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Match Prediction

Carrarese vs Empoli Prediction

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Italy flag Italy

Carrarese

€17.40m

23 Jan14:30
3 : 0

Empoli

€36.00m

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Carrarese vs Empoli Prediction Serie B

Carrarese vs Empoli Prediction: Odds, Stats & AI Tips for Serie B

The Carrarese vs Empoli prediction is one of the most talked-about topics among Serie B fans this week, and with good reason. As these two sides prepare to meet at Stadio dei Marmi on January 23, 2026, at 19:30 GMT, both teams find themselves side by side in the standings, separated by just a single point. With Carrarese sitting 10th and Empoli 9th, this match has all the ingredients for a tense, tactical battle—and perhaps a few surprises for anyone who enjoys sports betting.

Current Form, Team News & Tactics

Let’s start with a look at the recent shape of both teams. Carrarese have been punching slightly above their weight in recent weeks. Their last five matches include a 1-0 win over Bari, a hard-fought draw with Mantova, a loss against Monza, a win against Virtus Entella, and a narrow defeat to Sampdoria. Most recently, they snatched a 2-1 away victory at Avellino, showing real grit and a knack for timely goals. Not bad for a squad valued at €17.40 million, especially when you consider their underdog status in several of those fixtures.

Empoli, meanwhile, have had a mixed bag of results. A 1-0 win over Cesena and a 1-1 draw with Frosinone bookend a run of generally steady performances. They’ve shown resilience—especially in their ability to grind out points away from home. Their squad value is double that of their hosts at €36.00 million, but as anyone who’s followed Serie B knows, money doesn’t always buy happiness (or points).

On the tactical front, Carrarese’s coach Antonio Calabro has favored a solid defensive trio, supported by a midfield engine room featuring Hasa, Zuelli, and Schiavi. The wings are patrolled by Bouah and Belloni, with Rubino providing support to lone striker Abiuso. This setup has helped Carrarese keep things tight at the back while remaining dangerous on the counter.

Empoli’s manager Alessio Dionisi is known for his disciplined, organized approach. With a coaching staff that could probably field its own five-a-side team, Dionisi’s focus has been on defensive solidity and quick transitions. The likes of Guarino and Elia will need to be careful, though—both are one yellow card away from suspension.

Injury & Suspension Updates

  • Carrarese are sweating on the fitness of Bouah after a recent knee scare, while Marco Imperiale and E. Torregrossa remain sidelined.
  • Empoli are without G. Indragoli (ankle), Edoardo Saporiti, and several others, while Campaniello and Baralla are away on international duty.
  • Julián Illanes (Carrarese) and both Guarino and Elia (Empoli) are at risk of suspension due to accumulated yellow cards.

Betting Odds, Head to Head & Key Stats

Looking at the sports betting odds, Carrarese are slight favorites at 2.42 for a home win, while Empoli are priced at 3.3. The draw sits at 3.3, which tells us the bookmakers are expecting a close contest. Historically, these teams haven’t shared much recent head to head history in Serie B, making this Carrarese vs Empoli prediction even more intriguing for punters.

  • Carrarese expected possession: 57%
  • Empoli expected possession: 43%
  • Total shots: 14 (Carrarese), 10 (Empoli)
  • Expected shots on target: 4 (Carrarese), 3 (Empoli)
  • Projected corners: 6 (Carrarese), 3 (Empoli)
  • Yellow cards: 1 (Carrarese), 2 (Empoli)

The match has also been classified as high-risk for public order, with local authorities considering ticket restrictions—so expect a charged atmosphere, even if the crowd is a bit thinner than usual.

AI Predictions, Profitable Bets & Final Score Forecast

Now, for the part every punter loves—our NerdyTips AI predictions and betting tips. Our AI has crunched the numbers on all available data for this Carrarese vs Empoli prediction and sees value in a couple of key markets.

  1. Under 3.3 goals is the most profitable bet according to our AI, with a trust rating of 7.5/10 and odds of 1.34. Both teams have shown defensive discipline this season, and with so much at stake in the table, don’t expect a goal fest.
  2. 1x2 market: Our AI suggests a home win (Carrarese) as the best value at 2.42, though with a lower trust score of 1.5. This is a calculated risk—Carrarese have been strong at home and have momentum, but Empoli’s quality means nothing is guaranteed.
  3. Predicted final score: 2-1 to Carrarese. If you’re feeling bold, this correct score bet could be worth a small flutter.
  4. Half-time prediction: 0-0. Expect a cagey, tactical first half before things open up after the break.

In summary, the Carrarese vs Empoli prediction boils down to a tight, tactical affair where defensive solidity could trump attacking flair. If you’re looking for safe sports betting tips, under 3.3 goals seems the way to go. For those chasing bigger odds, a Carrarese win at home might just be the ticket—especially given their recent form and fighting spirit.

Whatever your pick, this Serie B encounter promises drama, tension, and at least a couple of moments to get fans off their seats—just maybe not too many goals. Happy betting, and may your slips be green!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Carrarese didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Carrarese vs Empoli

U3.5 -294

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -294
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 142

Carrarese is expected to win with odds of 142
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -294

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -135

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -159

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.32
xG
1.08
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.16
Expected Goals
1.12
2.7
Total Goals
2.1
1
Goals Scored
1.3
1.7
Goals Against
0.8
53%
Possession
45%
13.1
Total Shots
11
4.2
Shots on Goal
3.8
5.9
Shots off Goal
4.5
12.2
Fouls
14.8
5.6
Corners
3.6
1.1
Offsides
1.3
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.38
405
Total Passes
364

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
5
5
Over 2.5 Goals
3
4
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Carrarese
0 - 1 - 0
Empoli
Empoli Empoli 28-Sep-25
2:2
Carrarese Carrarese

Profile time Recent Matches of Carrarese

31 Jan Venezia Venezia.
-
Carrarese. Carrarese
23 JanW Carrarese Carrarese.
3:0
Empoli. Empoli
17 JanW Avellino Avellino.
1:2
Carrarese. Carrarese
10 JanW Carrarese Carrarese.
1:0
Bari. Bari
27 DecD Carrarese Carrarese.
0:0
Mantova. Mantova
20 DecL Monza Monza.
4:1
Carrarese. Carrarese
14 DecW Carrarese Carrarese.
3:1
Entella. Entella
07 DecL Sampdoria Sampdoria.
3:2
Carrarese. Carrarese
29 NovL Palermo Palermo.
5:0
Carrarese. Carrarese
22 NovD Carrarese Carrarese.
0:0
Reggiana. Reggiana

Profile time Recent Matches of Empoli

31 JanEmpoli Empoli.
-
Modena.Modena
23 JanLCarrarese Carrarese.
3:0
Empoli.Empoli
17 JanLEmpoli Empoli.
0:1
Sudtirol.Sudtirol
10 JanWCesena Cesena.
0:1
Empoli.Empoli
27 DecDEmpoli Empoli.
1:1
Frosinone.Frosinone
21 DecWMantova Mantova.
0:1
Empoli.Empoli
13 DecLJuve Stabia Juve Stabia.
2:0
Empoli.Empoli
07 DecLEmpoli Empoli.
1:3
Palermo.Palermo
29 NovWEmpoli Empoli.
5:0
Bari.Bari
22 NovWAvellino Avellino.
0:3
Empoli.Empoli

Italy - Serie B Italy - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Frosinone Frosinone21
39-18
45
2 Venezia Venezia21
42-18
44
3 Monza Monza21
32-17
41
4 Palermo Palermo21
30-14
38
5 Cesena Cesena21
28-24
34
6 Modena Modena21
28-17
33
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia21
23-22
33
8 Catanzaro Catanzaro21
27-24
32
9 Carrarese Carrarese21
30-30
29
10 Empoli Empoli21
26-28
27
11 Sudtirol Sudtirol21
22-22
25
12 Padova Padova21
20-25
25
13 Avellino Avellino21
24-34
25
14 Reggiana Reggiana21
24-31
20
15 Spezia Spezia21
19-28
20
16 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella21
18-28
20
17 Bari Bari21
18-31
20
18 Sampdoria Sampdoria21
20-28
19
19 Mantova Mantova21
20-34
19
20 Pescara Pescara21
25-42
14
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