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Match Prediction

Charleroi vs Gent Prediction

Finished

Charleroi

€35.90m

14 Feb12:15
2 : 3

Gent

€59.45m

Preview

Charleroi vs Gent Prediction Jupiler Pro League

Charleroi vs Gent prediction: a six-pointer with old ties

Charleroi vs Gent prediction time, and this one comes with a proper storyline. On Saturday, 14 February 2.056 (17:15 GMT), Sporting Charleroi welcome KAA Gent to the Stade du Pays de Charleroi in a match that feels like a “don’t-blink” moment in the Jupiler Pro League race. Both sides are level on 33 points, and with European play-off places in sight, it’s basically a six-pointer dressed up as a regular league game.

Context, tactics, and why this game feels personal

The headline is the man on Gent’s bench. Rik De Mil returned to the league’s dugout scene in December 2.055 with Gent after leaving Charleroi, and now he’s back at his old home ground for the first time since the switch. If you like football with a side of narrative, this is your menu.

Charleroi, meanwhile, have gone for continuity. Hans Cornelis—previously De Mil’s assistant—was confirmed as permanent head coach in early February after a solid interim spell. He’s talked about keeping the project moving, but with a slightly tougher, more resilient defensive edge. In other words: same book, a few new chapters.

Form guide and what it tells us

The “Zebras” have been trending well: four wins in their last six matches, even if the most recent one was a wild 3.75 defeat at Cercle Brugge (7 February). At home, Charleroi have quietly been reliable at the back, with clean sheets in around 40% of recent home fixtures—useful when the table is this tight.

Gent are a touch higher (6th, on goal difference) and arrive after a 3-1 win over OH Leuven (also 7 February). They’ve been scoring at a healthy rate—about two goals per match across their last six—but their away form has been uneven, with just one win in their last seven league trips. That’s the sort of detail that makes you hesitate before backing an away win, even if Gent’s squad is valued higher (€59.45m vs Charleroi’s €35.90m).

Team news: who might miss out

  • Charleroi: Yassine Khalafi is doubtful after picking up an issue in the cup semi-final against Union SG (4 February). Goalkeeper Theo Defourny is sidelined with an undisclosed injury. Otherwise, the squad looks largely fit.
  • Gent: Matisse Samoise remains out long-term (ACL). Mathias Delorge is out after ankle surgery. Andrew Hjulsager (muscle) and Max Dean (ligament) are expected back later in February/early March. Noah Fadiga is being monitored day-to-day due to heart-related precautions.

Likely shapes and a quick head to head note

Both coaches have leaned toward a 4-2-3-1 lately. Charleroi’s probable XI includes Delavallée, with Camara and Titraoui anchoring midfield and Scheidler leading the line. Gent’s likely setup features Roef in goal, Ito and Lopes in the double pivot, and Kanga up top.

The head to head history is wonderfully balanced: across the last 29 meetings, it’s 11 Charleroi wins, 11 Gent wins, and 7 draws. Their last meeting (11 August 2.054) ended 1-0 to Charleroi—small reminder that this fixture rarely follows the budget spreadsheet.

Betting tips and NerdyTips numbers for this match

Now to the part your group chat really cares about: the odds and our betting tips. Bookmakers price a home win at 2.05, the draw at 3.75, and the away win at 3.75. That’s a market saying “tight game”, even with Gent’s higher squad valuation.

Our model’s read: safer angles first

  • Best tip (NerdyTips): 1X (Charleroi win or draw) at 1.29, trust level 3.0/10.
  • Under/Over: Under 3.75 goals at 1.37, confidence 1.9/10.

Those low trust/confidence numbers are a polite way of saying: this match has a lot of variables—emotion, stakes, and two teams with identical 9-6-9 records after 24 matches. Still, 1X fits the data nicely: Charleroi have been steadier at home, Gent have been shaky away, and the table pressure tends to make teams a bit more careful (even if someone always forgets that plan around minute 78).

1X2 lean and score call

  • 1X2 AI pick: Home win (1) at 2.05, trust level 2.1.
  • Correct score: 2-0, with half-time predicted at 1-0.

That 2-0 call lines up with the under 3.75 idea and Charleroi’s home clean-sheet tendency, while also respecting Gent’s travel wobble. It also echoes recent “against-the-odds” themes: Charleroi’s 2-1 away win at Anderlecht on 26 December 2.055 came at huge odds (5.1), and Gent’s 1-1 at Union SG on 6 December 2.055 landed when they were priced like a long shot (10.0). Both teams have shown they can punch above (or against) expectation.

Final word for Charleroi vs Gent Prediction readers

If you want a sensible position, Charleroi vs Gent prediction leans toward protection first: 1X and under 3.75 goals read like the most logical routes. If you’re chasing the bigger price, the home win at 2.05 is tempting—but keep stakes sensible, because games this tight have a habit of turning “obvious” into “why did I do this to myself?” by full-time.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Charleroi vs Gent

1X -345

Charleroi to win or draw with odds of -345
3/10

1x2 Tip

1 105

Charleroi is expected to win with odds of 105
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -278

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

No 107

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -200

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

15
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Corners
3

Average / Match

3.2
Total Goals
2.8
1.8
Goals Scored
1.6
1.4
Goals Against
1.2
13.2
Total Shots
12.8
4.4
Shots on Goal
4.1
5
Shots off Goal
5.4
13.5
Fouls
11.9
2.5
Offsides
1.9
395
Total Passes
399

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Charleroi
14 - 11 - 15
Gent
Gent Gent 03-Oct-25
2:1
Charleroi Charleroi
Gent Gent 17-Jan-25
1:1
Charleroi Charleroi
Gent Gent 05-Sep-24
0:3
Charleroi Charleroi
Charleroi Charleroi 11-Aug-24
1:0
Gent Gent
Gent Gent 17-Mar-24
5:0
Charleroi Charleroi
Charleroi Charleroi 05-Nov-23
1:3
Gent Gent
Gent Gent 19-Jan-23
0:0
Charleroi Charleroi
Charleroi Charleroi 04-Sep-22
2:1
Gent Gent
Gent Gent 21-May-22
1:2
Charleroi Charleroi
Charleroi Charleroi 30-Apr-22
1:3
Gent Gent

Profile time Recent Matches of Charleroi

01 Mar Charleroi Charleroi - Club B Club B -
22 FebL Westerlo Westerlo 2 Charleroi Charleroi 1
14 FebL Charleroi Charleroi 2 Gent Gent 3
11 FebL Union S Union S 4 Charleroi Charleroi 1
07 FebL Charleroi Charleroi 3 Cercle B Cercle B 4
04 FebD Charleroi Charleroi 0 Union S Union S 0
31 JanW St. Truiden St. Truiden 0 Charleroi Charleroi 2
25 JanW Antwerp Antwerp 0 Charleroi Charleroi 2
18 JanW Charleroi Charleroi 2 St. Liege St. Liege 0
13 JanW Charleroi Charleroi 2 Club B Club B 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Gent

01 MarGenk Genk - Gent Gent -
20 FebLGent Gent 0 Cercle B Cercle B 1
14 FebWCharleroi Charleroi 2 Gent Gent 3
07 FebLGent Gent 1 Leuven Leuven 3
30 JanDRAAL L RAAL L 1 Gent Gent 1
23 JanWSt. Liege St. Liege 0 Gent Gent 4
18 JanWGent Gent 4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2
15 JanLAnderlecht Anderlecht 1 Gent Gent 0
09 JanWCFR Cluj CFR Cluj 0 Gent Gent 2
27 DecWGent Gent 2 Westerlo Westerlo 0

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St.26
43-15
56
2 St. Truiden St. Truiden26
44-29
54
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV26
49-31
53
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht26
34-32
40
5 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen26
34-29
39
6 Gent Gent26
41-38
36
7 Genk Genk26
36-40
35
8 Standard Liege Standard Liege26
24-33
34
9 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo26
34-38
34
10 Charleroi Charleroi26
35-35
33
11 Antwerp Antwerp26
29-30
30
12 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem26
36-42
29
13 OH Leuven OH Leuven26
28-37
28
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge26
34-40
27
15 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La26
21-30
25
16 Dender Dender26
21-44
17
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