Cremonese vs Genoa Prediction

Cremonese vs Genoa prediction: a nervous Sunday in Cremona

The Cremonese vs Genoa prediction for Sunday, 15 February 2026 (kickoff 14:00 GMT) feels less like a “pick your favorite” and more like a “please don’t blink first.” With both sides sitting on 23 points after 24 rounds (15th vs 16th), this match at Stadio Giovanni Zini is the kind of relegation six-pointer that makes even a throw-in feel important.

Context, pressure, and why the first goal matters

Cremonese arrive in a rough patch: nine matches without a win, and they’ve gone four straight games without scoring. Their recent sequence (D-L-D-L-L) tells the story of a team that competes… right until the moment it needs a goal. Genoa’s form (D-W-D-W-L) has had more life, even if the latest 3-2 defeat to Napoli stung, decided late and followed by a very angry press conference from Daniele De Rossi.

In these games, the first goal often decides the mood, the tactics, and the rest of the afternoon. Cremonese average just 0.84 goals per match, so if they fall behind, the plan quickly turns into “hope and long balls.”

Managers and tactics: Nicola’s safety-first vs De Rossi’s edge

Davide Nicola, appointed in July 2025, is famous for survival jobs and tends to build from the back in a pragmatic 3-5-2 or 3-4-2-1. It’s not always pretty, but it’s meant to keep games tight. De Rossi has pushed Genoa toward a more aggressive, personality-led style since replacing Patrick Vieira in November 2025—though he also wants discipline, especially after feeling officials have gone against his team.

Team news that shapes the game plan

• Cremonese injuries: Collocolo (hamstring), Vandeputte, Payero, Sanabria all out.
• Cremonese key names: Jamie Vardy (yes, really) and Bonazzoli up front; Luperto and Thorsby important for structure.
• Genoa concerns: Siegrist (finger) and Baldanzi (muscle) are doubtful for 90 minutes; Ekuban and Otoa also have issues; Onana away on duty.
• Genoa key names: Colombo as the main finisher, with Malinovskyi creating and Aaron Martin among the leaders for big chances created.

Head to head notes and recent surprises

The head to head angle has a twist: Cremonese won 2-0 at Marassi in October 2025, one of their few bright moments. They also proved they can grind out points away at big clubs with that unexpected 0-0 at Lazio on 2025-12-20 (priced around 6.1 to win). Genoa answered with their own “nobody saw that coming” result on 2026-01-08: a 1-1 draw away to AC Milan, with huge win odds around 8.5. So yes, both teams can be stubborn at the worst possible time for bettors.

Betting odds and what they suggest

The market has Genoa as a cautious favorite: home win 3.25, draw 3.05, away win 2.55. That lines up with squad value too (€75.90m vs €134.10m), but not enough to call it comfortable—more like “favorite with a raincoat.”

Our AI picks: Cremonese vs Genoa prediction (NerdyTips)

Now the numbers. NerdyTips leans toward Genoa avoiding defeat, but with modest confidence.

• Best tip: X2 (Genoa win or draw) at 1.39, trust 4.0/10.
• 1X2 prediction: Away win (2) at 2.55, trust 3.05/10.
• Total goals pick: Under 2.5 at 1.53, trust 2.1/10.

How the stats connect to those picks

• Expected score: 0-1, with half-time 0-0. That fits Nicola’s tight setup and Cremonese’s scoring drought.
• Possession: Cremonese 53% vs Genoa 47% suggests the home side may have the ball, but Genoa the clearer chances.
• Shots: 10 vs 11, but on target 2 vs 4—this gap supports the away-win lean.
• Corners: 3-3 (6 total), another sign of a balanced, low-chaos game rather than a wild total goals shootout.

So, the second mention is simple: our Cremonese vs Genoa prediction points to Genoa or draw (X2) as the safer route, with under 2.5 total goals also matching the expected rhythm. If you’re looking for drama, you might get it—but more in the form of tension, not a 4-3 scoreline.