Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Preview
The Damac vs Al Taawon prediction picture becomes clearer once you zoom in on where these teams are right now: Damac are trying to breathe above the relegation line, while Al Taawon are chasing a top-four finish. They meet on Thursday, 12 February 2026 at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium in Abha, with kick-off at 15:45 GMT (19:45 local time). If you like storylines, this one has plenty—survival nerves on one side, ambition on the other.
Al Taawon sit 5th with 39 points and they still look like a team that believes Europe-style: win your home games, steal points away, and let the table do the talking. Their latest reminder came on February 7, a 1–1 draw with Al Khaleej where Roger Martínez bailed them out again. It’s becoming a habit—good for Al Taawon fans, less fun for defenders trying to sleep the night before.
Damac, on the other hand, are 15th with 12 points and stuck in a rough run. They’ve gone seven matches without a win and fell 0–2 to Al Ettifaq on February 6. The bigger issue is goals: about 0.7 per game this season, which is not exactly a “we’ll just outscore you” plan. Manager Armando Evangelista has openly asked for more boldness and better tactical choices, especially after noticing his players showing “too much respect” to top opponents. In a relegation fight, respect is nice—points are nicer.
Al Taawon’s attacking approach under Péricles Chamusca has produced 36 league goals, one of the best totals outside the usual giants. Still, they’ll miss Musa Barrow, sidelined until around May with a serious knee ligament injury. Another subplot: Martínez, El Mahdioui, Flávio, and Muteb Al-Mufarrij are all one yellow card away from a ban, so expect a little “careful tackling” at key moments.
Damac may be without Valentín Vada, a major doubt with a knee sprain, while captain Abdelkader Bedrane is expected to marshal the back line again. Damac did shop in January, adding Jonathan Okita on loan, Amidou Traoré, and striker Mohammad Eid Alsalkhadi to help the attack. Al Taawon also strengthened, bringing in Qassem Lajami (loan) for defensive depth and winger Biel (loan) to add width.
The market leans Al Taawon too. Current odds show a home win at 4.6, the draw at 3.55, and the away win at 1.92—reasonable when you compare squad values (€12.55m for Damac versus €37.12m for Al Taawon). For beginner bettors, that gap often hints at depth and match control over 90 minutes.
Our top Damac vs Al Taawon prediction is the safer double chance: X2 (Al Taawon win or draw). The model rates it 7.6/10 for trust, priced around 1.23. It fits the “Al Taawon don’t need perfection to avoid defeat” idea, especially with Damac struggling to score.
If you want the straight result, the AI 1X2 call is 2 (Al Taawon to win) with a 6.0 trust score at 1.92. It’s not labeled as a lock, but it matches Al Taawon’s higher attacking output and Damac’s need to take risks—risks that can open the door for counters.
Goals-wise, the AI likes under 3.55 at 1.23 (confidence 6.6). That may sound conservative, but it aligns with Damac’s low scoring rate and a match script where Al Taawon lead and manage. The expected final score is 0–1, and even the half-time lean is 0–1.
Recent head to head history suggests Damac can compete, even when the odds say otherwise. They’ve already shown they can surprise away from home too, drawing at Al Fayha on 2026-01-17 despite win odds of 5.0. Al Taawon have their own “we weren’t supposed to get anything” moment, holding Al-Nassr to a 1–1 away draw in May 2025 with massive 10.0 win odds. In short: both sides know how to scrap for points. Still, with form, squad value, and scoring trends combined, our betting tips point to Al Taawon avoiding defeat—and likely taking all three.
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X2 -435
Al Taawon to win or draw with odds of -4352 -109
Al Taawon is expected to win with odds of -109Under 3.5 -323
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -111
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -244
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
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|
3
-
4
-
8
|
|
 Al Taawon |
19-Oct-25
6:1
| Damac  |
| Al Taawon |
08-Mar-25
3:0
| Damac |
| Damac |
19-Oct-24
2:2
| Al Taawon |
| Damac |
26-Apr-24
0:1
| Al Taawon |
| Al Taawon |
05-Nov-23
0:0
| Damac |
| Damac |
04-Mar-23
1:2
| Al Taawon |
| Al Taawon |
16-Sep-22
1:1
| Damac |
| Damac |
27-Jun-22
1:1
| Al Taawon |
| Al Taawon |
01-Jan-22
3:0
| Damac |
| Damac |
30-May-21
2:0
| Al Taawon |
Recent Matches of Damac| 12 Mar |
Al Najma
| - |
Damac
| - | |
| 05 Mar | W |
Damac
| 3 |
Al Riyadh
| 0 |
| 26 Feb | D |
Al Fateh
| 1 |
Damac
| 1 |
| 23 Feb | L |
Damac
| 0 |
Al Ahli SC
| 1 |
| 20 Feb | L |
Damac
| 1 |
Al Shabab
| 3 |
| 12 Feb | W |
Damac
| 2 |
Al Taawon
| 1 |
| 06 Feb | L |
Al Ettifaq
| 2 |
Damac
| 0 |
| 03 Feb | D |
Damac
| 0 |
Al Kholood
| 0 |
| 30 Jan | L |
Neom SC
| 3 |
Damac
| 0 |
| 26 Jan | L |
Al Hazem
| 2 |
Damac
| 1 |
Recent Matches of Al Taawon
| 12 Mar |  Neom SC |
- | Al Taawon |
- | |
| 06 Mar | W | Al Taawon |
3 |  Al Fateh |
2 |
| 28 Feb | D |  Al Qadisiya |
1 | Al Taawon |
1 |
| 24 Feb | D | Al Taawon |
1 |  Al Hilal |
1 |
| 20 Feb | L | Al Taawon |
2 |  Al Fayha |
3 |
| 12 Feb | L | Damac |
2 | Al Taawon |
1 |
| 07 Feb | D | Al Taawon |
1 |  Al Khaleej |
1 |
| 03 Feb | L |  Al Ettifaq |
1 | Al Taawon |
0 |
| 30 Jan | W | Al Taawon |
1 |  Al Okhdood |
0 |
| 26 Jan | L |  Al Nassr |
1 | Al Taawon |
0 |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr | 25 | 66-19 | 64 |
| 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 25 | 49-16 | 62 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 25 | 66-23 | 61 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah | 25 | 59-23 | 57 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon | 25 | 45-31 | 44 |
| 6 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 25 | 40-31 | 42 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 25 | 36-43 | 39 |
| 8 |
NEOM | 25 | 29-34 | 32 |
| 9 |
Al Khaleej | 25 | 44-39 | 30 |
| 10 |
Al-Fayha | 25 | 33-41 | 30 |
| 11 |
Al-Fateh | 25 | 34-46 | 28 |
| 12 |
Al-Hazm | 25 | 27-46 | 28 |
| 13 |
Al Shabab | 25 | 31-39 | 26 |
| 14 |
Al Kholood | 25 | 33-46 | 25 |
| 15 |
Damac | 25 | 21-41 | 19 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh | 25 | 22-48 | 16 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood | 25 | 22-55 | 13 |
| 18 |
Al Najma | 25 | 22-58 | 8 |
