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Match Prediction

Cordoba vs Valladolid Prediction

Finished

Cordoba

€14.80m

31 Jan16:00
3 : 1

Valladolid

€30.80m

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Cordoba vs Valladolid Prediction Segunda División

Cordoba vs Valladolid prediction: smart angles for Matchday 24

The Cordoba vs Valladolid prediction for January 31, 2026 (20:00 GMT) lands at a fascinating point of the season, with LaLiga Hypermotion entering the part where one good month can change everything. The scene is set at the Nuevo Arcángel, where Córdoba have been trying to turn promise into points at home, while Valladolid arrive still searching for a clear identity under their new boss.

In the table, Córdoba sit 8th on 35 points and look like a team that has found rhythm: four wins in their last five is not a “nice little run,” it’s the kind of form that drags you into the promotion conversation whether you planned on it or not. Their latest statement was a 2–1 away win over Las Palmas, another sign that Iván Ania has made them hard to knock off their plan. Valladolid, on the other hand, are 15th with 28 points and come in after a 0–1 home loss to Albacete. They have only one win in five, and the mood has been serious enough that even the sporting director has called it a sporting crisis and labelled this match a final.

Tactical notes, team news, and what could swing it

Ania’s message has been simple: make the Nuevo Arcángel a fortress. Córdoba’s best work has often come away from home, so the next step is turning control into consistent home results. They should have enough pace and direct running to test Valladolid’s discipline, especially with the visitors carrying an unwanted habit: they’ve conceded the most penalties in the league (7). If Córdoba’s quick attackers can force late tackles in the box, Valladolid may end up “defending” with their hands on their heads.

Valladolid are still adapting to Luis García Tevenet, who replaced Guillermo Almada in late December 2025. Tevenet has leaned toward a 4-2-3-1, but he has also pointed to the team’s lack of clarity and ideas. Interestingly, he has suggested Valladolid can be more recognizable away from home, so don’t expect them to fold early. Their biggest clear edge is in the air: they have scored about twice as many headed goals as Córdoba this season, so set plays and wide deliveries matter.

  • Córdoba absences: Alberto Del Moral and Juan María Alcedo are doubts, while keeper Carlos Marín has been managing minor issues.
  • Córdoba boost: Diego Percan, a new forward signing, could add depth and fresh legs.
  • Valladolid missing: Iván Alejo is suspended after a red card; Stanko Jurić is out for yellow-card accumulation; Ndiaye, Guille Bueno, and Latasa are injured.
  • Extra subplot: Trilli faces his parent club Valladolid, which always adds a little extra bite in the tackles.

Head to head history slightly leans Valladolid (6 wins in the last 13), with Córdoba taking 4 and 3 draws, and the earlier meeting this season ending 0–0. Before kick-off, Córdoba will also hold a tribute for the victims of the tragic accident in Adamuz, which should make for an emotional, respectful atmosphere.

Cordoba vs Valladolid prediction based on odds and NerdyTips stats

The betting odds point to Córdoba as the narrow favourite: Home win 1.91, Draw 3.55, Away win 4.3. That pricing matches the form lines and Valladolid’s squad issues, even if Valladolid’s overall squad value (€30.80m) is more than double Córdoba’s (€14.80m). Money helps, but it doesn’t mark runners.

Best bets and why the numbers support them

NerdyTips’ top pick is 1X (Córdoba win or draw) at 1.25 with a strong 8.5/10 trust rating. Our 1x2 call leans even harder toward the hosts: Home win (1) at 1.91, trust 8.0/10. The logic is backed by the match model: Córdoba are projected to control around 61% possession, take 16 shots to Valladolid’s 9, and land 5 shots on goal to Valladolid’s 2. That’s the profile of a team that spends more time asking questions than answering them.

For totals in sports betting, the best under/over angle is under 3.55 goals at 1.31 (trust 6.0/10). Córdoba’s expected control doesn’t automatically mean a goal rush; it can also mean long spells of territory, corners, and pressure without chaos. The corner estimate (10 total, 6–4 to Córdoba) fits that steady squeeze. Cards also tilt to tension on the away side (2 yellows Córdoba, 5 Valladolid), which often shows a team chasing without the ball.

Score call

The final score prediction is 1–0, with a first-half prediction of 1–0 as well. If Córdoba score early, the game script suits them: keep the ball, win set pieces, and let Valladolid’s patched-up attacking options try to force something that isn’t there. For anyone looking up a second Cordoba vs Valladolid prediction before placing a bet, the safest read is that Córdoba avoid defeat, and the sharp read is that they edge a tight, low-scoring game.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Cordoba didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Cordoba vs Valladolid

1X -400

Cordoba to win or draw with odds of -400
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -110

Cordoba is expected to win with odds of -110
8/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -294

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -102

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -217

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.57
xG
0.66
61%
Ball Possession
39%
16
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
5

Average / Match

1.33
Expected Goals
0.94
2.1
Total Goals
2.5
1.1
Goals Scored
1.1
1
Goals Against
1.4
61%
Possession
49%
15.5
Total Shots
12.8
5.3
Shots on Goal
3.4
6.3
Shots off Goal
6.3
15
Fouls
14.2
6.1
Corners
6.2
1.9
Offsides
2.3
3
Yellow Cards
4.33
433
Total Passes
403

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
2
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
5
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Cordoba
1 - 2 - 2
Valladolid
Valladolid Valladolid 30-Aug-25
0:0
Cordoba Cordoba
Cordoba Cordoba 25-Feb-18
2:1
Valladolid Valladolid
Valladolid Valladolid 30-Sep-17
4:1
Cordoba Cordoba
Valladolid Valladolid 09-Apr-17
2:1
Cordoba Cordoba
Cordoba Cordoba 29-Oct-16
1:1
Valladolid Valladolid

Profile time Recent Matches of Cordoba

15 Mar Cordoba Cordoba - Real II Real II -
08 MarL Racing S Racing S 4 Cordoba Cordoba 3
02 MarL Cordoba Cordoba 1 Andorra Andorra 4
25 FebL Ceuta Ceuta 3 Cordoba Cordoba 2
21 FebL Almeria Almeria 2 Cordoba Cordoba 1
14 FebW Cordoba Cordoba 2 Leganes Leganes 1
31 JanW Cordoba Cordoba 3 Valladolid Valladolid 1
24 JanW Las Palmas Las Palmas 1 Cordoba Cordoba 2
18 JanL Cordoba Cordoba 0 Malaga Malaga 1
12 JanW Huesca Huesca 1 Cordoba Cordoba 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Valladolid

14 MarValladolid Valladolid - Leganes Leganes -
07 MarDMalaga Malaga 3 Valladolid Valladolid 3
28 FebWValladolid Valladolid 1 Huesca Huesca 0
22 FebDGijon Gijon 2 Valladolid Valladolid 2
14 FebLGranada CF Granada CF 5 Valladolid Valladolid 1
08 FebLValladolid Valladolid 0 Castellon Castellon 4
31 JanLCordoba Cordoba 3 Valladolid Valladolid 1
24 JanLValladolid Valladolid 0 Albacete Albacete 1
17 JanWCeuta Ceuta 0 Valladolid Valladolid 3
11 JanLLeganes Leganes 3 Valladolid Valladolid 0

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing29
60-39
56
2 Almeria Almeria29
56-40
52
3 Castellón Castellón29
48-33
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La29
44-33
49
5 Las Palmas Las Palmas29
38-22
48
6 Malaga Malaga29
44-34
48
7 Burgos Burgos29
32-26
46
8 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC29
36-43
44
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon29
38-37
42
10 Eibar Eibar29
32-30
41
11 Cordoba Cordoba29
41-41
41
12 FC Andorra FC Andorra29
36-40
38
13 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad29
42-41
37
14 Albacete Albacete29
33-39
36
15 Granada CF Granada CF29
34-33
35
16 Cadiz Cadiz29
29-36
35
17 Leganes Leganes29
29-29
34
18 Valladolid Valladolid29
32-41
33
19 Huesca Huesca29
26-37
31
20 Zaragoza Zaragoza29
24-41
27
21 Cultural Leonesa Cultural29
27-47
27
22 Mirandes Mirandes29
28-47
24
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