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Match Prediction

Cuiaba vs Operario-PR Prediction

Finished
Brazil flag Brazil
Serie B

Cuiaba

€12.60m

11 May17:30
2 : 3

Operario-PR

€150.00Th.

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Cuiaba vs Operario-PR Prediction Serie B

Cuiaba vs Operario-PR Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Expert Betting Tips for Arena Pantanal

Welcome to our in-depth Cuiaba vs Operario-PR prediction, where we blend sharp statistical insight with a dash of storytelling flair. As the sun sets over Arena Pantanal on 2025-05-11 at 22:30 GMT, Cuiaba—currently perched 3rd in Serie B with 12 points from 6 matches—will host 14th-placed Operario-PR, who have managed just 7 points so far. The gulf in form and fortune is clear, but as seasoned sports betting fans know, football loves a twist. Let’s break down the key numbers, betting odds, and trends that will shape this encounter.

Match Context: Cuiaba’s Home Fortress vs Operario-PR’s Grit

On paper, Cuiaba look every bit the favorites. Their 12-point haul has them firmly in the promotion conversation, while Operario-PR are still searching for consistency. The betting odds reflect this:

  • Home win: 1.83
  • Draw: 3.35
  • Away win: 4.33

Our AI’s top tip for the 1x2 market is a Cuiaba victory, with a robust trust rating of 8.4/10. That 1.83 price isn’t just a number—it’s a reflection of Cuiaba’s superior league position, their home advantage, and a squad value of €12.60m, which dwarfs Operario-PR’s modest €150,000. In the world of sports betting, such a resource gap is hard to ignore.

Recent Form and Head to Head Surprises

Yet, Serie B is a league where surprises are never far away. Cuiaba’s recent 0:0 away draw against CEOV Operario—where they entered as heavy underdogs at odds of 5.0—showed their ability to dig deep and grind out results. Operario-PR, meanwhile, stunned Novorizontino with a 1:0 away win at a whopping 7.0, proving they can upset the odds when least expected. These results remind us that both teams have a knack for shaking up the script, even if the stats favor the home side.

Statistical Trends and Betting Odds: Where the Value Lies

Let’s dive into the Serie B numbers that matter for your Cuiaba vs Operario-PR prediction:

  • Home teams win 39.4% of matches—a significant edge for Cuiaba.
  • Draws occur in 40.2% of games, making the 3.35 price for a stalemate appealing for risk-takers.
  • Away wins are rare at 20.4%, which aligns with Operario-PR’s long odds.

When it comes to goals, Serie B is a notoriously low-scoring league:

  • Only 31.2% of matches go over 2.5 goals.
  • Just 14.0% see over 3.5 goals.

Our AI’s best value bet in the under/over market is under 2.5 goals (trust rating 5.9, odds 1.57), which fits the predicted final score of 1:0 to Cuiaba, with a goalless first half (0:0 at the break). These trends are reinforced by both teams’ recent results—tight, tense affairs where defences often come out on top.

Expected Match Dynamics: Possession, Shots, and Discipline

Here’s how the numbers suggest the match will play out:

  1. Possession: Cuiaba are forecast to control 53%, with Operario-PR at 47%—not a huge gap, but enough to tip the balance.
  2. Shots: Expect 17 attempts (5 on target) from Cuiaba, compared to 11 (3 on target) for the visitors.
  3. Corners: Anticipate 12 in total—8 for Cuiaba, 4 for Operario-PR.
  4. Cards: A slightly feisty affair, with 2 yellow cards for the home side and 3 for the away team.

These stats not only support the Cuiaba vs Operario-PR prediction for a home win, but also explain why a low-scoring, hard-fought contest is on the cards. Cuiaba’s greater squad depth and value should see them edge possession and create more chances, but Operario-PR’s resilience—evident in their recent shock win—means this won’t be a walkover.

Actionable Betting Tips and Final Prediction

To sum up, here are the key takeaways for your sports betting strategy on this fixture:

  • 1x2 Market: Back Cuiaba to win at 1.83 (high trust, 8.4/10). Their home form, league position, and squad value all point in their favor.
  • Under/Over 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 goals at 1.57 is the smart play, given both teams’ recent results and Serie B’s low-scoring trend.
  • Correct Score: 1:0 to Cuiaba, with a 0:0 scoreline at half-time, fits the statistical profile perfectly.

For casual fans, expect a tactical battle where patience is key. For serious punters, the numbers and betting odds all align behind a narrow home win in a game unlikely to turn into a goal fest. Whatever your approach, our Cuiaba vs Operario-PR prediction is built on solid stats, recent head to head form, and a keen eye for value in the sports betting markets. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as your insights!

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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Cuiaba vs Operario-PR

1 -120

Cuiaba is expected to win with odds of -120
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -120

Cuiaba is expected to win with odds of -120
8/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -175

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -154

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -175

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
8/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

53%
Ball Possession
47%
17
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
8
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

2
Total Goals
2.1
1.3
Goals Scored
1
0.7
Goals Against
1.1
45%
Possession
53%
14.8
Total Shots
13.1
4.7
Shots on Goal
3.6
5
Shots off Goal
6.3
12.5
Fouls
14.7
7.3
Corners
5.1
2.4
Offsides
1
3
Yellow Cards
2.86
0.17
Red Cards
0
342
Total Passes
411

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
7
3
Over 2.5 Goals
4
1
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Cuiaba
3 - 3 - 3
Operario-PR
Cuiaba Cuiaba 11-May-25
2:3
Operario-PR Operario-PR
Cuiaba Cuiaba 19-Dec-20
2:0
Operario-PR Operario-PR
Operario-PR Operario-PR 23-Sep-20
1:1
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Operario-PR Operario-PR 07-Sep-19
2:1
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Cuiaba Cuiaba 04-May-19
2:1
Operario-PR Operario-PR
Cuiaba Cuiaba 22-Sep-18
0:1
Operario-PR Operario-PR
Operario-PR Operario-PR 16-Sep-18
3:3
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Operario-PR Operario-PR 22-Jul-18
1:1
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Cuiaba Cuiaba 19-May-18
4:0
Operario-PR Operario-PR

Brazil - Serie B Brazil - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 CoritibaCoritiba 37
37-22
65
2 Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paran 37
52-43
62
3 CriciumaCriciuma 37
47-32
61
4 GoiasGoias 37
41-34
61
5 Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc 37
51-35
59
6 remoremo 37
48-38
59
7 NovorizontinoNovorizontino 37
40-32
57
8 CRBCRB 37
45-37
56
9 AvaiAvai 37
50-40
55
10 Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goian 37
39-37
52
11 CuiabaCuiaba 37
42-44
51
12 America MineiroAmerica Mineir 37
41-43
46
13 Vila NovaVila Nova 37
38-42
46
14 Operario-PROperario-PR 37
38-43
45
15 Athletic ClubAthletic Club 37
41-52
41
16 Botafogo SPBotafogo SP 37
32-52
41
17 FerroviáriaFerroviária 37
42-50
40
18 AmazonasAmazonas 37
37-53
36
19 Volta RedondaVolta Redonda 37
24-41
35
20 PaysanduPaysandu 37
35-50
28
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