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Match Prediction

Ceuta vs Andorra Prediction

Finished
Spain flag Spain
Segunda División

Ceuta

€10.85m

4 Jan10:15
2 : 1

Andorra

€13.20m

Preview

Ceuta vs Andorra Prediction Segunda División

Ceuta vs Andorra Prediction: Segunda División Betting Preview

The Ceuta vs Andorra prediction is on the minds of many football fans and punters as these two sides prepare to meet at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube on January 4, 2026, with kickoff set for 15:15 GMT. With both teams eager to start the new year on a high note, this Segunda División encounter promises tactical intrigue and betting value. Let’s break down the latest form, tactical trends, and betting odds to help you make the smartest picks.

Team Form, Tactics, and Key Players

AD Ceuta, currently sitting 8th in the Segunda División table with 29 points, have shown resilience and consistency, especially at home. Their recent run—two wins, two draws, and just one loss in the last five matches—shows a team that’s tough to beat. At their fortress, Ceuta boasts 6 wins, 1 draw, and only 2 losses, averaging 1.36 goals scored and just 0.78 conceded per home game. Their last four matches have been unbeaten, and notably, their last three have all featured under 2.5 goals, suggesting a disciplined approach in defense.

On the other side, FC Andorra, newly promoted for the 2025-26 season, are finding their feet in 13th place with 24 points. Their form is a mixed bag: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. Their most recent triumph—a 1-0 win away at Deportivo La Coruña—shows they can grind out results on the road. However, with 21 goals scored and 26 conceded, defensive lapses remain a concern. Away from home, Andorra averages 1.13 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match, underlining their vulnerability when traveling.

Squad news brings a few headaches for both managers. Ceuta’s Manu Sánchez is nursing physical discomfort, while A. Bassinga is recovering from a muscle injury. Youngster Taufek, recently promoted to the first team, could add fresh legs and energy. José Matos, meanwhile, is walking a suspension tightrope with four yellow cards in 18 appearances.

For Andorra, Martín Merquelanz and Martí Vilà have both dealt with injuries, though the squad remains well-led by captains Nico Ratti, Sergio Molina, and others. The arrival of Ibai Gómez as head coach has brought tactical tweaks and a refreshed technical staff, aiming to shore up a leaky defense.

Head to Head, Betting Odds, and Interesting Facts

While official head to head records between Ceuta and Andorra are limited, both teams have shown they can surprise. Ceuta’s thrilling 3-3 draw at Castellon earlier this season and Andorra’s shock 1-0 win at Valladolid prove both are capable of upsets. Bookmakers currently favor Ceuta for the home win at odds of 2.02, with a draw at 3.45 and an Andorra win at 3.85. These betting odds reflect Ceuta’s strong home form and Andorra’s inconsistency away.

  • Ceuta squad value: €10.85m
  • Andorra squad value: €13.20m
  • Projected ball possession: Ceuta 51%, Andorra 49%
  • Expected shots: Ceuta 15, Andorra 13
  • Predicted corners: Ceuta 5, Andorra 4
  • Yellow cards forecast: Ceuta 2, Andorra 1

Ceuta vs Andorra Prediction: AI Insights and Betting Tips

Now, let’s get to the heart of the Ceuta vs Andorra prediction. Our AI models project a tight contest, with a final scoreline of 2:1 in favor of Ceuta. The first half is expected to be cagey, with Ceuta likely to edge ahead 1:0 before both teams open up in the second period.

  1. Top selection: Under 3.45 goals (odds: 1.36, confidence: 4.2/10). Both teams have shown a tendency toward low-scoring matches, especially Ceuta at home. With recent form pointing to under 2.5 goals in Ceuta’s last three games, this under 3.45 pick looks solid for sports betting fans.
  2. Best 1x2 bet: Home win (Ceuta) at 2.02 (trust score: 2.0). While not a lock, Ceuta’s home advantage and defensive solidity tip the scales in their favor, especially against an Andorra side still adapting to the rigors of the Segunda División.

Expect a balanced battle in midfield, with both sides creating chances—Ceuta and Andorra are each projected to have four shots on target. Corners and cards are likely to be evenly split, reflecting the evenly matched nature of this fixture.

In summary, the Ceuta vs Andorra prediction points to a narrow home win in a match unlikely to see a goal fest. For those looking to place a bet, under 3.45 goals and a Ceuta victory offer the best value based on current form, head to head trends, and betting odds. As always, keep an eye on late team news, but don’t be surprised if Ceuta’s disciplined defense and home crowd make the difference.

Final Score Prediction: Ceuta 2-1 Andorra

Whether you’re a seasoned sports betting enthusiast or just here for the football, this Segunda División contest promises tactical intrigue and betting opportunities. Stay tuned to NerdyTips for more expert previews and predictions!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Ceuta vs Andorra

U3.5 -278

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -278
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 102

Ceuta is expected to win with odds of 102
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -278

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -130

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -200

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.34
xG
1.17
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.1
Expected Goals
1.24
2.2
Total Goals
2.8
1.1
Goals Scored
1.4
1.1
Goals Against
1.4
51%
Possession
59%
11.4
Total Shots
13.9
3.4
Shots on Goal
4.2
4.8
Shots off Goal
5.8
13.1
Fouls
13.9
4.6
Corners
5.1
1.6
Offsides
2.1
2.33
Yellow Cards
1.8
354
Total Passes
483

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
3
Over 2.5 Goals
5
1
Over 3.5 Goals
4
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Ceuta
0 - 0 - 0
Andorra

Profile time Recent Matches of Ceuta

17 Jan Ceuta Ceuta.
-
Valladolid. Valladolid
11 JanL Malaga Malaga.
2:1
Ceuta. Ceuta
04 JanW Ceuta Ceuta.
2:1
Andorra. Andorra
21 DecW Real II Real II.
1:3
Ceuta. Ceuta
14 DecD Ceuta Ceuta.
1:1
Las Palmas. Las Palmas
07 DecD Granada CF Granada CF.
1:1
Ceuta. Ceuta
02 DecL Guadalajara Guadalajara.
1:0
Ceuta. Ceuta
29 NovW Ceuta Ceuta.
1:0
Burgos CF. Burgos CF
23 NovL Deportivo Deportivo.
2:1
Ceuta. Ceuta
16 NovL Ceuta Ceuta.
1:2
Leganes. Leganes

Profile time Recent Matches Of Andorra

18 JanMirandes Mirandes.
-
Andorra.Andorra
10 JanDAndorra Andorra.
1:1
Cultural .Cultural
04 JanLCeuta Ceuta.
2:1
Andorra.Andorra
20 DecWAndorra Andorra.
1:0
Deportivo.Deportivo
13 DecWValladolid Valladolid.
0:1
Andorra.Andorra
06 DecLAndorra Andorra.
1:2
Almeria.Almeria
03 DecLCultural Cultural .
4:2
Andorra.Andorra
28 NovDGijon Gijon.
1:1
Andorra.Andorra
22 NovLAndorra Andorra.
1:3
Castellon.Castellon
15 NovLAlbacete Albacete.
1:0
Andorra.Andorra

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing SantanderRacing Santand 21
45-31
38
2 Las PalmasLas Palmas 21
26-13
38
3 AlmeriaAlmeria 21
40-30
36
4 CastellónCastellón 21
34-25
35
5 Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La C 21
35-24
34
6 CadizCadiz 21
25-23
34
7 MalagaMalaga 21
31-26
32
8 BurgosBurgos 21
25-20
32
9 CordobaCordoba 21
27-24
32
10 AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC 21
25-26
32
11 Sporting GijonSporting Gijon 21
26-29
30
12 LeganesLeganes 21
23-21
26
13 ValladolidValladolid 21
21-23
25
14 FC AndorraFC Andorra 21
23-29
25
15 Cultural LeonesaCultural Leone 21
22-30
25
16 EibarEibar 21
23-26
24
17 AlbaceteAlbacete 21
26-34
24
18 Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad 21
28-30
23
19 HuescaHuesca 21
20-30
23
20 Granada CFGranada CF 21
23-27
22
21 ZaragozaZaragoza 21
20-34
20
22 MirandesMirandes 21
22-35
17
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