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Match Prediction

Chivilcoy vs Las Parejas Prediction

Finished

Chivilcoy

€60.00Th.

5 Jul14:00
1 : 0

Las Parejas

€75.00Th.

Preview

Chivilcoy vs Las Parejas Prediction Torneo Federal A

Chivilcoy vs Las Parejas Prediction: Will Defense or Drama Prevail?

The anticipation is palpable as fans gear up for the latest Torneo Federal A fixture: Chivilcoy vs Las Parejas prediction is the phrase on every punter’s lips ahead of this July 5th, 2025 encounter at Estadio Raúl Orlando Lungarzo. With the home side priced at 1.74 for the win, a draw at 3.44, and Las Parejas out at 4.1, the betting odds paint a picture of home-field advantage—but as seasoned followers of this league know, the script is rarely so simple.

Setting the Scene: Odds, Stats, and the Weight of History

Let’s break down the numbers before diving into the heart of the Chivilcoy vs Las Parejas prediction. The AI’s best tip for this fixture is under 2.5 goals (odds 1.65, confidence 4.9/10), which aligns neatly with the predicted final score of 1:0 and a halftime score of 1:0. The 1x2 market also leans toward a home win (trust 1.6, odds 1.74), but not with overwhelming conviction. Why the caution? Because Torneo Federal A has a knack for keeping things tight and tense.

  • Home teams win 45.0% of matches.
  • Away victories are rare at 20.2%.
  • Draws account for a hefty 34.8%.
  • Both teams scored in just 40.2% of games.
  • 59.3% of matches saw over 1.5 goals, but only 34.2% cleared the 2.5-goal hurdle.
  • Just 15.7% of matches had more than 3.5 goals.

These league-wide patterns reinforce the wisdom behind the under 2.5 goals tip. It’s a market that’s been kind to punters who value patience over pyrotechnics.

Head to Head: Recent Encounters and Market Value Insights

The last time these sides met, on May 11, 2024, sparks flew: Independiente De Chivilcoy 2, Sportivo Las Parejas 4. The pre-match odds then (Chivilcoy 1.8, Las Parejas 4.67) suggested a home banker, but Las Parejas ripped up the script in a six-goal thriller—an outlier in a league where goals are usually rationed. That result is a timely reminder that while the under 2.5 goals market is statistically sound, football has a way of defying expectations.

  • Chivilcoy’s market value: €60.00Th.
  • Las Parejas’ market value: €75.00Th.

Las Parejas’ slight edge in squad value might tempt some to chase the away win at 4.1, but Torneo Federal A’s home bias is hard to ignore. Still, value doesn’t always translate to results—especially in a league where grit often trumps glamour.

Recent Form: Grit, Goals, and the Occasional Goal Fest

Chivilcoy’s 0:1 away win over Douglas Haig (odds 6.24) on May 18, 2023, showcased their ability to grind out results as underdogs—a trait that bodes well for their home prospects. On the flip side, Las Parejas’ wild 4:4 away draw at 9 de Julio Rafaela (odds 7.5) on May 24, 2025, was a rare fireworks display in a league more accustomed to chess than checkers.

  1. Chivilcoy can keep things tight and capitalize on home advantage.
  2. Las Parejas, while less fancied, have shown they can spring a surprise when least expected.

Betting Insights: Where’s the Smart Money?

So, what’s the best angle for bettors? The under 2.5 goals market (odds 1.65) looks like the shrewd play, given both the league’s low-scoring nature and the predicted 1:0 outcome. The home win at 1.74 is also tempting, especially with Chivilcoy’s solid record and the league’s home-friendly stats. But, as the last head to head showed, both teams are capable of tearing up the script—so a small stake on a surprise (or a live bet if the match opens up) could be worth considering.

In summary, the Chivilcoy vs Las Parejas prediction favors a tight, tactical affair—think chess, not checkers—with the smart money on under 2.5 goals and a narrow home win. But in Torneo Federal A, never say never to a little drama.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Chivilcoy vs Las Parejas

U2.5 -154

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -154
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -135

Chivilcoy is expected to win with odds of -135
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -154

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -139

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -323

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Average / Match

1.6
Total Goals
2.9
0.7
Goals Scored
1.4
0.9
Goals Against
1.5

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
5
Over 1.5 Goals
7
4
Over 2.5 Goals
5
1
Over 3.5 Goals
3
3
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Chivilcoy
3 - 2 - 5
Las Parejas
Las Parejas Sportivo 04-May-25
0:1
Chivilcoy Chivilcoy
Las Parejas Sportivo 07-Jul-24
2:1
Chivilcoy Chivilcoy
Chivilcoy Chivilcoy 11-May-24
2:4
Sportivo Las Parejas
Las Parejas Sportivo 15-Oct-23
4:1
Chivilcoy Chivilcoy
Chivilcoy Chivilcoy 20-Aug-23
0:0
Sportivo Las Parejas
Las Parejas Sportivo 24-Jun-23
0:1
Chivilcoy Chivilcoy
Chivilcoy Chivilcoy 30-Apr-23
0:1
Sportivo Las Parejas
Chivilcoy Chivilcoy 06-Sep-15
0:2
Sportivo Las Parejas
Las Parejas Sportivo 31-May-15
1:1
Chivilcoy Chivilcoy
Chivilcoy Chivilcoy 29-Mar-15
2:0
Sportivo Las Parejas

Argentina - Torneo Federal A Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy Gimnasia18
17-14
30
2 Douglas Haig Douglas Haig18
18-12
29
3 Sportivo Belgrano Sportivo18
19-12
27
4 Independiente De Chivilcoy Independiente De18
16-13
26
5 Sportivo Las Parejas Sportivo Las18
20-19
22
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 9 de Julio17
19-20
22
7 Defensores de Belgrano VR Defensores de Belgrano18
9-14
20
8 Gimnasia Concepción Gimnasia18
14-20
20
9 El Linqueño El Linqueño18
16-20
19
10 Ben Hur Ben Hur17
15-19
18
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