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Match Prediction

Cerro vs Cerro Largo Prediction

Finished
Uruguay flag Uruguay
Primera División

Cerro

€5.70m

19 Jun09:15
2 : 1

Cerro Largo

€7.68m

Preview

Cerro vs Cerro Largo Prediction Primera División - Apertura

Cerro vs Cerro Largo Prediction: A Tight Uruguayan Affair

The Uruguayan Primera Division - Apertura serves up an intriguing battle on June 19, 2025, as Cerro hosts Cerro Largo at the Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli. Our Cerro vs Cerro Largo prediction leans toward a tense, low-scoring duel, with both teams fighting for momentum in what promises to be a closely contested match. The odds reflect this balance—home win at 2.9, draw at 2.88, and away win at 2.55—suggesting even the bookmakers can’t split them decisively.

Recent Form and Stakes

Neither side comes into this match as a clear favorite, but recent performances hint at why this could be a cagey affair. Cerro held Liverpool Montevideo to a gritty 0-0 draw as underdogs (odds 5.0), showcasing their defensive resilience. Meanwhile, Cerro Largo pulled off a shock 2-1 away win over Defensa Y Justicia (odds 9.0), proving they can punch above their weight. The last head-to-head in July 2024 saw Cerro Largo edge a 1-0 victory, but with shifting odds (then: Cerro 2.5, Cerro Largo 2.8), the dynamics have subtly changed.

Squad Strength and Market Context

With Cerro’s squad valued at €5.70m compared to Cerro Largo’s €7.68m, there’s a slight edge in depth for the visitors. Yet, Uruguayan football often defies financial logic—grit, tactics, and home advantage can level the playing field. Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli might not be a fortress, but Cerro’s recent defensive solidity suggests they won’t roll over easily.

Betting Tips and AI Insights

NerdyTips’ AI crunched the numbers and delivered two standout recommendations for this match:

  • Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.42, trust score 2.7/10): A reflection of league-wide trends, where only 40.3% of games see over 2.5 goals.
  • 1X double chance (odds 1.5, trust score 2.0): With home teams winning 36.1% of matches and draws occurring 36.5%, backing Cerro to avoid defeat feels prudent.

The predicted 1-1 final score (and 0-0 halftime stalemate) aligns perfectly with these picks. Fans might want to brew a strong coffee for the first half—this one could start slow before heating up.

Why the Data Backs a Cautious Approach

Digging deeper into the stats:

  1. Both teams scored in just 44.7% of league matches, reinforcing the lean toward fewer goals.
  2. Away teams win only 27.4% of the time, yet Cerro Largo’s recent road victory shows they’re capable of bucking trends.

Given the high draw percentage (36.5%) and low trust scores for outright results, this isn’t a match for bold punts. Instead, the betting tips point toward patience and pragmatism.

Final Thoughts: A Uruguayan Chess Match

This Cerro vs Cerro Largo prediction isn’t about fireworks—it’s about tactical nuance. The AI’s lean toward under 2.5 goals and the 1X double chance reflects a league where margins are slim and surprises lurk around every corner. Whether you’re a stats-driven bettor or a fan of Uruguay’s gritty football culture, this match promises intrigue, if not endless excitement. As the old saying goes: in the Primera Division, expect the unexpected—but maybe not too many goals.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Cerro vs Cerro Largo

U2.5 -238

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -238
2/10

1x2 Tip

1X -200

Cerro to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -238

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 120

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -118

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Average / Match

2.4
Total Goals
2.4
0.8
Goals Scored
1
1.6
Goals Against
1.4

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
2
6
Over 1.5 Goals
7
6
Over 2.5 Goals
5
4
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Cerro
3 - 5 - 10
Cerro Largo
Cerro Cerro 19-Jun-25
2:1
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 17-Mar-25
0:0
Cerro Cerro
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 28-Sep-24
3:1
Cerro Cerro
Cerro Cerro 14-Jul-24
0:1
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
Cerro Cerro 24-Mar-24
1:1
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 30-Nov-23
0:0
Cerro Cerro
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 02-Jul-23
0:1
Cerro Cerro
Cerro Cerro 29-Apr-23
0:0
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
Cerro Cerro 24-Mar-21
0:1
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 07-Oct-20
2:1
Cerro Cerro

Profile time Recent Matches of Cerro

15 Jan Racing M Racing M.
-
CA Cerro. CA Cerro

Profile time Recent Matches of Cerro Largo

14 JanTorque Torque .
-
Cerro Largo.Cerro Largo

Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Penarol Penarol7
15-5
16
2 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sport7
12-10
14
3 Wanderers Wanderers7
6-5
12
4 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia7
6-7
8
5 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Mont7
10-12
8
6 Cerro Cerro7
7-9
8
7 CA River Plate CA River Plate6
4-8
4
8 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo6
5-9
2
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