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Match Prediction

Chabab Mohammedia vs Raja Casablanca Prediction

Finished
Morocco flag Morocco

Chabab M

€2.99m

12 May15:00
0 : 6

Raja C

€9.07m

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Chabab M vs Raja C Prediction Botola Pro

Chabab Mohammedia vs Raja Casablanca Prediction: Can the Underdogs Defy the Odds Again?

When Chabab Mohammedia vs Raja Casablanca takes center stage at Stade El Bachir on May 12, 2025, the betting odds paint a clear picture: Raja are the overwhelming favorites. But as any seasoned football fan knows, the beautiful game loves a twist. With Raja’s squad valued at €9.07m—three times Mohammedia’s €2.99m—the gulf in resources is stark. Yet, history reminds us that money doesn’t always decide matches. Let’s dive into the stats, trends, and betting odds to unpack this intriguing encounter.

The Odds and AI Insights: Raja’s Dominance Expected

The bookmakers aren’t mincing words. Raja’s away win is priced at a meager 1.25, while a shock home victory for Chabab Mohammedia sits at 10.3. A draw? That’s 5.4. NerdyTips’ AI aligns with this outlook, recommending a Raja win (2) as the best tip, albeit with a modest trust level of 3.7/10. The predicted final score of 1-2, with a halftime lead for Raja (0-1), suggests a controlled but not overwhelming performance. Here’s what stands out:

  • Raja’s recent head-to-head edge: Their 2-0 away win in April 2024 (odds: 1.39) reinforces their psychological advantage.
  • Mohammedia’s occasional defiance: Their 1-1 draw at Riadi Salmi in February 2025, defying 7.0 odds, shows they can scrap.
  • Over 2.5 goals? The AI leans yes (odds 1.8, trust 2.9), aligning with Botola Pro’s 37.3% rate for high-scoring games.

Botola Pro Trends: Context Matters

League-wide stats add nuance to this Chabab Mohammedia vs Raja Casablanca prediction. Home teams win 40.3% of Botola Pro matches, but Raja’s pedigree skews that logic. Consider:

  1. Away struggles league-wide: Only 23.9% of games end in away wins, yet Raja’s squad depth often bucks trends.
  2. Goals aren’t guaranteed: Just 37.3% of matches see over 2.5 goals, but Raja’s firepower raises the probability.
  3. Both teams to score? At 45.8%, it’s a coin flip—Raja’s defense might tip the scales.

Squad Value: The Elephant in the Room

Raja’s €9.07m roster dwarfs Mohammedia’s €2.99m, and that financial muscle usually translates to consistency. Yet, football isn’t played on spreadsheets. Mohammedia’s gritty draw against Riadi Salmi proves they can frustrate richer opponents. The key question: Can they replicate that against a side that’s already beaten them convincingly?

Betting Angles: Where’s the Value?

For punters, this isn’t a match for heavy stakes. Raja’s win odds (1.25) offer minimal returns, but the AI’s suggested 1.25 odds for the same outcome hint at slight market variations. Here’s how to approach it:

  • Safe bet: Raja win (2) – low risk, lower reward.
  • Dark horse: Mohammedia +1.5 handicap – if they keep it tight.
  • Goal markets: Over 2.5 at 1.8 has appeal, given Raja’s attacking quality.

Final Verdict: Raja to Grind It Out

While the head-to-head and squad disparities favor Raja, don’t expect a rout. Mohammedia’s home turf and sporadic resilience could make this nervier than the betting odds suggest. Our Chabab Mohammedia vs Raja Casablanca prediction: a 1-2 away win, with Raja’s class edging a spirited but outgunned opponent. For bettors, tread carefully—sometimes, the obvious pick is the right one.

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AI Predictions
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Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Chabab M vs Raja C

2 -400

Raja C is expected to win with odds of -400
3/10

1x2 Tip

2 -400

Raja C is expected to win with odds of -400
3/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -125

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 145

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O2.5 -125

Away win/draw and over 2.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Average / Match

3.2
Total Goals
2.2
0.6
Goals Scored
1.3
2.6
Goals Against
0.9

Overview Last 10 Matches

0
Wins
4
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Chabab Mohammedia
0 - 2 - 10
Raja Casablanca
Chabab Mohammedia Chabab M 12-May-25
0:6
Raja C Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca Raja C 22-Dec-24
3:0
Chabab M Chabab Mohammedia
Chabab Mohammedia Chabab M 14-Apr-24
0:2
Raja C Raja Casablanca
Chabab Mohammedia Chabab M 07-Apr-24
0:1
Raja C Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca Raja C 26-Nov-23
1:0
Chabab M Chabab Mohammedia
Chabab Mohammedia Chabab M 14-May-23
1:2
Raja C Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca Raja C 04-Mar-23
1:0
Chabab M Chabab Mohammedia
Chabab Mohammedia Chabab M 30-Sep-22
0:0
Raja C Raja Casablanca
Chabab Mohammedia Chabab M 19-Jun-22
0:0
Raja C Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca Raja C 19-Nov-21
2:1
Chabab M Chabab Mohammedia

Profile time Recent Matches of Chabab M

Profile time Recent Matches of Raja C

25 JanDUnion Touarga Union Touarg.
1:1
Raja C.Raja C

Morocco - Botola Pro Morocco - Botola Pro

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Renaissance Berkane Renaissance30
49-14
70
2 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat30
48-24
57
3 Wydad AC Wydad AC30
45-27
54
4 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat30
53-26
53
5 Raja Casablanca Raja30
38-25
48
6 CR Khemis Zemamra CR Khemis30
34-29
47
7 Olympique Safi Olympique Safi30
37-33
46
8 Maghreb Fès Maghreb Fès30
34-29
46
9 Difaa EL Jadida Difaa EL30
36-42
42
10 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger30
35-37
37
11 CODM Meknès CODM Meknès30
27-44
36
12 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat30
29-34
35
13 Hassania Agadir Hassania30
31-38
29
14 Riadi Salmi Riadi Salmi30
21-42
25
15 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb30
25-40
23
16 Chabab Mohammédia Chabab30
13-71
4
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