Cordoba vs Valladolid Prediction

Cordoba vs Valladolid Prediction: Stats, Form, and Betting Tips

Welcome to NerdyTips, where we break down the numbers and stories behind the biggest games in Spain’s second tier. Our Cordoba vs Valladolid prediction for January 31, 2026, at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel is packed with insights, stats, and betting tips to help you make sense of this intriguing Friday night fixture. Whether you’re a stats buff or just love a good football story, this preview has you covered.

Team Form, Head to Head, and What’s at Stake

Cordoba and Valladolid—two teams with plenty of history—are set for their 14th Segunda División meeting on Castilian soil. The head to head record slightly favors Valladolid, who have claimed six wins to Cordoba’s four, with three draws sprinkled in. But history rarely tells the whole story, especially in the unpredictable world of Spanish football.

Cordoba, currently sitting 10th, have found some rhythm lately. In their last five matches, they’ve chalked up three wins, one draw, and just a single loss. Their recent results include a gritty 2-1 win over Huesca, a solid 2-0 against Burgos, and a hard-fought 2-1 over Mirandes. Even their 0-0 draw with Eibar showed defensive steel. The only blemish was a narrow 0-1 defeat to Malaga.

Valladolid, meanwhile, are 12th and have been a bit more unpredictable. They’ve managed two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five, scoring four and conceding a few too many. Their 3-0 win over AD Ceuta was impressive, but back-to-back 3-0 defeats to Leganes and Eibar have raised questions about their away form.

Key Players, Injuries, and Tactical News

• Cordoba will be missing Alberto del Moral, Carlos Marin, and Juan Alcedo due to injury. Sergi Guardiola leads the line, averaging 1.3 shots on target per match, while Jacobo González has created six big chances this campaign.
• Valladolid are without Amath Ndiaye and Guille Bueno. Iván Alejo is their creative spark, leading the team with ten big chances created.
• Valladolid’s manager, Guillermo Almada, has called for adaptability and longer spells of possession, though assistant Darwin Quintana will be absent due to suspension.

With both squads missing key players, expect a tactical battle. Cordoba’s recent defensive solidity could be crucial, while Valladolid will look to control possession and exploit spaces, as Almada has emphasized.

AI Predictions, Betting Odds, and Value Picks

Let’s get to the numbers that matter for your Cordoba vs Valladolid prediction. Bookmakers have Cordoba as slight favorites at odds of 2.05 for a home win, 3.45 for a draw, and 3.9 for an away win. Our AI model loves the 1X market (Cordoba to win or draw), rating it an 8.5/10 confidence pick at 1.28 odds. The straight home win is also a solid shout, with 8.0 confidence and 2.05 odds.

• Under 3.5 goals is a strong statistical bet (confidence 6.0, odds 1.31), reflecting both teams’ recent tendency towards low-scoring affairs.
• Final score prediction: 1-0 to Cordoba, with the hosts expected to lead 1-0 at half-time.
• Projected ball possession: Cordoba 61%, Valladolid 39%—suggesting Cordoba will dictate the tempo.
• Shots: Cordoba 16 (5 on target), Valladolid 9 (2 on target).
• Corners: Cordoba 6, Valladolid 4.
• Yellow cards: Cordoba 2, Valladolid 5—expect a few heated moments!

Despite Valladolid’s higher market value (€30.80m to Cordoba’s €14.80m), the stats and recent form point to the home side. Cordoba’s surprise away win at Oviedo (2-3, odds 5.0) proves they can punch above their weight, while Valladolid’s own 3-2 win at Alaves (also at 5.0 odds) shows they’re no strangers to upsets.

Final Thoughts and Betting Tips

This fixture has all the ingredients for a tense, tactical battle. Cordoba’s home advantage, recent form, and expected control of possession make them the smart pick in the 1X market. If you’re feeling bold, back the home win at 2.05. For those who prefer a safer bet, under 3.5 goals looks reliable given both teams’ recent scoring records.

In summary, our Cordoba vs Valladolid prediction is a narrow home win, with Cordoba’s organization and attacking edge likely to make the difference. As always, football can surprise us—but the stats, trends, and betting tips all point to a night for the home fans to celebrate.