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Match Prediction

Clermont vs Troyes Prediction

Finished
France flag France
Ligue 2

Clermont

€13.75m

18 Apr14:00
0 : 2

Troyes

€22.65m

Preview

Clermont vs Troyes Prediction Ligue 2

When Clermont and Troyes meet at Stade Gabriel-Montpied on April 18, 2025, it won’t just be a battle for points—it’ll be a test of nerve. With kickoff at 19:00 GMT, this Ligue 2 encounter pits two sides separated by seven points but united by desperation. Clermont, languishing in 16th with 28 points, are flirting with danger, while Troyes, perched slightly safer in 14th with 35, know a win could edge them closer to mid-table comfort. The stats, the odds, and even the cold, calculating algorithms all point to a tense affair where margins will be razor-thin.

Why Troyes Hold the Edge

The numbers don’t lie. Troyes’ squad, valued at €22.65 million compared to Clermont’s €13.75 million, reflects a gulf in quality that often translates on the pitch. The visitors are predicted to dominate possession (53% to 47%), fire more shots (13 to 8), and test the keeper more frequently (4 on-target attempts to Clermont’s 2). Bookmakers have noticed, pricing a Troyes win at 2.25—significantly shorter than Clermont’s 3.24. NerdyTips’ AI leans into this, rating ‘X2’ (double chance: draw or Troyes win) at 1.33 odds with an 8.5/10 confidence level, while a straight ‘2’ (away win) carries a solid 8.0 trust score at 2.25 odds.

The Set-Piece Chess Match

This game might not be a spectacle for the neutrals. Both teams are predicted to earn just 4 corners each, and discipline could play a role—Clermont are forecasted to pick up 2 yellow cards to Troyes’ 1. The last head-to-head, a 3-1 win for Troyes, feels like a distant memory given Clermont’s odds have drifted from 2.33 to 3.24 this time around. That shift tells its own story: confidence in the hosts has eroded, and Troyes’ recent gritty 0-0 draw away to Bastia (backed at 5.0 odds) suggests they know how to grind out results when it matters.

Ligue 2’s Love Affair With the Underdog

But here’s where things get interesting. Ligue 2 is a league where home wins (35.1%) still outpace away victories (25.1%), and draws are the currency of choice (39.9% of matches end level). Clermont’s recent 1-1 stalemate with PSG—a result priced at a staggering 14.5 odds—proves they can punch above their weight. Troyes’ shots might outnumber Clermont’s, but will they outnumber the fans’ groans if those efforts sail harmlessly wide? This isn’t just a relegation scrap—it’s a battle of who blinks first.

The AI’s predicted 0-1 final score (with a goalless first half) aligns neatly with its ‘under 2.5 goals’ tip at 1.67 odds (7.0/10 trust). Given that only 36.1% of Ligue 2 games see over 2.5 goals, it’s a smart lean. Yet surprises lurk: 56.4% of matches clear the 1.5-goal bar, so a single moment of quality—or chaos—could rewrite the script.

In the end, this Clermont vs Troyes prediction hinges on trust in the data. Troyes’ superior resources and form make them slight favorites, but Ligue 2’s unpredictability means nothing’s guaranteed. One thing’s certain: at Stade Gabriel-Montpied, every pass, every tackle, and every missed chance could tilt the odds in an instant.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Clermont vs Troyes

X2 -303

Troyes to win or draw with odds of -303
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 125

Troyes is expected to win with odds of 125
8/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -149

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -118

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -196

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

47%
Ball Possession
53%
8
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Goal
4
2
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.3
Total Goals
2
0.6
Goals Scored
1
1.7
Goals Against
1
47%
Possession
42%
9.7
Total Shots
11.9
2.9
Shots on Goal
4.4
3.1
Shots off Goal
4
12.4
Fouls
13.3
3.8
Corners
3.7
1.9
Offsides
2.9
2
Yellow Cards
1.25
0.33
Red Cards
0
397
Total Passes
369

Overview Last 10 Matches

0
Wins
3
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Clermont
11 - 6 - 9
Troyes
Clermont Clermont 18-Apr-25
0:2
Estac Troyes Troyes
Troyes Estac Troyes 23-Aug-24
0:1
Clermont Clermont
Clermont Clermont 29-Jul-23
1:0
Estac Troyes Troyes
Troyes Estac Troyes 09-Apr-23
0:2
Clermont Clermont
Clermont Clermont 18-Sep-22
1:3
Estac Troyes Troyes
Troyes Estac Troyes 20-Apr-22
0:1
Clermont Clermont
Clermont Clermont 15-Aug-21
2:0
Estac Troyes Troyes
Troyes Estac Troyes 03-Jul-21
1:2
Clermont Clermont
Clermont Clermont 02-Feb-21
2:1
Estac Troyes Troyes

Profile time Recent Matches of Clermont

12 DecL Nancy Nancy.
1:0
Clermont. Clermont

Profile time Recent Matches Of Estac Troyes

15 DecBoulogne Boulogne.
-
Troyes.Troyes

France - Ligue 2 France - Ligue 2

Team Matches Goals Points
1 LorientLorient 34
68-31
71
2 Paris FCParis FC 34
55-33
69
3 MetzMetz 34
64-34
65
4 DunkerqueDunkerque 34
47-40
56
5 GuingampGuingamp 34
57-45
55
6 AnnecyAnnecy 34
42-43
51
7 LavalLaval 34
44-38
50
8 BastiaBastia 34
43-37
48
9 GrenobleGrenoble 34
43-44
46
10 Estac TroyesEstac Troyes 34
36-34
44
11 AmiensAmiens 34
38-50
43
12 AjaccioAjaccio 34
30-42
42
13 PAUPAU 34
39-53
42
14 RodezRodez 34
56-54
39
15 RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 93 34
37-51
38
16 Clermont FootClermont Foot 34
30-46
33
17 MartiguesMartigues 34
29-56
32
18 CaenCaen 34
31-58
22
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