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Match Prediction

Ceuta vs Valladolid Prediction

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Ceuta

€10.85m

17 Jan09:00
0 : 3

Valladolid

€26.90m

Preview

Ceuta vs Valladolid Prediction Segunda División

Ceuta vs Valladolid Prediction: Stats, Tactics & Smart Bets

Welcome to our Ceuta vs Valladolid prediction for the Segunda División match on January 17, 2026! Football fans and bettors alike are in for a treat as Ceuta hosts Real Valladolid at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. This preview will guide you through the latest team form, head to head stats, betting odds, and our AI-backed tips—all in a fun, readable style perfect for both newcomers and seasoned punters.

Team Form and Tactical Preview

Let’s kick off with the basics. Ceuta—currently 8th in LaLiga 2—have been enjoying a strong run, especially at home. With seven wins in their last ten home games, the Murube is starting to feel like a fortress. Their recent 2-1 win over Andorra FC showed grit, while a 1-1 draw with Granada in December proved they can hold their own against tough opposition.

Valladolid, on the other hand, are sitting 12th. Their form has been a bit like a rollercoaster: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Away from home, they’ve only managed three wins in ten, so traveling to Ceuta might not be their favorite activity right now.

Head to Head and Squad News

  • Head to head: Only one meeting this season—Valladolid won 3.15 at home back in August. But Ceuta’s home advantage could make things very different this time.
  • Injuries & Suspensions: Valladolid have a packed treatment room, with key players like Amath Ndiaye (broken fibula) and Guille Bueno (cruciate ligament) out for months. Ceuta, meanwhile, have no major injury worries but must watch for suspensions—José Matos and Samuel Obeng are both one yellow card away from a ban.
  • Transfers: Valladolid have been busy in the winter window, bringing in Ramón Martínez from Sevilla and Vegard Erlien from Tromsø IL. But will new faces gel in time?

Valladolid’s new boss, Luis Tevenet, is still settling in, while Ceuta’s coaching staff remain largely unchanged. With a stadium capacity of just 6,500, the Murube will be buzzing—small, but mighty!

Betting Odds and AI Predictions

  • Ceuta win: 2.6
  • Draw: 3.155
  • Valladolid win: 3.15

Our AI’s best bet for the Ceuta vs Valladolid prediction is 1X (Ceuta win or draw), with odds of 1.4 and a trust rating of 3.9/10. It’s a cautious pick, but with Ceuta’s home form and Valladolid’s injuries, it makes sense. If you’re feeling brave, a straight Ceuta win (odds 2.6) is the 1x2 market prediction, though the trust rating drops to 3.15.

What to Expect: Key Stats and Scoreline

  • Total goals: Over 1.5 is favored (odds 1.4, confidence 3.8/5). Both teams like to attack, and with a predicted final score of 2:1, goals should be on the menu!
  • Possession: Ceuta 52%, Valladolid 48%—expect a balanced midfield battle.
  • Shots: Ceuta 11, Valladolid 12. On target? Ceuta 4, Valladolid 2. Looks like Ceuta will make more of their chances.
  • Corners: 4 for Ceuta, 5 for Valladolid. Not a corner-fest, but enough for the set-piece fans.
  • Yellow cards: Ceuta 2, Valladolid 4—discipline might be an issue for the away side.

If you’re looking for value, the 1X market is a safe bet, but the over 1.5 total goals line looks even more tempting. Ceuta’s home strength and Valladolid’s patchy away form point to the hosts having the edge, especially with the visitors’ long injury list and recent squad changes.

Final Thoughts: Our Ceuta vs Valladolid Prediction

In summary, Ceuta’s home record and Valladolid’s struggles on the road tip the scales towards the hosts. Our Ceuta vs Valladolid prediction? A 2:1 win for Ceuta, with the first half likely ending 1:0. Expect a tight match with plenty of passion—and maybe a few more yellow cards than goals!

Whether you’re betting or just watching for the love of football, this fixture promises drama, goals, and a real test of nerves. Good luck, and may your bets be as accurate as a Ceuta penalty!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Ceuta vs Valladolid

1X -250

Ceuta to win or draw with odds of -250
3/10

1x2 Tip

1 160

Ceuta is expected to win with odds of 160
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -182

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 101

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 111

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.33
xG
0.81
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
4

Average / Match

1.22
Expected Goals
0.91
2.4
Total Goals
2.2
1.2
Goals Scored
0.8
1.2
Goals Against
1.4
50%
Possession
50%
10.3
Total Shots
14.3
3.6
Shots on Goal
3.3
3.9
Shots off Goal
6.8
13
Fouls
16.9
4.6
Corners
6.4
1.6
Offsides
2.4
2.38
Yellow Cards
3.75
359
Total Passes
412

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
1
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
8
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Ceuta
0 - 0 - 1
Valladolid
Valladolid Valladolid 15-Aug-25
3:0
 Ceuta Ceuta

Profile time Recent Matches of Ceuta

08 MarL Las Palmas Las Palmas 4 Ceuta Ceuta 0
01 MarW Mirandes Mirandes 0 Ceuta Ceuta 1
25 FebW Ceuta Ceuta 3 Cordoba Cordoba 2
20 FebW Ceuta Ceuta 2 Granada CF Granada CF 1
15 FebL Huesca Huesca 2 Ceuta Ceuta 0
01 FebL Almeria Almeria 4 Ceuta Ceuta 2
26 JanW Ceuta Ceuta 3 Cultural Cultural 1
17 JanL Ceuta Ceuta 0 Valladolid Valladolid 3
11 JanL Malaga Malaga 2 Ceuta Ceuta 1
04 JanW Ceuta Ceuta 2 Andorra Andorra 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Valladolid

07 MarDMalaga Malaga 3 Valladolid Valladolid 3
28 FebWValladolid Valladolid 1 Huesca Huesca 0
22 FebDGijon Gijon 2 Valladolid Valladolid 2
14 FebLGranada CF Granada CF 5 Valladolid Valladolid 1
08 FebLValladolid Valladolid 0 Castellon Castellon 4
31 JanLCordoba Cordoba 3 Valladolid Valladolid 1
24 JanLValladolid Valladolid 0 Albacete Albacete 1
17 JanWCeuta Ceuta 0 Valladolid Valladolid 3
11 JanLLeganes Leganes 3 Valladolid Valladolid 0
03 JanDValladolid Valladolid 1 Racing S Racing S 1

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing28
56-36
53
2 Castellón Castellón28
46-29
49
3 Almeria Almeria28
53-40
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La28
44-31
49
5 Malaga Malaga28
41-31
47
6 Las Palmas Las Palmas28
34-22
45
7 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC28
36-39
44
8 Burgos Burgos28
30-26
43
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon28
38-36
42
10 Cordoba Cordoba28
38-37
41
11 Eibar Eibar28
31-30
38
12 FC Andorra FC Andorra28
35-40
35
13 Albacete Albacete28
33-39
35
14 Cadiz Cadiz28
29-35
35
15 Leganes Leganes28
29-28
34
16 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad28
38-39
34
17 Granada CF Granada CF28
32-33
32
18 Valladolid Valladolid28
29-38
32
19 Huesca Huesca28
26-37
30
20 Cultural Leonesa Cultural28
27-44
27
21 Mirandes Mirandes28
28-45
24
22 Zaragoza Zaragoza28
23-41
24
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