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Match Prediction

CF Montreal vs St. Louis City Prediction

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CF Montreal

€24.10m

13 Sep19:30
0 : 2

St. Louis City

€39.63m

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CF Montreal vs St. Louis City Prediction Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs St. Louis City Prediction: Goals Expected at Stade Saputo

Welcome to our CF Montreal vs St. Louis City prediction for the September 14, 2025, MLS fixture at Stade Saputo. If you’re searching for the latest betting tips, head to head stats, and a clear-eyed look at both teams’ form, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down the story behind this matchup and see what the numbers—and our AI—have to say.

Team News, Tactics, and Season Stories

CF Montreal and St. Louis City both enter this game with plenty of questions and a few bright sparks. While neither side is enjoying a dream campaign, there’s enough unpredictability in the air to keep fans (and punters) guessing.

  • CF Montreal are in the midst of a rebuild, focusing on youth and fresh faces. Under interim head coach Marco Donadel, the team has shown a willingness to take risks, shifting away from the more rigid 3-4-2-1 formation of the Courtois era. Montreal’s form has been mixed—one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five MLS matches. Despite being rooted to the bottom of the table, they’ve managed to stay competitive, drawing 1-1 with Toronto and Atlanta, and even grabbing a 3-2 win over Austin.
  • Their season stats tell the tale: just three wins in 24 league games, 29 goals scored, but a leaky defense with 51 conceded. The club’s market value sits at €24.10m, reflecting their focus on developing promising prospects like Prince Owusu—Montreal’s top scorer with 12 league goals this season.
  • St. Louis City have also struggled to recapture the magic of their 2023 debut. Under Olof Mellberg, they’ve shifted to a more cautious style, but defensive frailties remain, even with new signings like Timo Baumgartl. Their away form is a particular concern: just one win in their last 14 road games. Recent results include a 1-1 draw at FC Dallas and a string of 3-2 defeats. Still, with attacking talent like Cedric Teuchert and João Klauss, they’re always capable of finding the net.
  • St. Louis holds a slight edge in market value at €39.63m and have scored 33 while conceding 50 this season. Roman Bürki remains a standout in goal, but he’s been a busy man behind a shaky defense.

Key Players and Squad Updates

Both squads have seen plenty of movement. Montreal’s new arrivals—like midfielder Fabian Herbers and defender Jalen Neal—are being thrown into the deep end, while departures such as Matías Cóccaro and Josef Martínez have left gaps to fill. St. Louis have also shuffled their pack, bringing in Baumgartl and Conrad Wallem, while bidding farewell to Nökkvi Thórisson.

  • Montreal’s strengths: Youthful energy, willingness to take risks, and a striker in form with Prince Owusu.
  • St. Louis City’s strengths: Attacking depth, experience in goal with Bürki, and midfield creativity from Eduard Löwen and Marcel Hartel.
  • Injury news: No confirmed injury updates yet for either side, but keep an eye out for late announcements—especially with St. Louis’s Marco Reus nursing a knee injury earlier in the year.

CF Montreal vs St. Louis City Prediction and Betting Tips

Now, let’s get into the numbers and what our AI model has to say about this CF Montreal vs St. Louis City prediction. Both teams have been leaky at the back but have enough firepower up front to keep things interesting. Here’s how the betting landscape looks:

  1. Match odds: Home win (2.1), Draw (3.6), Away win (3.25).
  2. AI’s standout pick: Over 2.5 goals (at least three goals in the match) at odds of 1.5, with a confidence rating of 5.4/10. Both teams have a habit of conceding and scoring, so expect action at both ends.
  3. 1x2 prediction: The AI favors a 1X result (home win or draw) with a calculated trust of 2.0 and odds at 1.42. This reflects Montreal’s slightly better recent form at home and St. Louis’s struggles away from Missouri.
  4. Stat projections: Expect St. Louis to shade possession (52% to Montreal’s 48%) and outshoot the hosts (18 shots to 12), but with both teams creating chances. The AI projects a 2:2 final score, with a goalless first half and fireworks after the break.
  5. Other stats: St. Louis are expected to win more corners (7 to Montreal’s 4), and the yellow card count should stay low.

Head to Head: What History Tells Us

While these two sides haven’t built up a long rivalry, previous meetings have often been open affairs, with goals at both ends. Both teams drew their last MLS outings—Montreal 1:1 at Orlando, St. Louis 2:2 at Los Angeles—showing their knack for late drama and unpredictability.

Final Thoughts and Betting Tips

This game has the feel of a late-season encounter where both teams have little to lose and plenty of pride to play for. Our top betting tips for this CF Montreal vs St. Louis City prediction:

  • Over 2.5 goals is the standout pick—both teams love to attack and struggle to defend, so expect goals at Stade Saputo.
  • 1X (Montreal or Draw) is a solid option for those looking for a bit more safety, given St. Louis’s miserable away record.
  • Correct score prediction: 2:2. If you’re feeling adventurous, this could offer value at longer odds.

In summary, expect an entertaining, end-to-end contest with both sides playing for pride and possibly a few highlight-reel moments. For more head to head analysis and betting tips, keep following NerdyTips for all your MLS predictions!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for CF Montreal vs St. Louis City

O2.5 -200

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -200
5/10

1x2 Tip

1X -238

CF Montreal to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -200

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -227

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -169

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Corners
7
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.05
Expected Goals
1.21
2.8
Total Goals
3.8
1.3
Goals Scored
1.6
1.5
Goals Against
2.2
47%
Possession
53%
11.3
Total Shots
17.1
3.9
Shots on Goal
5.8
5.1
Shots off Goal
7
12.3
Fouls
10.7
3.9
Corners
6.2
1.8
Offsides
1.7
2.86
Yellow Cards
1.44
0
Red Cards
0.11
361
Total Passes
445

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
10
Over 1.5 Goals
10
5
Over 2.5 Goals
9
2
Over 3.5 Goals
5
9
Both Teams Scored
9
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

CF Montreal
0 - 0 - 0
St. Louis City

Profile time Recent Matches of CF Montreal

23 JanL Liberec Liberec.
3:2
 CF Montrea. CF Montreal

Profile time Recent Matches of St. L

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