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Celje

€12.65m

26 Feb12:45
3 : 2

Drita

€7.78m

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Celje vs Drita Prediction UEFA Europa Conference League

Celje vs Drita prediction: home edge to seal the tie

Celje vs Drita prediction time is here, and the setting is perfect: 26 February 2026, 17:45 GMT, under the lights at Stadion Z’dežele in Slovenia (around 13,000 seats). This is the UEFA Europa Conference League knockout play-off second leg, and Celje bring a slim but precious 3–2 lead from the first leg in Kosovo. No away-goals rule to hide behind anymore, so the maths is simple: Celje protect the advantage, Drita must chase.

Match context, form, and what the coaches are building

Celje have looked refreshed since the turn of the year, and the timing of their managerial change has been important. New head coach Ivan Maevskiy (appointed 2 February 2026) has leaned into a more assertive style than the previous regime: higher pressing, faster recoveries, and more direct wide play. It has helped them stack wins domestically, and it also showed in Kosovo where they survived a chaotic game and still came away with the win.

  • Aggregate score: Celje 3–2 Drita after the first leg
  • Venue factor: Celje are on a 13-match unbeaten run at Stadion Z’dežele (all competitions)
  • Form notes: Celje have been flying at home and are leading the Slovenian PrvaLiga; Drita answered their first-leg pain with a 2–0 league win over KF Llapi to move top in Kosovo

Likely tactics: pressure vs patience

Expect Celje to start in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3, using width and quick combinations to pin Drita back. Wingers like Nikita Iosifov can stretch the pitch, while the midfield tries to keep Drita from launching clean counters. Drita, coached by Zekirija Ramadani, are usually compact and disciplined, then sharp in transition. The problem for the visitors is that “compact” is easier to sell at 0–0 than when you’re trailing the tie.

Players and availability to watch

  • Celje key men: Armandas Kučys (clinical finisher), Svit Sešlar (creative spark since returning), Mario Kvesić (tempo setter)
  • Celje injuries: Mark Zabukovnik (knee), Žan Karničnik (shoulder)
  • Drita threats: Besnik Krasniqi (set-pieces + overlaps), Veton Tusha (likely to lead the line), Faton Maloku (busy night expected)
  • Drita injuries: Rron Broja (major doubt), Ilir Mustafa (out), Arb Manaj (out)

One more note for the “anything can happen” crowd: Celje have already shown they can punch above their weight in Europe, like that 2–2 away draw with Fiorentina back on 2025-04-17 at huge odds. Drita have their own proof of stubbornness too, earning a 0–0 away draw at Antwerp on 2022-07-21 despite long-shot odds. If you’re looking for head to head storylines, this tie is writing one: Celje’s control vs Drita’s belief.

Celje vs Drita prediction: betting tips, odds, and score call

Now to the numbers that shape our Celje vs Drita prediction for NerdyTips readers. The market strongly favours the hosts: Home win 1.444, Draw 5.4, Away win 9.0. That gap fits the overall picture: Celje’s home run, a one-goal aggregate lead, and a higher squad valuation (€12.65m vs €7.78m) that usually shows up over 90 minutes.

  • Best 1X2 pick: Home win (1) at 1.444
  • Confidence/trust: 8.8/10 (NerdyTips AI also backs 1 with 8.8 trust)

Goals are the other big angle. Four of Celje’s last five European games have cleared 2.5, and the first leg ended 3–2, which is not exactly a poster for caution. Drita must open up at some point, and that can turn one Celje break into a second goal very quickly.

  1. Over 2.5 goals: Yes at 1.57 (confidence 8.0)
  2. Half-time score lean: 1–0
  3. Full-time correct score lean: 3–1

Final read: Celje should manage the game better than they did in Kosovo, but not necessarily keep it quiet. If Drita chase early, spaces appear; if they wait, time becomes Celje’s best defender. Either way, our betting tips point to the hosts finishing the job, with goals along the way.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.28

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Celje vs Drita

1 -227

Celje is expected to win with odds of -227
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -227

Celje is expected to win with odds of -227
8/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -164

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -118

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O2.5 -122

Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:1

Average / Match

3.8
Total Goals
2.6
2.3
Goals Scored
1.2
1.5
Goals Against
1.4

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
8
Over 2.5 Goals
4
7
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Celje
2 - 0 - 0
Drita
Celje Celje 26-Feb-26
3:2
Drita Drita

Profile time Recent Matches of Celje

19 AprW Mura Mura 0 Celje Celje 2
15 AprW Celje Celje 2 Olimpija L Olimpija L 0
11 AprW Radomlje Radomlje 1 Celje Celje 3
04 AprW Celje Celje 1 Maribor Maribor 0
22 MarW Celje Celje 5 Primorje Primorje 1
19 MarW AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 0 Celje Celje 2
15 MarW Koper Koper 0 Celje Celje 1
12 MarL Celje Celje 0 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 4
07 MarD Celje Celje 0 Domzale Domzale 0
05 MarL Aluminij Aluminij 2 Celje Celje 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of Drita

19 AprLDrenica S Drenica S 1 Drita Drita 0
12 AprWDrita Drita 2 Ferizaj Ferizaj 1
05 AprWDrita Drita 2 Malisheva Malisheva 0
22 MarWGjilani Gjilani 0 Drita Drita 1
18 MarWDrita Drita 2 Dukagjini Dukagjini 1
15 MarLFC Ballkani FC Ballkani 3 Drita Drita 0
07 MarWDrita Drita 3 Prishtina Prishtina 0
01 MarDPrishtina Prishtina 1 Drita Drita 1
26 FebLCelje Celje 3 Drita Drita 2
22 FebWKF Llapi KF Llapi 0 Drita Drita 2

World - UEFA Europa Conference League World - UEFA Europa Conference League

Team M G P
1 StrasbourgStrasbourg611-516
2 Raków CzęstochowaRaków69-214
3 AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC614-713
4 Sparta PrahaSparta Praha610-313
5 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano613-713
6 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar610-513
7 FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 0567-313
8 AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca67-112
9 LausanneLausanne66-311
10 Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace611-610
11 Lech PoznanLech Poznan612-810
12 SamsunsporSamsunspor610-610
13 CeljeCelje68-710
14 AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar67-710
15 FiorentinaFiorentina68-59
16 HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka65-29
17 JagielloniaJagiellonia65-49
18 Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia65-48
19 FC NoahFC Noah66-78
20 DritaDrita64-88
21 KuPSKuPS66-57
22 ShkendijaShkendija64-57
23 ZrinjskiZrinjski68-107
24 Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc67-97
25 Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea66-87
26 Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps67-157
27 Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv69-96
28 Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa68-86
29 Slovan BratislavaSlovan65-96
30 BreidablikBreidablik66-115
31 Shamrock RoversShamrock67-134
32 BK HackenBK Hacken65-83
33 Hamrun SpartansHamrun64-113
34 ShelbourneShelbourne60-72
35 AberdeenAberdeen63-142
36 Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna63-141
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