Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Peru
Preview
If you’re searching for a sharp Cesar Vallejo vs San Marcos prediction ahead of the Segunda División fixture on June 7, 2025, you’re in the right place. With kick-off set for 19:00 GMT at the Estadio Cesar Acuña Peralta, this match brings together two sides with contrasting squad values and recent form, but perhaps not such different prospects as the odds might suggest. Let’s break down the stats, trends, and betting tips that matter most for this intriguing encounter.
On paper, Cesar Vallejo’s €4.20m squad dwarfs San Marcos’ €2.38m roster—a gap that’s reflected in the home win odds of 1.83. The draw sits at 3.4, while a San Marcos away win is priced at 3.8. Historically, Segunda División home teams win 52.4% of matches, so the market’s tilt toward Vallejo makes sense. But as any seasoned bettor knows, football isn’t played on spreadsheets alone.
Despite the numbers, NerdyTips’ AI has flagged a potential value play: the X2 (San Marcos win or draw) at odds of 1.83, with a trust level of 5.0/10. That’s a nudge to look beyond the obvious, especially with the 1x2 prediction leaning toward an away win (2) at 3.8 (trust level 4.1/10). The under 2.5 goals market is also in focus, with a trust rating of 4.6 and odds of 1.65.
Recent results add a twist to the Cesar Vallejo vs San Marcos prediction. Vallejo’s gritty 0:1 away win over Defensa Y Justicia on May 30 (at long odds of 7.0) shows they can grind out results against the odds. Meanwhile, San Marcos’ 1:1 away draw with Carlos Mannucci (May 18) was no less impressive, especially with the away win priced at 5.0. Both teams have shown resilience on the road, which could set the stage for a cagey, low-scoring affair.
While there’s no assigned referee yet, both sides will be eager to keep things tight early on. The predicted half-time score of 0:0 fits the bill, with a final score forecast of 0:1 in favor of San Marcos. That aligns with the under 2.5 goals tip and suggests value in backing a tense, tactical battle rather than a goal-fest.
Let’s put this Cesar Vallejo vs San Marcos prediction into context with some league-wide stats:
Despite the league’s tendency toward goals, the under 2.5 bet (odds 1.65) looks attractive here, especially with both teams’ recent defensive displays. The predicted 0:1 scoreline supports this, and with San Marcos tipped to avoid defeat (X2), there’s a case for backing the visitors to frustrate the favorites.
In summary, while Cesar Vallejo’s higher squad value and home advantage can’t be ignored, recent form and statistical trends suggest this could be a tighter contest than the odds imply. The best betting tips for this Cesar Vallejo vs San Marcos prediction: back San Marcos to avoid defeat (X2), consider the away win for value, and expect under 2.5 goals in a match likely to be decided by fine margins.
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X2 -120
San Marcos to win or draw with odds of -1202 280
San Marcos is expected to win with odds of 280Under 2.5 -154
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -133
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 102
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
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0
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0
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1
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 San Marcos |
18-Apr-25
1:0
| Cesar V  |
Peru - Segunda División| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Cajamarca | 12 | 19-13 | 25 |
| 2 |
San Marcos | 12 | 9-5 | 18 |
| 3 |
Cesar Vallejo | 12 | 14-10 | 17 |
| 4 |
Carlos A. | 12 | 17-14 | 17 |
| 5 |
Deportivo | 12 | 12-17 | 15 |
| 6 |
Deportiva | 12 | 12-13 | 16 |
| 7 |
Molinos El | 12 | 5-16 | 10 |
