icon back

Match Prediction

Dender vs Westerlo Prediction

Finished
Belgium flag Belgium
Jupiler Pro League

Dender

€20.35m

29 Nov15:00
2 : 2

Westerlo

€45.10m

Preview

Dender vs Westerlo Prediction Jupiler Pro League

Dender vs Westerlo Prediction: Odds, Tactics, and Best Bets

Welcome, football fans and savvy bettors! If you’re searching for the most insightful Dender vs Westerlo prediction ahead of their Jupiler Pro League meeting on November 29, 2025, you’ve come to the right place. At NerdyTips, we’re here to break down the stats, recent form, and betting odds, and sprinkle in a bit of football wisdom (and humor) to help you make the smartest picks.

Match Context: Two Teams Desperate for Points

This Saturday at 15:00 GMT, Dender and Westerlo meet at the Dender Football Complex in Denderleeuw. With Dender sitting 16th and Westerlo 12th in the league, both sides are feeling the heat. It’s not quite the glamour tie of the weekend, but for these teams, it’s a real six-pointer as they try to climb away from the relegation zone.

Head to Head: Evenly Matched, With a Hint of Home Comfort

  • Last time out (October 25, 2025): 1-1 draw at Westerlo’s ground.
  • Last five meetings: 2 wins each, 1 draw.
  • Dender’s home advantage: They’ve won their last two home games against Westerlo.

So, history says it’s tight, but Dender have enjoyed their home turf in this fixture. Still, with both teams struggling for form, past results might not tell the whole story.

Recent Form: Who’s Struggling More?

  • Dender: 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses in last 6 league games. They’re scoring 1.5 goals per match but conceding 1.83, so their defense is leakier than a cheap umbrella.
  • Westerlo: Winless in 6 (3 draws, 3 losses), scoring just 0.5 goals per game. Their away record is even worse: no wins in 8 of their last 10 on the road.

If you’re hoping for fireworks, recent form suggests you might want to temper those expectations. Dender’s defense is shaky, but Westerlo’s attack has been toothless lately.

Squads, Injuries, and Key Players

  • Dender: No major injuries. Watch out for Bruny Nsimba, Noah Mbamba, and David Toshevski – they’ve been the bright spots in a tough season.
  • Westerlo: A crowded treatment room. Key absentees include Lucas Mineiro, Jan Bernat, Erdon Daci, Tuur Rommens, Fernand Gouré, Thomas Van den Keybus, Josimar Alcocer, and Bryan Reynolds. Nacho Ferri and Isa Sakamoto are the main threats up front.

With Westerlo missing so many players, their squad depth will be tested. Dender, meanwhile, have a full squad and a couple of new faces on the coaching staff, which could give them a slight edge in preparation.

Tactics and What to Expect

  • Dender will likely try to keep things tight at the back, hoping to exploit Westerlo’s injury-hit defense and lack of attacking punch.
  • Westerlo may focus on possession (they’re projected to have 53%) but could struggle to turn that into clear chances.

Both teams have reason to play cautiously. Dender’s defense has been suspect, but Westerlo’s attack is misfiring. Don’t be surprised if the first half is a chess match, with both sides afraid to make the first mistake.

Interesting Facts

  • Dender’s squad value: €20.35m; Westerlo’s: €45.10m. On paper, Westerlo should have the edge, but football isn’t played on spreadsheets.
  • Dender recently picked up their first win in a while, which could give them a psychological boost.
  • The Dender Football Complex holds just 6,429 fans, but it can get noisy when the home side is up for it.

AI Predictions and Best Bets

Now, let’s get to the heart of the matter: the Dender vs Westerlo prediction from our AI system, which has crunched the numbers so you don’t have to.

  1. 1x2 Prediction: X2 (Draw or Westerlo win) with a trust level of 2.0 and odds of 1.47. Given Westerlo’s squad value and Dender’s home struggles, the away side has a slight edge, but a draw is very much on the cards.
  2. Best Tip: Under 3.5 total goals (odds 1.52, confidence 4.8/10). Both teams have struggled to score lately, and their last meeting ended 1-1. Our AI sees this as a strong pick for under/over bettors.
  3. Predicted Final Score: 1:1. The AI expects a cagey affair, with both teams grabbing a goal but neither able to pull away.
  4. Half-Time Score: 0:0. Don’t expect early fireworks – the first half could be a tactical battle.

Key Match Stats (Projected)

  • Possession: Dender 47%, Westerlo 53%
  • Total shots: Dender 12, Westerlo 15
  • Shots on target: 3 each
  • Corners: Dender 4, Westerlo 5
  • Yellow cards: 1 each

Betting Odds and Value

  • Home win: 2.77
  • Draw: 3.6
  • Away win: 2.42

The bookmakers see this as a close contest, with Westerlo slight favorites despite their injury list. The draw offers solid value, especially considering recent head to head results and both teams’ current form.

NerdyTips Verdict

  • Our top pick: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52). Both teams are struggling to score, and history suggests a tight game.
  • Value bet: Draw or Westerlo win (X2 at 1.47). With Dender’s home form shaky and Westerlo’s squad depth tested, this covers both likely outcomes.

So, there you have it – our Dender vs Westerlo prediction for this crucial Jupiler Pro League match. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or just looking for a smart bet, keep it simple, trust the stats, and enjoy the game. And remember, sometimes the best action is in the stands – or on your betting slip!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Dender vs Westerlo

U3.5 -192

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -192
4/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -213

Westerlo to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -192

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -182

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U5.5 -161

Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

1.31
xG
1.44
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
8
4
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.06
Expected Goals
1.35
2.9
Total Goals
2.6
1.2
Goals Scored
1
1.7
Goals Against
1.6
44%
Possession
52%
11.4
Total Shots
15
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.8
5
Shots off Goal
7.3
10.8
Fouls
10.1
3.7
Corners
5.3
1.9
Offsides
1.3
2
Yellow Cards
1.89
365
Total Passes
403

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
1
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
2
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
7
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Dender
2 - 1 - 2
Westerlo
Westerlo Westerlo 25-Oct-25
1:1
Dender Dender
Westerlo Westerlo 02-May-25
4:2
Dender Dender
Dender Dender 30-Mar-25
1:0
Westerlo Westerlo
Dender Dender 08-Dec-24
1:0
Westerlo Westerlo
Westerlo Westerlo 01-Nov-24
2:0
Dender Dender

Profile time Recent Matches of Dender

14 Dec Dender Dender.
-
Club B. Club B
05 DecW RAAL L RAAL L.
1:2
Dender. Dender
02 DecW Dender Dender.
3:2
St. Liege. St. Liege
29 NovD Dender Dender.
2:2
Westerlo. Westerlo
23 NovW Antwerp Antwerp.
1:2
Dender. Dender
07 NovD Dender Dender.
2:2
Waregem. Waregem
01 NovL Club B Club B.
2:1
Dender. Dender
28 OctW Dender Dender.
4:2
Olympic C. Olympic C
25 OctD Westerlo Westerlo.
1:1
Dender. Dender
19 OctL Dender Dender.
1:3
KV Mechelen. KV Mechelen

Profile time Recent Matches of Westerlo

14 DecGenk Genk.
-
Westerlo.Westerlo
07 DecWWesterlo Westerlo.
4:0
Anderlecht.Anderlecht
29 NovDDender Dender.
2:2
Westerlo.Westerlo
22 NovDWesterlo Westerlo.
0:0
Gent.Gent
08 NovLCharleroi Charleroi.
2:0
Westerlo.Westerlo
02 NovLWesterlo Westerlo.
0:1
Genk.Genk
30 OctLWilrijk Wilrijk.
3:2
Westerlo.Westerlo
25 OctDWesterlo Westerlo.
1:1
Dender.Dender
18 OctDRAAL L RAAL L.
0:0
Westerlo.Westerlo
05 OctWKVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo.
2:0
OH Leuven.OH Leuven

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gill17
32-10
37
2 St. Truiden St. Truiden17
26-20
33
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV17
24-17
32
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht17
23-17
31
5 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen17
21-18
27
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege17
16-20
24
7 Gent Gent17
25-25
23
8 Genk Genk17
21-23
23
9 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem17
23-23
22
10 Antwerp Antwerp17
18-18
20
11 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo17
25-26
20
12 Charleroi Charleroi17
18-22
19
13 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvi17
12-17
18
14 OH Leuven OH Leuven17
18-27
16
15 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge17
20-26
13
16 Dender Dender17
14-27
12
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches