Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Preview
The Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Union Santa Fe prediction for February 7, 2026 (00:00 GMT) feels like one of those Liga Profesional nights where patience matters more than fireworks. Central Córdoba and Unión arrive with different early-season moods, but the same shared need for points—and that usually leads to careful, tactical football in Santiago del Estero.
This Apertura fixture is scheduled for Estadio Alfredo Terrera, with the usual possibility of a switch to the modern Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades for logistical or broadcast reasons. Either way, the setting matters: a quicker surface and bigger stage can raise tempo, but it rarely turns these two into goal machines overnight.
Central Córdoba’s start has been rough: 1 point from 3 matches (0W-1D-2L), and they come in after a narrow 1–0 defeat to San Lorenzo. The encouraging part was defensive improvement; the worrying part was how few clear chances they created. Unión have shown slightly more momentum (4 points from 3 matches), boosted by a statement 4–0 win over Gimnasia de Mendoza—by far the most dominant result of their round.
Lucas Pusineri has leaned into pragmatism since arriving in December 2025. Central typically line up 4-4-2 or 4-2-3.4, sitting in a compact block and picking moments to press, then breaking vertically when the chance appears. It is a style built for stealing meters, not dominating possession for the sake of it.
Leonardo Madelón’s Unión are also built on structure. His 4-4-1-1 often becomes a 4-2-3.4 with the ball, with wingers tasked to gain depth and supply the striker. Madelón has also strengthened his staff with Nicolás Vazzoler focusing on analysis, which fits Unión’s “do the basics well” approach.
The head to head has been friendlier to Central in recent seasons: they have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, with Unión taking only 2. The most recent meeting on 2025-10-10 ended 3.4 for Central, a reminder that this matchup can swing against the market’s expectations. Add one more subplot: Central have yet to score at home in the 2026 Apertura, a “curse” they are desperate to break, but desperation does not always equal goals.
Now to the numbers. The 1X2 odds sit at 2.95 for a home win, 2.95 for the draw, and 2.95 for an away win. That pricing suggests a tight game, and our data agrees—just with a very specific lean toward caution.
The best betting tips angle is Under 2.5 goals at 1.41, with 5.3.40 confidence (and a separate under/over trust reading of 4.1). That is not blind conservatism; it matches the expected match flow:
In simple terms: both sides can reach the final third, but the model expects poor shot quality. Central’s recent trouble creating big chances, plus Unión’s structured midfield, makes a low-scoring script feel natural.
The Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Union Santa Fe prediction in the 1X2 market is X (Draw) at 2.95, though the trust is only 2.0—so treat it as a secondary option, not a cornerstone. The market-value gap is real (Central €6.75m vs Unión €23.42m), but football in Argentina regularly ignores spreadsheets, as both teams have recently shown by grinding out surprise results away from home.
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Avoid first matches from a league!
U2.5 -244
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -244X 195
The match is expected to end in a drawUnder 2.5 -244
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -175
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -118
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:0
0:0
|
|
5
-
2
-
2
|
|
 Central C |
10-Oct-25
3:1
| Union S  |
| Union S |
06-Apr-25
1:0
| Central C |
| Union S |
04-Oct-24
0:2
| Central C |
| Union S |
19-Mar-24
2:2
| Central C |
| Central C |
01-Nov-23
2:0
| Union S |
| Central C |
19-May-23
0:1
| Union S |
| Union S |
22-Oct-22
1:4
| Central C |
| Central C |
03-Dec-21
2:0
| Union S |
Recent Matches of Central C| 31 Jan | L |
San Lorenz.
|
1:0
| Central C.
|
| 28 Jan | D |
Atl. Tucum.
|
0:0
| Central C.
|
| 23 Jan | L |
Central C.
|
0:1
| Gimnasia M.
|
| 30 Nov | L |
Central C.
|
0:1
| Estudiant.
|
| 23 Nov | W |
Central C.
|
2:1
| San Lorenz.
|
| 16 Nov | D |
Central C.
|
1:1
| Banfield.
|
| 11 Nov | D |
Rivadavia.
|
0:0
| Central C.
|
| 03 Nov | D |
Central C.
|
0:0
| Racing Clu.
|
| 22 Oct | W |
Huracan.
|
0:1
| Central C.
|
| 10 Oct | W |
Central C.
|
3:1
| Union S.
|
Recent Matches of Union S
| 03 Feb | W | Union S. |
4:0 |
Gimnasia M. |
| 29 Jan | L |  Lanus. |
2:1 |
Union S. |
| 22 Jan | D | Union S. |
0:0 |
Platense. |
| 25 Nov | L | Union S. |
1:2 |
Gimnasia L. |
| 17 Nov | D |  Belgrano. |
0:0 |
Union S. |
| 09 Nov | D | Union S. |
0:0 |
Barracas . |
| 01 Nov | W |  Newells. |
0:1 |
Union S. |
| 21 Oct | W | Union S. |
3:0 |
Defensa J. |
| 10 Oct | L | Central C. |
3:1 |
Union S. |
| 04 Oct | L | Union S. |
0:2 |
Aldosivi. |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lanus | 3 | 7-5 | 7 |
| 2 |
Platense | 3 | 4-2 | 7 |
| 3 |
Velez | 3 | 4-2 | 7 |
| 4 |
Boca Juniors | 3 | 4-2 | 6 |
| 5 |
San Lorenzo | 3 | 4-3 | 6 |
| 6 |
Estudiantes | 3 | 3-2 | 5 |
| 7 |
Defensa Y | 3 | 1-0 | 5 |
| 8 |
Union Santa Fe | 3 | 5-2 | 4 |
| 9 |
Independiente | 3 | 3-3 | 3 |
| 10 |
Talleres | 3 | 4-5 | 3 |
| 11 |
Gimnasia M. | 3 | 1-5 | 3 |
| 12 |
Instituto | 3 | 3-5 | 1 |
| 13 |
Deportivo | 3 | 1-3 | 1 |
| 14 |
Central Cordoba de | 3 | 0-2 | 1 |
| 15 |
Newells Old | 3 | 2-5 | 1 |
