Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Spain
Preview
The upcoming match between Collerense and Mercadal on April 12, 2025, at Estadio Municipal Coll d’en Rebassa promises to be a fascinating tactical battle. With the home side slightly favored at 2.32 odds, a draw priced at 2.96, and Mercadal at 3.0 for an away win, the numbers suggest a tight contest. But as any seasoned football fan knows, odds only tell half the story—let’s dive deeper.
NerdyTips' AI has crunched the numbers, and the verdict is clear: this won’t be a goal-fest. The under 2.5 goals market sits at tempting 1.6 odds, backed by a modest confidence rating of 1.0/10. While the AI isn’t shouting this prediction from the rooftops, the recent form of both teams lends credibility to the idea of a low-scoring game.
Collerense’s shock 1-1 draw against Constancia in March—a result few saw coming at 8.0 odds—showed they can grind out results even when the odds are stacked against them. Mercadal, meanwhile, pulled off a similar surprise with a 1-1 stalemate against Poblense last December at 8.5 odds. These results highlight both teams’ knack for defying expectations, but they also underscore a shared tendency toward cautious, defensively minded performances.
The AI’s predicted 1-0 final scoreline, with a goalless first half, isn’t just a random guess. Collerense’s home advantage, however slight, could be the deciding factor in a match where chances are likely to be few and far between. Their ability to stay organized at the back while nicking a goal from a set-piece or a moment of individual brilliance aligns perfectly with the projected outcome.
Mercadal, on the other hand, have shown they can frustrate opponents with their disciplined shape, but their struggles in front of goal are well-documented. If the visitors can’t find a way to break down Collerense’s defense early, the game could easily settle into a tense, midfield-heavy battle with little to separate the sides.
The AI’s suggested 'safest' bet—1X (Collerense to win or draw) at 1.3 odds—comes with a confidence rating of just 2.0/10. That lukewarm endorsement speaks volumes about the unpredictability of these two teams. While Collerense’s home form might give them the edge, Mercadal’s ability to spring surprises means this isn’t a banker by any stretch.
For those looking to play it safe, the 1X bet offers some security, but the low confidence rating suggests there’s value in exploring other markets. The under 2.5 goals prediction, for instance, feels like a smarter play given both teams’ recent trends.
One wildcard that could influence the flow of the game is the referee, who hasn’t been assigned yet. A strict official could disrupt the rhythm with frequent fouls, favoring a disjointed, stop-start match that plays into the under 2.5 goals narrative. Conversely, a lenient referee might allow more physicality, which could benefit the more aggressive side—likely Collerense at home.
This Collerense vs Mercadal prediction hinges on two key themes: defensive solidity and unpredictability. While the AI leans toward a narrow home win or draw, the low confidence in that bet reflects the reality that either team could edge it. What’s clearer is that goals will likely be at a premium, making the under 2.5 goals market the standout choice for value-seeking bettors.
So, if you’re tuning in on April 12, don’t expect a thriller. Instead, prepare for a chess match where one moment of quality—or one defensive lapse—could decide everything. And if the game ends 0-0? Well, at least you saw it coming.
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1X -333
Collerense to win or draw with odds of -3331X -333
Collerense to win or drawUnder 2.5 -167
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -127
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -208
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
|
|
2
-
5
-
1
|
|
 Collerense |
12-Apr-25
3:1
| Mercadal  |
| Mercadal |
30-Nov-24
2:2
| Collerense |
| Mercadal |
17-Feb-24
3:3
| Collerense |
| Collerense |
30-Sep-23
1:0
| Mercadal |
| Collerense |
28-Jan-23
1:2
| Mercadal |
| Mercadal |
24-Sep-22
1:1
| Collerense |
| Collerense |
12-Mar-22
0:0
| Mercadal |
Recent Matches of Collerense| 24 Jan | D |
Binissalem.
|
0:0
| Collerense.
|
Recent Matches of Mercadal
| 25 Jan | W | Mercadal. |
1:0 |
Santanyi. |
Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 11| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Poblense | 34 | 47-17 | 72 |
| 2 |
Constància | 34 | 55-31 | 67 |
| 3 |
Formentera | 34 | 68-34 | 66 |
| 4 |
Porreres | 34 | 51-32 | 62 |
| 5 |
Penya | 34 | 59-34 | 58 |
| 6 |
Platges | 34 | 51-37 | 54 |
| 7 |
Manacor | 34 | 54-36 | 51 |
| 8 |
Alcúdia | 34 | 51-53 | 47 |
| 9 |
Binissalem | 34 | 35-34 | 47 |
| 10 |
Llosetense | 34 | 47-45 | 44 |
| 11 |
Santanyí | 34 | 40-45 | 43 |
| 12 |
Mercadal | 34 | 40-43 | 40 |
| 13 |
Felanitx | 34 | 33-50 | 40 |
| 14 |
Collerense | 34 | 42-48 | 39 |
| 15 |
Portmany | 34 | 43-51 | 37 |
| 16 |
PE Sant Jordi | 34 | 30-52 | 30 |
| 17 |
Campos | 34 | 31-75 | 20 |
| 18 |
Migjorn | 34 | 22-82 | 16 |
