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Match Prediction

Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese Prediction

Finished
27 Apr09:00
3 : 2

Folgore C

€1.78m

Preview

Castellanzese vs Folgore C Prediction Serie D - Girone B

Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese Prediction: Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

The Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese prediction for April 27, 2025, is shaping up to be one of the most intriguing fixtures in Serie D - Girone B this season. Scheduled for 14:00 GMT at the Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, this encounter pits two sides with contrasting fortunes and ambitions, both eager to end their campaign on a high. With the league’s notoriously high draw rate and unpredictable results, bettors are in for a tactical chess match where every statistic could tip the scales.

Setting the Scene: Recent Form and Stakes

Castellanzese, with a market value of €1.12m, have shown flashes of resilience, most notably in their recent shock 1-0 away win at Club Milano—an upset that paid out handsomely at odds of 5.4. That victory was a much-needed boost for a side that’s struggled for consistency. On the other hand, Folgore Caratese, valued at €1.78m, have demonstrated their own mettle, holding Piacenza to a dramatic 2-2 draw away from home, defying the odds at 7.2. Both teams have proven they can upset the apple cart, but consistency remains elusive.

Betting Odds: What the Market Says

Let’s break down the betting odds for this fixture:

  • Home Win (Castellanzese): 3.94
  • Draw: 3.3
  • Away Win (Folgore Caratese): 1.83

The odds clearly favor Folgore Caratese, with the away win priced at 1.83, suggesting the bookmakers see them as the stronger outfit. Castellanzese, at 3.94, are clear underdogs, while the draw at 3.3 reflects the league’s high tendency for stalemates. For value seekers, the home win offers a tempting payout, but the away side’s superior market value and recent head-to-head edge cannot be ignored.

AI Predictions and Statistical Insights

The AI-generated Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese prediction points to an away win (confidence 5.0/10, odds 1.82) with a final score of 0:2. This aligns with Folgore Caratese’s higher market value and their recent 2-1 victory over Castellanzese on January 28, 2024—despite being underdogs then (odds: 3.1 vs 2.23). Momentum seems to be with the visitors, but Serie D - Girone B is a league where the unexpected is the norm.

League Trends: Draws, Wins, and Goal Markets

Serie D - Girone B is a league where draws are almost as common as pasta in Italy:

  • Home wins: 33.3%
  • Away wins: 24.3%
  • Draws: 42.4%

That 42.4% draw rate is a siren song for punters who love a stalemate. While Folgore Caratese are favorites, the moderate away win percentage and sky-high draw rate should temper any overconfidence in the away win tip. The draw at 3.3 is not just a consolation prize—it’s a statistically sound option.

When it comes to total goals, this league is not exactly a fireworks display:

  • Both teams score in 45.5% of matches
  • Over 1.5 goals in 58.4%
  • Over 2.5 goals in 37.9%
  • Over 3.5 goals in just 20.1%

With the AI tipping under 2.5 goals (trust score 3.5, odds 1.63) and predicting a 0:2 away win, the stats back up a low-scoring affair. If you’re looking for a goal fest, you might want to look elsewhere—this one has all the makings of a tactical, cagey contest.

Head to Head and Recent Upsets

The last head to head meeting saw Folgore Caratese overturn the odds to beat Castellanzese 2-1 away. That result, combined with their higher market value and current odds, suggests they have the psychological edge. Yet, Castellanzese’s recent win at Club Milano shows they’re capable of springing a surprise, especially at home.

Best Bets and Final Thoughts

So, where does all this leave us for the Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese prediction? Here’s a summary of the best bets, blending AI tips and statistical context:

  1. Away Win (Folgore Caratese at 1.83): Backed by recent head to head, market value, and AI prediction, but the high draw rate means caution is advised.
  2. Draw (3.3): With nearly half of all league matches ending level, this is a value pick for the risk-tolerant.
  3. Under 2.5 Goals (1.63): Supported by league trends and the AI’s predicted 0:2 scoreline, this looks like the most statistically robust option.

In summary, while Folgore Caratese are deserved favorites, the Serie D - Girone B’s love affair with draws and low-scoring games means savvy bettors should consider all angles. Whether you’re chasing value or playing it safe, this fixture promises drama, tension, and—if history is any guide—a result that could go right down to the wire.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Castellanzese vs Folgore C

2 -122

Folgore C is expected to win with odds of -122
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 -122

Folgore C is expected to win with odds of -120
5/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -159

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -137

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -270

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Average / Match

2.9
Total Goals
3.4
1.5
Goals Scored
2.3
1.4
Goals Against
1.1

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
6
10
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
4
Over 3.5 Goals
5
9
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Castellanzese
3 - 1 - 5
Folgore Caratese
Folgore Caratese Folgore C 21-Sep-25
2:1
Castellan Castellanzese
Castellanzese Castellan 27-Apr-25
3:2
Folgore C Folgore Caratese
Folgore Caratese Folgore C 15-Dec-24
5:1
Castellan Castellanzese
Castellanzese Castellan 28-Jan-24
1:2
Folgore C Folgore Caratese
Folgore Caratese Folgore C 01-Oct-23
2:2
Castellan Castellanzese
Castellanzese Castellan 24-Apr-22
2:1
Folgore C Folgore Caratese
Folgore Caratese Folgore C 08-Dec-21
0:2
Castellan Castellanzese
Folgore Caratese Folgore C 12-Jan-20
2:1
Castellan Castellanzese
Castellanzese Castellan 07-Sep-19
1:2
Folgore C Folgore Caratese

Profile time Recent Matches of Castellan

25 JanL Oltrepo Oltrepo.
2:0
Castellanzes. Castellanzese

Profile time Recent Matches of Folgore C

Italy - Serie D - Girone B Italy - Serie D - Girone B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Ospitaletto Ospitaletto38
66-34
75
2 Pro Palazzolo Pro Palazzolo38
69-36
70
3 Desenzano Calvina Desenzano38
51-29
69
4 Folgore Caratese Folgore38
66-42
68
5 USD Casatese USD Casatese38
58-34
68
6 Varesina Varesina38
61-44
64
7 Chievo Chievo38
49-37
57
8 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto38
45-43
52
9 Club Milano Club Milano38
44-50
49
10 Sant'Angelo Sant'Angelo38
41-41
48
11 Breno Breno38
42-53
47
12 Sondrio Sondrio38
39-51
47
13 Castellanzese Castellanzese38
43-53
46
14 Vigasio Vigasio38
39-41
45
15 Sangiuliano City Sangiuliano38
39-46
45
16 Crema Crema38
48-57
44
17 AC Magenta AC Magenta38
33-53
36
18 Fanfulla Fanfulla38
28-57
32
19 Ciliverghe Ciliverghe38
41-70
31
20 Arconatese Arconatese38
33-64
31
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