Ceuta vs Cordoba Prediction

Ceuta vs Cordoba prediction: Murube pressure, playoff heat

Ceuta vs Cordoba prediction time, and the calendar has picked a spicy one: AD Ceuta FC vs Córdoba CF on 2026-02-08, kickoff 15:15 GMT, with promotion ambitions hanging in the air like a crossed corner in a windy box. It’s a true six-pointer in LaLiga Hypermotion, and it lands at the Estadio Alfonso Murube—on artificial turf that tends to turn visiting teams’ first touch into a small comedy sketch.

Context, form and the little details that decide games

Ceuta arrive as one of the season’s big stories. They’ve made the Murube a points factory, leading the league for home wins (eight), even if last weekend’s 4-2 loss at Almería reminded everyone that road trips can still bite. Córdoba, meanwhile, are travelling with swagger: five wins in their last six and a 3-1 statement against Valladolid. They’ve been the division’s third-best away side, which matters a lot when your destination is a “fortress”.

• Table pressure: Ceuta sit 10th on 35 points; Córdoba are 7th on 38—close enough for one afternoon to redraw the picture.
• Head to head: Ceuta haven’t beaten Córdoba in seven professional meetings (4 draws, 3 losses). The last meeting on 2024-02-18 ended 1-1.
• January signals: Ceuta reportedly rejected offers for Marcos Fernández and even trimmed the squad, while veteran Juanto Ortuño left—clear “we’re pushing” messaging.

Tactical storyline: 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3, but with different priorities

José Juan Romero and Iván Ania both like proactive 4-3-3 shapes, yet the match may swing on who adapts faster to the turf and the absences. Ceuta want width and early deliveries, with creators tasked to keep the ball moving quickly. Córdoba’s model is more about controlled possession and feeding runners into the channels—perfect for away games where patience is a weapon.

• Ceuta fitness watch: Marcos Fernández has had knee treatment and is expected to feature, but his sharpness is a talking point. Jamelli and Manuel Sánchez are out.
• Córdoba absences: Key right-back Carlos Albarrán is suspended; del Moral and Alcedo are injured. Carlos Marín and Juan María are doubtful but travelling.
• Manager mood: Romero has stressed “be ourselves” and ignore budget noise. Ania has talked up ambition and the importance of head-to-head margins.

Ceuta vs Cordoba Prediction: odds, betting tips and AI call

The 1X2 market is tight: Home 2.75, Draw 3.25, Away 2.7. That pricing fits the story—Ceuta’s home power versus Córdoba’s away strength. NerdyTips’ AI leans to the away win: 1X2 pick: 2 at 2.7, but with a modest trust score of 4.9, so it’s more “interesting angle” than “load the cart”.

What our model likes most

• Best tip: Córdoba to score (AS) at 1.30, confidence 6.6/10.
• Goal line lean: Under 3.5 goals at 1.35 (trust 3.4).
• Correct score: 1-2, with HT prediction 0-1.

Those betting tips match the underlying game picture. Our possession forecast has Córdoba slightly on top (57% to 43%), and the shot volumes are similar (13 vs 14, with 5 on target each). That combination often produces a close scoreline where both teams have their moment, but the side with steadier build-up creates the cleaner chances late. Corners tilt Córdoba too (5 to 3), a small hint of sustained pressure.

One more practical note for your Ceuta vs Cordoba prediction: Ceuta’s expected discipline (3 yellows vs 2) could matter if the match tightens in the final half hour. On a day when the market values are close (€12.25m vs €14.80m), details like that—and one well-timed away goal—can be the difference between a playoff push and a long bus ride home.