Ceuta vs Valladolid Prediction

Ceuta vs Valladolid Prediction: Stats, Tactics & Smart Bets

Welcome to our Ceuta vs Valladolid prediction for the Segunda División match on January 17, 2026! Football fans and bettors alike are in for a treat as Ceuta hosts Real Valladolid at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. This preview will guide you through the latest team form, head to head stats, betting odds, and our AI-backed tips—all in a fun, readable style perfect for both newcomers and seasoned punters.

Team Form and Tactical Preview

Let’s kick off with the basics. Ceuta—currently 8th in LaLiga 2—have been enjoying a strong run, especially at home. With seven wins in their last ten home games, the Murube is starting to feel like a fortress. Their recent 2-1 win over Andorra FC showed grit, while a 1-1 draw with Granada in December proved they can hold their own against tough opposition.

Valladolid, on the other hand, are sitting 12th. Their form has been a bit like a rollercoaster: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Away from home, they’ve only managed three wins in ten, so traveling to Ceuta might not be their favorite activity right now.

Head to Head and Squad News

• Head to head: Only one meeting this season—Valladolid won 2.92 at home back in August. But Ceuta’s home advantage could make things very different this time.
• Injuries & Suspensions: Valladolid have a packed treatment room, with key players like Amath Ndiaye (broken fibula) and Guille Bueno (cruciate ligament) out for months. Ceuta, meanwhile, have no major injury worries but must watch for suspensions—José Matos and Samuel Obeng are both one yellow card away from a ban.
• Transfers: Valladolid have been busy in the winter window, bringing in Ramón Martínez from Sevilla and Vegard Erlien from Tromsø IL. But will new faces gel in time?

Valladolid’s new boss, Luis Tevenet, is still settling in, while Ceuta’s coaching staff remain largely unchanged. With a stadium capacity of just 6,500, the Murube will be buzzing—small, but mighty!

Betting Odds and AI Predictions

• Ceuta win: 2.65
• Draw: 2.925
• Valladolid win: 2.92

Our AI’s best bet for the Ceuta vs Valladolid prediction is 1X (Ceuta win or draw), with odds of 1.44 and a trust rating of 3.9/10. It’s a cautious pick, but with Ceuta’s home form and Valladolid’s injuries, it makes sense. If you’re feeling brave, a straight Ceuta win (odds 2.65) is the 1x2 market prediction, though the trust rating drops to 2.9.

What to Expect: Key Stats and Scoreline

• Total goals: Over 1.5 is favored (odds 1.44, confidence 3.8/5). Both teams like to attack, and with a predicted final score of 2:1, goals should be on the menu!
• Possession: Ceuta 52%, Valladolid 48%—expect a balanced midfield battle.
• Shots: Ceuta 11, Valladolid 12. On target? Ceuta 4, Valladolid 2. Looks like Ceuta will make more of their chances.
• Corners: 4 for Ceuta, 5 for Valladolid. Not a corner-fest, but enough for the set-piece fans.
• Yellow cards: Ceuta 2, Valladolid 4—discipline might be an issue for the away side.

If you’re looking for value, the 1X market is a safe bet, but the over 1.5 total goals line looks even more tempting. Ceuta’s home strength and Valladolid’s patchy away form point to the hosts having the edge, especially with the visitors’ long injury list and recent squad changes.

Final Thoughts: Our Ceuta vs Valladolid Prediction

In summary, Ceuta’s home record and Valladolid’s struggles on the road tip the scales towards the hosts. Our Ceuta vs Valladolid prediction? A 2:1 win for Ceuta, with the first half likely ending 1:0. Expect a tight match with plenty of passion—and maybe a few more yellow cards than goals!

Whether you’re betting or just watching for the love of football, this fixture promises drama, goals, and a real test of nerves. Good luck, and may your bets be as accurate as a Ceuta penalty!