Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Preview
Welcome to our detailed Defensa Y Justicia vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction, where we break down all the essential match facts, stats, and betting odds for this intriguing Liga Profesional Argentina fixture. With both teams eager to improve their league standing, this November 16, 2025, encounter at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello promises to be a tactical chess match rather than a goal fest. Let’s dive into the numbers, tactics, and expert tips to help you make smarter bets.
Defensa y Justicia, currently sitting 10th in the table, have been going through a turbulent spell. Under coach Mariano Soso, the team has struggled in recent weeks, recording only 2 wins in their last 7 matches, along with 1 draw and 4 defeats. Their attack has been blunt, averaging just 0.7 goals per game, while the defense has leaked 1.4 goals per match. Worryingly for home fans, Defensa are on a three-game losing streak and have conceded at least once in each of their last three outings.
On the other side, Independiente Rivadavia, sitting 14th, have also found wins hard to come by. Their last 10 league games have produced just 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with an equally modest goals-per-game average of 0.7. However, they did recently show resilience in the Copa Argentina final, holding Argentinos Juniors to a 2-2 draw before triumphing in a penalty shootout. Coach Alfredo Berti’s men have developed a knack for grinding out draws, especially away from home, with 3 in their last 6 away fixtures.
When it comes to the head-to-head record, this fixture has historically been a close affair. In their last 6 meetings across all competitions, Independiente Rivadavia have had the upper hand with 2 wins, while Defensa y Justicia are still searching for their first victory—4 matches have ended all square. Their most recent league meeting, during the Torneo Apertura 2025, saw Independiente Rivadavia edge out Defensa y Justicia 3-2. Over 15 past encounters, Rivadavia leads with 7 wins to Defensa’s 4, with 4 draws.
Both sides are likely to field patched-up starting XIs, adding an extra layer of unpredictability to this match.
Tactically, expect Defensa y Justicia to dominate possession, with projections suggesting 64% of the ball. That control should translate into more shots—11 compared to Rivadavia’s 9—but the quality of finishing could again be an issue, with just 3 expected shots on target for the hosts and 2 for the visitors. Set pieces may play a role, with a total of 8 corners predicted (5 for Defensa, 3 for Rivadavia). The card count could be lopsided too, with Rivadavia’s more physical style likely earning them 4 bookings to Defensa’s 1.
The home side’s squad is valued at €28.08m compared to Rivadavia’s €23.95m, reflecting a slight edge in quality and depth for Defensa.
Our AI model expects a narrow 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia, with the first half likely ending goalless. If you’re looking for a halftime bet, 0:0 at the break could be worth a look. The projected stats—low shot counts, few shots on target, and a history of tense encounters—back up our under 2.5 goals prediction.
In summary, our Defensa Y Justicia vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction points firmly towards a low-scoring affair, with the hosts slightly favored to edge out a much-needed win. For punters, under 2.5 total goals stands out as the value play, while a home win is the next best option if you fancy a riskier bet.
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U2.5 -147
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1471 -111
Defensa J is expected to win with odds of -111Under 2.5 -147
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -130
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -145
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
|
|
0
-
5
-
3
|
|
 Rivadavia |
02-May-25
3:2
| Defensa J  |
| Rivadavia |
17-Sep-24
1:0
| Defensa J |
| Defensa J |
09-Mar-14
2:2
| Rivadavia |
| Rivadavia |
09-Sep-13
1:1
| Defensa J |
| Rivadavia |
11-Mar-13
1:1
| Defensa J |
| Defensa J |
08-Sep-12
2:3
| Rivadavia |
| Defensa J |
06-May-12
1:1
| Rivadavia |
| Rivadavia |
06-Nov-11
2:2
| Defensa J |
Recent Matches of Defensa J| 29 Jan |
Dep. Riestra.
|
-
| Defensa J.
| |
| 22 Jan | D |
Aldosivi.
|
0:0
| Defensa J.
|
Recent Matches of Rivadavia
| 27 Jan |  Huracan. |
- |
Rivadavia. | |
| 24 Jan | W | Rivadavia. |
2:1 |
Atl. Tucuman. |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Boca Juniors | 16 | 28-12 | 29 |
| 2 |
Union Santa Fe | 16 | 20-13 | 25 |
| 3 |
Racing Club | 16 | 16-13 | 25 |
| 4 |
Central Cordoba de | 16 | 17-11 | 24 |
| 5 |
Argentinos JRS | 16 | 18-13 | 24 |
| 6 |
Barracas | 16 | 19-17 | 23 |
| 7 |
Tigre | 16 | 14-13 | 22 |
| 8 |
Estudiantes | 16 | 17-18 | 21 |
| 9 |
Banfield | 16 | 15-21 | 21 |
| 10 |
Belgrano | 16 | 13-11 | 20 |
| 11 |
Huracan | 16 | 10-15 | 20 |
| 12 |
Defensa Y | 16 | 14-19 | 19 |
| 13 |
Aldosivi | 16 | 13-18 | 18 |
| 14 |
Independ. | 16 | 14-17 | 16 |
| 15 |
Newells Old | 16 | 13-23 | 14 |
