Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long

Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction and tips

The Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction for Friday, 2026-05-01 (12:00 GMT) comes with that rare feeling: two “new kids” who are already acting like they own the place. This Round 9 meeting in Dalian is scheduled for 19:00 local time at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, and it reads like a test of nerve more than a simple three-pointer.

Dalian are now widely listed as Dalian Yingbo in many feeds (the same club formerly known as Dalian Zhixing), and they’ve built a season on momentum and front-foot football. Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive as the surprise package sitting 2nd, unbeaten after eight rounds (5 wins, 3 draws), fresh from a gritty 1-1 with Qingdao West Coast. Dalian sit just behind in 3rd, but their five-game winning run was stopped by a 1-3 home loss to Yunnan Yukun.

Team context, tactics, and what may decide it

On paper, Dalian’s home approach should be clear: push the ball wide, win territory, and squeeze the game into Chongqing’s half. They’ve looked most comfortable when they can keep pressure on and force opponents into hurried clearances. Chongqing, meanwhile, have made a habit of staying calm, protecting central spaces, and waiting for one or two high-value moments. Unbeaten teams rarely do it with chaos; they do it with timing.

• Dalian’s issue is availability: reports suggest 5–6 players are carrying injuries, and the schedule has started to bite.
• Key doubts up front and between the lines: foreign striker Cephas Malele missed the last squad, while Nicolae Stanciu went off after 17 minutes last time and is a major question.
• Rotation risk: Li Guoxu has already shown he will protect legs when a game is running away, subbing key pieces early in the last defeat.

Recent history adds spice. Their last head to head on 2024-05-26 ended 2-2, and it played like two teams refusing to blink. Also, both sides have shown they can ruin a coupon: Dalian’s 2-2 away draw at Shanghai Shenhua on 2025-10-26 came with massive pre-match prices, and Chongqing’s 0-1 win at Hangzhou Greentown on 2026-04-05 landed at similarly chunky betting odds. Upset energy? Definitely in the air.

Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction: AI picks

Now to the NerdyTips numbers and the sports betting angle. The 1x2 betting odds are tight enough to make you double-check your screen: Home win 1.95, Draw 3.35, Away win 3.9. That suggests the market respects Dalian’s home edge, but doesn’t fully trust the injury situation.

Best bet: goals look limited

The top tip is Under 3.5 goals at 1.3, with a modest confidence (3.6/10). Our under/over model agrees: Under 3.5 goals again, trust 3.7, odds 1.3. When two separate reads land on the same idea, it usually means the match profile is pointing to control rather than fireworks.

• Final score prediction: 0:0
• Half-time prediction: 0:0
• Possession forecast: Dalian 55% vs Chongqing 45%
• Shots: Dalian 16 (5 on target) vs Chongqing 6 (2 on target)
• Corners: Dalian 7 vs Chongqing 4 (11 total)
• Cards: 1 yellow each

1x2 lean: the draw has a say

For the Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction on the main market, the model leans to X (Draw) at 3.5, though trust is low (1.95). That fits the story: Dalian may have more ball and shots, but Chongqing’s unbeaten discipline plus Dalian’s injury cloud can turn 90 minutes into a lot of effort for not much reward. In plain words: the draw is the annoying friend who shows up uninvited… and still eats all the snacks.