icon back

Match Prediction

Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

Charlotte

€46.97m

18 Oct18:00
2 : 0

Philadelp

€39.28m

Preview

Charlotte vs Philadelp Prediction Major League Soccer

Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union Prediction: Shield Winners Meet Playoff Hopefuls

Our Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union prediction looks ahead to a fascinating final-day MLS encounter. The stage is set at a buzzing Bank of America Stadium for Charlotte's Fan Appreciation Night, where a playoff-bound host meets the newly crowned Supporters' Shield champions. This Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union fixture promises tactical intrigue, with one team fine-tuning for a title run and the other looking to build momentum.

Tale of the Tape: Form, Tactics, and Key Men

Philadelphia Union arrives in North Carolina as the league's top dog. Under coach Bradley Carnell, they have been a machine, clinching the Shield with a club-record 20 wins and boasting the league's stingiest defense (33 goals conceded). Their 4-2-2-2 system is a high-pressing, vertical nightmare for opponents, designed to win the ball back quickly and launch rapid attacks through top scorer Tai Baribo (15 goals) and creative force Kai Wagner (10 assists).

Charlotte, under Dean Smith, has secured its own playoff spot with a season highlighted by a stunning nine-game winning streak. Their tactical shift to a direct, defensively solid mid-block has paid dividends. They will look to narrow the field, force Philadelphia wide, and rely on their own stars: 22 Under-22 list member Idan Toklomati (11 goals) and the creative genius of Pep Biel (11 assists).

Team News and Head-to-Head Context

Injury news slightly favors the home side. Charlotte has a clean bill of health, while Philadelphia will be without Q. Sullivan and I. Glavinovich. The historical head to head record gives a slight edge to the Union, who have won four of the eight previous meetings. Interestingly, their last match ended in a 0-0 stalemate, a result that might hint at what's to come.

Breaking Down the Betting Odds and AI Forecast

Now, let's dive into the numbers that shape our Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union prediction. The bookmakers see this as an incredibly tight affair. The betting odds reflect this parity:

  • Home Win (Charlotte): 2.35
  • Draw: 3.7
  • Away Win (Philadelphia): 2.7

With Philadelphia's key achievement already secured, motivation becomes a key question. Will they rotate? Will their intensity drop? This uncertainty is a central factor in our analysis.

Our AI's Data-Driven Projection

Our analytical model has crunched the numbers, and its projections paint a clear picture of a low-scoring, tightly-contested match. The AI's top betting recommendation is a 1X (Charlotte to Win or Draw) at odds of 1.44. This pick acknowledges Charlotte's strong home-field advantage on their special fan night and the potential for a Union side that may have one eye on the playoffs.

Here is a detailed look at the AI's statistical forecast for the game:

  • Predicted Final Score: 1-0 to Charlotte.
  • Half-Time Score: 0-0.
  • Total Goals: The AI strongly predicts Under 3.5 goals (odds: 1.445), aligning with both teams' defensive strengths and the low-scoring nature of their last meeting.
  • Possession: Charlotte is expected to see more of the ball (56%) as Philadelphia often cedes possession to launch counters.
  • Shots: A fascinating split: Philadelphia is forecasted for more shots (12 to 8), but both teams are predicted to have an equal number of shots on goal (3 each).
  • Discipline: An even game is expected here too, with 2 yellow cards predicted for each side.

Final Thoughts and Prediction Verdict

This Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union prediction hinges on context. While Philadelphia is the better team on paper and by season-long performance, the circumstances favor Charlotte. Playing at home on Fan Appreciation Night with a full-strength squad, they will be desperate for a positive result to carry into the playoffs. Philadelphia, having already secured every possible regular-season advantage, might not be willing to risk everything in a physical battle.

Therefore, the smart money, backed by our AI's data, is on Charlotte avoiding defeat. The 1X (Double Chance) bet offers solid value for a match where a draw feels like a very likely outcome, but a narrow, gritty 1-0 home win would not be a surprise at all.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Charlotte vs Philadelp

1X -227

Charlotte to win or draw with odds of -227
2/10

1x2 Tip

1 135

Charlotte is expected to win with odds of 135
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -189

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

No 150

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -169

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

56%
Ball Possession
44%
8
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
3
2
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.97
Expected Goals
1.51
2.3
Total Goals
3.2
1.4
Goals Scored
1.8
0.9
Goals Against
1.4
50%
Possession
48%
7.9
Total Shots
14.1
2.9
Shots on Goal
4.3
2.5
Shots off Goal
5.9
11.5
Fouls
13.5
3.9
Corners
4.6
2
Offsides
1.1
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.38
0.13
Red Cards
0.13
444
Total Passes
371

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
6
6
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
5
3
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Charlotte
2 - 2 - 4
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 15-Jun-25
2:1
Charlotte Charlotte
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 28-Jul-24
1:0
Charlotte Charlotte
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 23-Jun-24
0:2
Charlotte Charlotte
Charlotte Charlotte 26-May-24
0:0
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
Charlotte Charlotte 21-Sep-23
2:2
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 01-Jun-23
1:0
Charlotte Charlotte
Charlotte Charlotte 01-Oct-22
4:0
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 04-Apr-22
2:0
Charlotte Charlotte

Profile time Recent Matches of Charlotte

Profile time Recent Matches of Philadelp

29 JanPhiladelp Philadelp.
-
Buducnost.Buducnost
23 JanLNordsjaelland Nordsjaell.
2:1
Philadelp.Philadelp

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia34
57-35
66
2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati34
52-40
65
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami34
81-55
65
4 Charlotte Charlotte34
55-46
59
5 New York City FC New York City34
50-44
56
6 Nashville SC Nashville SC34
58-45
54
7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew34
55-51
54
8 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire34
68-60
53
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City34
63-51
53
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red34
48-47
43
11 New England Revolution New England34
44-51
36
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC34
37-44
32
13 CF Montreal CF Montreal34
34-60
28
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United34
38-63
28
15 DC United DC United34
30-66
26
Video preview
You might also like:
Lazio vs Genoa RB Leipzig vs Mainz Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches