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Match Prediction

Carrarese vs Monza Prediction

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Italy flag Italy

Carrarese

€19.20m

21 Feb13:30
0 : 1

Monza

€49.17m

Preview

Carrarese vs Monza Prediction Serie B

Carrarese vs Monza prediction: tight margins at Stadio dei Marmi

Mark your calendars for 2026-02-21 at 18:30 GMT: our Carrarese vs Monza prediction lands on a match where mood and momentum pull in different directions. Monza arrive with promotion pressure and a stronger squad on paper, while Carrarese lean on a home unbeaten streak that has quietly turned the Stadio dei Marmi into an awkward place to visit.

Context, form, and why this game feels like a chess match

Monza sit 4th and look every bit like a team trying to bounce straight back after last season’s Serie A drop. Paolo Bianco has generally kept them in a 3-4-2.05, with wing-backs stretching the pitch and the attacking midfielders working between the lines. January brought a headline tweak: Patrick Cutrone arrived on loan from Como and is expected to lead the line, adding a more direct edge to Monza’s chance creation. The downside: defender Valentin Antov is out injured, and both Patrick Ciurria and Keita Baldé are reportedly one booking from suspension—details that can subtly change how hard Monza press and tackle.

Carrarese, 10th, have slowed down lately: one point from their last three (losses to Modena and Padova, then a 0-0 with Sudtirol). Yet Antonio Calabro’s 3-5-2 is built for resistance, and his talk of “tactical balance” fits a side that wants to clog central areas and break at the right moment. They may need that discipline because the back line is stretched: Devid Eugene Bouah is out, and Jonas Rouhi is a major doubt. In midfield, Emanuele Zuelli remains their main source of invention, leading the team for big chances created.

  • Reverse fixture: Monza won 4-1 in December 2025, so Carrarese have a ready-made revenge angle for this Carrarese vs Monza prediction.
  • Home pattern: Carrarese have not lost at home in over three and a half months, which supports the idea of another close scoreline.
  • Upset precedent: Carrarese already landed a big away surprise at Spezia (0-2 at odds 5.05), and Monza have their own “we can win anywhere” memory at Udinese (1-2 at odds 6.55).

Betting odds and what the numbers hint at

The market sets this up as a Monza-leaning night: home win 4.0, draw 3.4, away win 2.05. That price respects Carrarese’s home resilience, even while acknowledging Monza’s higher squad value (€49.17m vs €19.20m).

Our AI angles: total goals first, then the 1X2 safety net

The strongest read for NerdyTips is on total goals. The top pick is under 3.5 goals at 1.29, trust 6.4/10. It fits a match where Monza may have more of the ball (projected 54% possession) and slightly more threat (14 shots, 5 on target), but Carrarese can make the rhythm sticky and slow (12 shots, 3 on target). Corners are forecast around 11 total (5-6), and cards at a neat 2-2—numbers that suggest competition without chaos.

  • Main tip: Under 3.5 total goals (odds 1.29, trust 6.4/10)
  • 1X2 lean: 1X (odds 1.82, trust 2.0/10) — a cautious nod to Carrarese’s home run, not a guarantee
  • Expected score: 1-1, with a 0-0 half-time

In short: Monza’s structure and talent should show, but Carrarese’s home habits tend to shave games down to their simplest form. For this Carrarese vs Monza prediction, think patience, few clear chances, and a result that stays undecided until late—exactly the kind of evening where “under” feels like the most sensible companion to the betting odds and the head to head narrative.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Monza has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Carrarese vs Monza

U3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -345
6/10

1x2 Tip

1X -122

Carrarese to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -108

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 108

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

0.97
xG
1.37
46%
Ball Possession
54%
12
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.14
Expected Goals
1.52
2.2
Total Goals
2.7
1.1
Goals Scored
1.7
1.1
Goals Against
1
50%
Possession
54%
13.8
Total Shots
15.3
4.4
Shots on Goal
5.7
5.8
Shots off Goal
5.1
10.9
Fouls
13.4
5.7
Corners
7.1
0.7
Offsides
1.5
2.3
Yellow Cards
2.33
408
Total Passes
432

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
6
6
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
7
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
4
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Carrarese
1 - 1 - 2
Monza
Monza Monza 20-Dec-25
4:1
Carrarese Carrarese
Monza Monza 09-Nov-19
2:2
Carrarese Carrarese
Carrarese Carrarese 04-Feb-18
1:0
Monza Monza
Monza Monza 24-Sep-17
4:0
Carrarese Carrarese

Profile time Recent Matches of Carrarese

04 Mar Carrarese Carrarese - Catanzaro Catanzaro -
01 MarD Mantova Mantova 1 Carrarese Carrarese 1
21 FebL Carrarese Carrarese 0 Monza Monza 1
14 FebL Modena Modena 2 Carrarese Carrarese 0
10 FebL Padova Padova 1 Carrarese Carrarese 0
07 FebD Carrarese Carrarese 0 Sudtirol Sudtirol 0
31 JanL Venezia Venezia 2 Carrarese Carrarese 1
23 JanW Carrarese Carrarese 3 Empoli Empoli 0
17 JanW Avellino Avellino 1 Carrarese Carrarese 2
10 JanW Carrarese Carrarese 1 Bari Bari 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Monza

03 MarCesena Cesena - Monza Monza -
27 FebWMonza Monza 2 Entella Entella 0
21 FebWCarrarese Carrarese 0 Monza Monza 1
15 FebWMonza Monza 2 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1
11 FebDSudtirol Sudtirol 0 Monza Monza 0
08 FebWMonza Monza 2 Avellino Avellino 1
01 FebWPadova Padova 1 Monza Monza 2
24 JanWMonza Monza 3 Pescara Pescara 0
17 JanDMonza Monza 2 Frosinone Frosinone 2
10 JanLEntella Entella 1 Monza Monza 0

Italy - Serie B Italy - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Venezia Venezia27
54-25
57
2 Monza Monza27
41-20
57
3 Frosinone Frosinone27
50-26
54
4 Palermo Palermo27
46-21
51
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro27
39-29
45
6 Modena Modena27
36-22
43
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia27
31-31
39
8 Cesena Cesena27
35-38
38
9 Sudtirol Sudtirol27
27-28
34
10 Padova Padova27
28-33
33
11 Empoli Empoli27
33-37
31
12 Carrarese Carrarese26
31-36
30
13 Avellino Avellino27
30-42
30
14 Reggiana Reggiana27
29-36
29
15 Sampdoria Sampdoria27
28-36
29
16 Mantova Mantova26
26-41
26
17 Spezia Spezia27
23-35
25
18 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella27
24-39
25
19 Bari Bari27
23-39
25
20 Pescara Pescara27
32-52
21
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