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Match Prediction

Damac vs Al Shabab Prediction

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Damac

€12.55m

20 Feb15:00
1 : 3

Al Shabab

€43.22m

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Damac vs Al Shabab Prediction Pro League

Damac vs Al Shabab prediction: turmoil, tactics and value

If you’re looking for a Damac vs Al Shabab prediction that feels more like a matchday chat than a spreadsheet, this is the right place. Damac and Al Shabab meet on Friday, 20 February 2026 at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium in Abha, with kick-off at 19:00 GMT (22:00 local). It’s a tense one too: both sides are stuck in the bottom half, and nobody wants this to turn into a proper relegation headache.

Team news, pressure, and the “Zekri derby” storyline

Al Shabab arrive in the middle of a technical reset. After a rough 5-2 loss to Al Ahli, the board moved on from Imanol Alguacil and brought in Noureddine Zekri. Yes, that Zekri—formerly of Damac—so this has that awkward “meeting your ex” energy, just with more slide tackles. Zekri’s reputation is simple: when things get messy, he brings structure.

Damac aren’t exactly calm either. Armando Evangelista is reportedly under serious pressure, with talk of a rift between coach and board—especially over winter arrivals that may not have been his idea. If you’ve ever tried cooking with someone adding ingredients mid-recipe, you get the vibe.

Players to watch (and worry about)

  • Al Shabab boost: Abderrazak Hamdallah is expected back after a thigh issue—huge for a team that has lacked a steady finisher.
  • Al Shabab absences: Mohammed Harbush remains out long-term, Vincent Sierro has a calf problem, and Yanick Carrasco is still a doubt.
  • Damac return: Farouk Chafaï is close to full fitness again, which matters for a defence that has conceded 36 league goals.
  • Suspension tightrope: Yakou Meïté, Dhari Al-Anazi, and Morlaye Sylla are one yellow away from missing the next game—expect slightly “careful” tackles.

Tactical expectations and head to head context

With Zekri in charge, Al Shabab are likely to ditch the open style and go pragmatic—think 3.9-2 or 4-2-3-1, keeping lines tight and protecting their centre-backs. Damac at home should try to build through Valentin Vada, but that off-pitch noise can show up as slow transitions and mixed pressing triggers.

For head to head fans: Damac won the last meeting on 2023.90-04, 1-0, despite Al Shabab being priced similarly to now. Still, the wider trend leans Shabab: Damac have only one win in 12 Pro League-era meetings, and they’ve often struggled against Riyadh clubs in general.

Betting tips based on our match prediction numbers

The market leans away: Home win 3.9, Draw 3.55, Away win 1.98—matching the bigger squad value too (€12.55m vs €43.22m). Our main Damac vs Al Shabab prediction angle is safety-first rather than hero-ball.

  • Top betting option: X2 (Al Shabab win or draw) at 1.29, trust 4.8/10.
  • 1X2 call: Away win (2) at 1.98, trust 3.8/10.
  • Goals betting tips: Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, trust 3.55/10.

Why the “away or draw” lean? The expected match stats point to a narrow Shabab edge: 46% vs 54% possession, 11 vs 14 shots, and 3 vs 4 shots on target. Corners are projected at 4-5 (9 total), and cards at a tidy 1-1—more control than chaos.

Correct score picks are always spicy, but the model goes 1-2, with a 0-1 half-time lean. If Hamdallah is truly back, that away price (1.98) starts to look fair—just don’t expect a goal festival in Abha.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Damac vs Al Shabab

X2 -345

Al Shabab to win or draw with odds of -345
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 -102

Al Shabab is expected to win with odds of -102
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -114

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -208

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

0.9
xG
1.63
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.79
Expected Goals
1.4
2.4
Total Goals
2.7
0.6
Goals Scored
1.3
1.8
Goals Against
1.4
44%
Possession
49%
10.1
Total Shots
12.9
2.7
Shots on Goal
4.6
5
Shots off Goal
4.3
10.5
Fouls
10.6
3.5
Corners
5.1
2
Offsides
1.7
1.7
Yellow Cards
2.11
359
Total Passes
379

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
3
9
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
1
Over 3.5 Goals
4
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Damac
1 - 4 - 9
Al Shabab
Al Shabab Al Shabab 25-Oct-25
1:1
Damac Damac
Al Shabab Al Shabab 28-Feb-25
2:0
Damac Damac
Damac Damac 04-Oct-24
1:0
Al Shabab Al Shabab
Damac Damac 16-Feb-24
0:1
Al Shabab Al Shabab
Al Shabab Al Shabab 25-Aug-23
1:1
Damac Damac
Damac Damac 31-May-23
1:4
Al Shabab Al Shabab
Al Shabab Al Shabab 02-Feb-23
2:1
Damac Damac
Al Shabab Al Shabab 10-Feb-22
2:1
Damac Damac
Al Shabab Al Shabab 19-Dec-21
5:0
Damac Damac
Damac Damac 17-Sep-21
1:1
Al Shabab Al Shabab

Profile time Recent Matches of Damac

12 Mar Al Najma Al Najma - Damac Damac -
05 MarW Damac Damac 3 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0
26 FebD Al Fateh Al Fateh 1 Damac Damac 1
23 FebL Damac Damac 0 Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 1
20 FebL Damac Damac 1 Al Shabab Al Shabab 3
12 FebW Damac Damac 2 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1
06 FebL Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2 Damac Damac 0
03 FebD Damac Damac 0 Al Kholood Al Kholood 0
30 JanL Neom SC Neom SC 3 Damac Damac 0
26 JanL Al Hazem Al Hazem 2 Damac Damac 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Shabab

07 MarDAl Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1 Al Shabab Al Shabab 1
27 FebLAl Shabab Al Shabab 3 Al Hilal Al Hilal 5
23 FebWAl Shabab Al Shabab 3 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1
20 FebWDamac Damac 1 Al Shabab Al Shabab 3
18 FebWAl Shabab Al Shabab 13 Tadamon Tadamon 0
13 FebLAl Shabab Al Shabab 2 Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 5
11 FebDAl Nahda Al Nahda 1 Al Shabab Al Shabab 1
07 FebLAl Kholood Al Kholood 1 Al Shabab Al Shabab 0
01 FebWAl Shabab Al Shabab 1 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0
29 JanWAl Hazem Al Hazem 0 Al Shabab Al Shabab 4

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr25
66-19
64
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah25
49-16
62
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi25
66-23
61
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah25
59-23
57
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon25
45-31
44
6 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC25
40-31
42
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq25
36-43
39
8 NEOM NEOM25
29-34
32
9 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej25
44-39
30
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha25
33-41
30
11 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh25
34-46
28
12 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm25
27-46
28
13 Al Shabab Al Shabab25
31-39
26
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood25
33-46
25
15 Damac Damac25
21-41
19
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh25
22-48
16
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood25
22-55
13
18 Al Najma Al Najma25
22-58
8
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