Castellon vs Leganes Prediction

Castellon vs Leganes Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Betting Tips

Welcome to our Castellon vs Leganes prediction for the Segunda División match on January 16, 2026! If you’re looking for clear sports betting advice, head to head stats, and the latest betting odds, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down everything you need to know for this exciting encounter at Estadio Municipal Castalia.

Team Form, Tactics, and Key Facts

Castellon and Leganes might not be the biggest names in Spanish football, but they sure know how to keep things interesting. Castellon, currently sitting pretty in 5th place, are enjoying a strong run at home. Leganes, on the other hand, are hovering in 17th, looking to climb out of the danger zone. Here’s what the numbers and recent form tell us:

• Head to Head: Castellon have dominated recent meetings, winning two and drawing one of their last three matches against Leganes. Leganes haven’t scored a single goal in those games, while Castellon have netted three.
• Recent Form: Castellon have won four of their last five matches, with a solid home record of six wins in their last ten. Leganes have been less consistent, with just one win in their last five, but they do tend to find the net away from home.
• Goals and Corners: Both teams are no strangers to goals, with 70% of Castellon’s home games and 70% of Leganes’ away games seeing both teams score. Castellon also rack up plenty of corners at home, which could be worth a look for corner betting fans.
• Injuries and Suspensions: Castellon are missing Serpeta, but he might return just in time. Several key players are one yellow card away from suspension, so expect some cautious tackles. Leganes are without Rubén Pulido and have a few players nursing knocks or away on international duty.
• Staff News: Castellon are led by Pablo Hernández, who’s brought stability since his appointment in September 2025. Leganes are under the temporary guidance of Igor Oca, hoping to steady the ship.
• Stadium: The match will take place at the 15,500-capacity Estadio Municipal Castalia, where Castellon have been tough to beat.

What Do the Stats Say?

Let’s get nerdy with the numbers! Castellon average 2.2 goals per match in their last five, conceding just one. Leganes average one goal for and one against in the same period. Ball possession is expected to favor Castellon at 58%, with more shots and corners predicted for the home side. If you’re into yellow cards, expect a few: Castellon are tipped for two, Leganes for three.

Castellon vs Leganes Prediction: AI Betting Tips and Odds

Now, let’s talk about what our AI and betting odds are telling us for this Castellon vs Leganes prediction. Here’s the lowdown:

1. 1x2 Market: The smart money is on a home win. The odds for Castellon to win are 1.68, and our AI gives this bet a trust score of 6.4/10. Not a sure thing, but a solid pick given Castellon’s strong home form and Leganes’ struggles on the road.
2. Predicted Score: Our model sees a 2:1 win for Castellon, with a likely 1:0 lead at half-time. That fits the pattern of Castellon starting strong and Leganes fighting back late.
3. Over/Under Goals: Over 1.5 goals is a popular pick, but with odds at 1.26 and a trust level of 3.4, it’s not the most exciting bet. Still, with both teams often finding the net, it’s a safe option for cautious punters.
4. Shots and Corners: Expect Castellon to take 16 shots (with four on target) and Leganes to manage nine (three on target). Corners should total around 10, with Castellon edging it 6-4.
5. Value and Confidence: The home win is the most valuable bet, with a confidence score of 6.5. Leganes’ odds of 5.5 for an away win reflect their underdog status, especially after only managing a draw against Racing Santander when they were also outsiders.

Final Thoughts and Betting Advice

To sum up this Castellon vs Leganes prediction: all signs point to a home win, but don’t be surprised if Leganes make things tricky. Castellon’s strong home form, head to head record, and attacking stats give them the edge. If you’re looking for a bet, the 1x2 market (home win) at 1.68 is our top tip. For those who like a bit more action, consider over 1.5 goals or a corners bet.

Remember, in sports betting, nothing is guaranteed—except maybe the drama! Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as Castellon’s attack.