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Match Prediction

Castellon vs Leganes Prediction

Finished

Castellon

€15.70m

16 Jan15:30
2 : 0

Leganes

€25.40m

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Castellon vs Leganes Prediction Segunda División

Castellon vs Leganes Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Betting Tips

Welcome to our Castellon vs Leganes prediction for the Segunda División match on January 16, 2026! If you’re looking for clear sports betting advice, head to head stats, and the latest betting odds, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down everything you need to know for this exciting encounter at Estadio Municipal Castalia.

Team Form, Tactics, and Key Facts

Castellon and Leganes might not be the biggest names in Spanish football, but they sure know how to keep things interesting. Castellon, currently sitting pretty in 5th place, are enjoying a strong run at home. Leganes, on the other hand, are hovering in 17th, looking to climb out of the danger zone. Here’s what the numbers and recent form tell us:

  • Head to Head: Castellon have dominated recent meetings, winning two and drawing one of their last three matches against Leganes. Leganes haven’t scored a single goal in those games, while Castellon have netted three.
  • Recent Form: Castellon have won four of their last five matches, with a solid home record of six wins in their last ten. Leganes have been less consistent, with just one win in their last five, but they do tend to find the net away from home.
  • Goals and Corners: Both teams are no strangers to goals, with 70% of Castellon’s home games and 70% of Leganes’ away games seeing both teams score. Castellon also rack up plenty of corners at home, which could be worth a look for corner betting fans.
  • Injuries and Suspensions: Castellon are missing Serpeta, but he might return just in time. Several key players are one yellow card away from suspension, so expect some cautious tackles. Leganes are without Rubén Pulido and have a few players nursing knocks or away on international duty.
  • Staff News: Castellon are led by Pablo Hernández, who’s brought stability since his appointment in September 2025. Leganes are under the temporary guidance of Igor Oca, hoping to steady the ship.
  • Stadium: The match will take place at the 15.900-capacity Estadio Municipal Castalia, where Castellon have been tough to beat.

What Do the Stats Say?

Let’s get nerdy with the numbers! Castellon average 2.2 goals per match in their last five, conceding just one. Leganes average one goal for and one against in the same period. Ball possession is expected to favor Castellon at 58%, with more shots and corners predicted for the home side. If you’re into yellow cards, expect a few: Castellon are tipped for two, Leganes for three.

Castellon vs Leganes Prediction: AI Betting Tips and Odds

Now, let’s talk about what our AI and betting odds are telling us for this Castellon vs Leganes prediction. Here’s the lowdown:

  1. 1x2 Market: The smart money is on a home win. The odds for Castellon to win are 1.63, and our AI gives this bet a trust score of 6.4.10. Not a sure thing, but a solid pick given Castellon’s strong home form and Leganes’ struggles on the road.
  2. Predicted Score: Our model sees a 2:1 win for Castellon, with a likely 1:0 lead at half-time. That fits the pattern of Castellon starting strong and Leganes fighting back late.
  3. Over/Under Goals: Over 1.5 goals is a popular pick, but with odds at 1.26 and a trust level of 3.4, it’s not the most exciting bet. Still, with both teams often finding the net, it’s a safe option for cautious punters.
  4. Shots and Corners: Expect Castellon to take 16 shots (with four on target) and Leganes to manage nine (three on target). Corners should total around 10, with Castellon edging it 6-4.
  5. Value and Confidence: The home win is the most valuable bet, with a confidence score of 6.5. Leganes’ odds of 5.9 for an away win reflect their underdog status, especially after only managing a draw against Racing Santander when they were also outsiders.

Final Thoughts and Betting Advice

To sum up this Castellon vs Leganes prediction: all signs point to a home win, but don’t be surprised if Leganes make things tricky. Castellon’s strong home form, head to head record, and attacking stats give them the edge. If you’re looking for a bet, the 1x2 market (home win) at 1.63 is our top tip. For those who like a bit more action, consider over 1.5 goals or a corners bet.

Remember, in sports betting, nothing is guaranteed—except maybe the drama! Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as Castellon’s attack.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Castellon has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Castellon vs Leganes

1 -159

Castellon is expected to win with odds of -159
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 -159

Castellon is expected to win with odds of -159
6/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -385

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -120

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -238

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.86
xG
1.47
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
3
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

1.79
Expected Goals
1.51
3.2
Total Goals
2.7
2.1
Goals Scored
1.3
1.1
Goals Against
1.4
55%
Possession
51%
15.9
Total Shots
11.4
4.9
Shots on Goal
4.6
5.6
Shots off Goal
4.4
13.7
Fouls
13
6.8
Corners
5.1
2.2
Offsides
2
3.22
Yellow Cards
2.89
429
Total Passes
391

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
3
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
7
5
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Castellon
2 - 1 - 0
Leganes
Leganes Leganes 29-Sep-25
0:1
Castellon Castellon
Leganes Leganes 06-Mar-21
0:0
Castellon Castellon
Castellon Castellon 04-Oct-20
2:0
Leganes Leganes

Profile time Recent Matches of Castellon

07 MarL Real II Real II 4 Castellon Castellon 2
28 FebL Castellon Castellon 1 Racing S Racing S 3
21 FebD Las Palmas Las Palmas 1 Castellon Castellon 1
15 FebW Castellon Castellon 2 Deportivo Deportivo 0
08 FebW Valladolid Valladolid 0 Castellon Castellon 4
01 FebW Castellon Castellon 2 Andorra Andorra 0
25 JanD Zaragoza Zaragoza 0 Castellon Castellon 0
16 JanW Castellon Castellon 2 Leganes Leganes 0
11 JanD Granada CF Granada CF 0 Castellon Castellon 0
03 JanW Castellon Castellon 4 Huesca Huesca 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Leganes

08 MarLeganes Leganes - Eibar Eibar -
21 FebDLeganes Leganes 1 Cultural Cultural 1
14 FebLCordoba Cordoba 2 Leganes Leganes 1
06 FebWLeganes Leganes 1 Granada CF Granada CF 0
31 JanLBurgos CF Burgos CF 2 Leganes Leganes 1
24 JanWLeganes Leganes 2 Real II Real II 0
16 JanLCastellon Castellon 2 Leganes Leganes 0
11 JanWLeganes Leganes 3 Valladolid Valladolid 0
04 JanWAlbacete Albacete 1 Leganes Leganes 3
20 DecLLeganes Leganes 0 Gijon Gijon 1

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing28
56-36
53
2 Castellón Castellón28
46-29
49
3 Almeria Almeria28
53-40
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La28
44-31
49
5 Malaga Malaga28
41-31
47
6 Las Palmas Las Palmas28
34-22
45
7 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC28
36-39
44
8 Burgos Burgos28
30-26
43
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon28
38-36
42
10 Cordoba Cordoba28
38-37
41
11 Eibar Eibar28
31-30
38
12 FC Andorra FC Andorra28
35-40
35
13 Albacete Albacete28
33-39
35
14 Cadiz Cadiz28
29-35
35
15 Leganes Leganes28
29-28
34
16 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad28
38-39
34
17 Granada CF Granada CF28
32-33
32
18 Valladolid Valladolid28
29-38
32
19 Huesca Huesca28
26-37
30
20 Cultural Leonesa Cultural28
27-44
27
21 Mirandes Mirandes28
28-45
24
22 Zaragoza Zaragoza28
23-41
24
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