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Como

€313.20m

22 Mar06:30
5 : 0

Pisa

€112.10m

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Como vs Pisa Prediction Serie A

Como vs Pisa prediction: goals, tactics and best bets

For our Como vs Pisa prediction, circle Sunday, 22 March 2026 at 11:30 GMT, when Como host Pisa at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. On paper it looks like a calm home win, but the story has a few twists: Como are flying in 4th with 54 points and talking seriously about Champions League places, while Pisa sit 19th on 18 points and are fighting for their Serie A life.

Match context: one team chasing Europe, one chasing safety

Como arrive with real momentum after a big 2-1 win over Roma. They even had to come from behind, with Tasos Douvikas and Diego Carlos turning the game around. That sort of result tells you this side is not just playing nice football, they are learning to win under pressure.

Pisa, to be fair, also bring a boost. They just picked up only their second league win of the season, beating Cagliari 3-1, with Antonio Caracciolo scoring twice. It does not fix their table position, but it does change the mood in the dressing room before a tough trip.

Tactical feel: possession vs survival football

Cesc Fàbregas has Como playing a clear, modern style. The usual shape is a 4.2-3-1, built around short passing, patience, and controlling the rhythm. The projections match that idea: Como are expected to have around 69% possession, with Pisa closer to 31%, which hints at a long afternoon of defending for the visitors.

Injuries and suspensions to watch

  • Como absences: Jayden Addai, Edoardo Goldaniga, Assane Diao are expected to miss out.
  • Pisa suspensions: Michel Aebischer and Rafiu Durosinmi.
  • Pisa injuries/doubts: Marius Marin, Simone Scuffet, Adrian Semper are out, while Daniel Denoon and Isak Vural are doubtful.

Squad depth also leans strongly one way: Como’s squad value is €313.20m versus Pisa’s €112.10m. Over 90 minutes, that usually shows up in the number of chances created and the ability to change a game from the bench.

Head to head notes and what it hints about goals

The last head to head meeting on 2024.03-16 finished Como 3-1 Pisa. That is only one data point, but it fits the idea that Como can open Pisa up when the game stretches. And both teams have shown they can surprise stronger opponents: Como drew 1-1 away at Lazio in 2025 despite long odds, and Pisa held Atalanta 1-1 in 2026 as big underdogs.

Como vs Pisa prediction: betting odds and AI picks

The 1X2 betting odds are loud: Home 1.32, Draw 5.8, Away 13.0. So yes, the market expects Como to handle this. But our models are less confident about a clean, simple script.

  • Best tip (AI): Over 2.5 total goals at 1.71 (confidence 3.2/10).
  • 1X2 alternative (NerdyTips AI): X2 at 3.95 (trust score 1.4).
  • Correct score lean: 2-2, with a 1-1 half-time.

Why the goals angle? The shot forecast points to chance volume: Como 15 shots (5 on target) vs Pisa 6 (2 on target). Add a predicted 8 corners, and you have steady pressure plus enough moments for Pisa to nick something. Cards are modest (1 for Como, 2 for Pisa), suggesting the game may flow rather than turn into a foul-fest.

So, for a second Como vs Pisa prediction summary: Como should control the ball and territory, but if Pisa are brave and take their few chances, the match can still go over 2.5 total goals. If you want a sensible lane, goals look more realistic than trusting an upset.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Como vs Pisa

O2.5 -141

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -141
3/10

1x2 Tip

X2 280

Pisa to win or draw
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -141

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 128

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 345

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

2.04
xG
0.56
69%
Ball Possession
31%
15
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
1
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.82
Expected Goals
0.97
2.3
Total Goals
3.1
1.5
Goals Scored
1
0.8
Goals Against
2.1
59%
Possession
40%
13.8
Total Shots
9.8
4.8
Shots on Goal
3.9
5.6
Shots off Goal
3.4
13.4
Fouls
13.7
4.8
Corners
4.7
1.6
Offsides
1.9
2.33
Yellow Cards
2.1
549
Total Passes
330

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
1
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
5
7
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Como
3 - 4 - 2
Pisa
Pisa Pisa 06-Jan-26
0:3
Como Como
Pisa Pisa 04-Nov-23
1:1
Como Como
Pisa Pisa 21-Aug-22
2:2
Como Como
Pisa Pisa 18-Apr-22
3:1
Como Como
Como Como 22-Mar-26
5:0
Pisa Pisa
Como Como 05-Aug-23
1:1
Pisa Pisa
Como Como 16-Mar-24
3:1
Pisa Pisa
Como Como 21-Jan-23
2:2
Pisa Pisa

Profile time Recent Matches of Como

26 AprW Genoa Genoa 0 Como Como 2
21 AprL Inter Inter 3 Como Como 2
17 AprL Sassuolo Sassuolo 2 Como Como 1
12 AprL Como Como 3 Inter Inter 4
06 AprD Udinese Udinese 0 Como Como 0
22 MarW Como Como 5 Pisa Pisa 0
15 MarW Como Como 2 AS Roma AS Roma 1
07 MarW Cagliari Cagliari 1 Como Como 2
03 MarD Como Como 0 Inter Inter 0
28 FebW Como Como 3 Lecce Lecce 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of Pisa

01 MayLPisa Pisa 1 Lecce Lecce 2
25 AprLParma Parma 1 Pisa Pisa 0
19 AprLPisa Pisa 1 Genoa Genoa 2
10 AprLAS Roma AS Roma 3 Pisa Pisa 0
05 AprLPisa Pisa 0 Torino Torino 1
22 MarLComo Como 5 Pisa Pisa 0
15 MarWPisa Pisa 3 Cagliari Cagliari 1
07 MarLJuventus Juventus 4 Pisa Pisa 0
02 MarLPisa Pisa 0 Bologna Bologna 1
23 FebLFiorentina Fiorentina 1 Pisa Pisa 0

Italy - Serie A Italy - Serie A

Team M G P
1 InterInter3480-3179
2 NapoliNapoli3452-3369
3 AC MilanAC Milan3448-2767
4 JuventusJuventus3457-2964
5 ComoComo3459-2861
6 AS RomaAS Roma3448-2961
7 AtalantaAtalanta3447-3254
8 LazioLazio3437-3348
9 BolognaBologna3442-4148
10 SassuoloSassuolo3441-4446
11 UdineseUdinese3441-4644
12 ParmaParma3425-4042
13 TorinoTorino3439-5641
14 GenoaGenoa3440-4839
15 FiorentinaFiorentina3438-4537
16 CagliariCagliari3436-4936
17 LecceLecce3422-4629
18 CremoneseCremonese3426-5128
19 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3423-5619
20 PisaPisa3424-6118
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