellen |
| Cappellen |
11-Feb-24
2:2
| Knokke |
Recent Matches of Cappellen
Recent Matches of Knokke
| 24 Jan | L |  Hasselt. |
4:0 |
Knokke. |
Belgium - First Amateur Division| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KAA Gent II | 30 | 63-31 | 62 |
| 2 |
Knokke | 30 | 53-31 | 56 |
| 3 |
Sporting | 30 | 50-28 | 52 |
| 4 |
Tienen | 30 | 39-34 | 46 |
| 5 |
Dessel Sport | 30 | 62-47 | 46 |
| 6 |
Thes Sport | 30 | 50-42 | 45 |
| 7 |
Ninove | 30 | 39-40 | 43 |
| 8 |
Lyra-Lierse | 30 | 58-51 | 43 |
| 9 |
Cercle Brugge | 30 | 54-53 | 40 |
| 10 |
Spouwen-Mopert | 30 | 38-43 | 39 |
| 11 |
Hoogstraten | 30 | 43-45 | 38 |
| 12 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 30 | 46-53 | 36 |
| 13 |
Merelbeke | 30 | 33-53 | 31 |
| 14 |
Cappellen | 30 | 40-72 | 29 |
| 15 |
Royal Antwerp | 30 | 34-50 | 28 |
| 16 |
Heist | 30 | 37-66 | 26 |
