1. Home
  2. Leagues
  3. Liga Profesional Argentina
  4. Dep. Riestra vs Gimnasia

Finished
12 Mar15:00
0 : 0

Gimnasia

€12.68m

Preview

Dep. Riestra vs Gimnasia Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Dep. Riestra vs Gimnasia prediction: a low-noise night?

Dep. Riestra vs Gimnasia prediction talk starts with the calendar: Thursday, 2026-03.02 at 20:00 GMT (17:00 local time) at Estadio Guillermo Laza in Buenos Aires, with Juan Pafundi in charge and Sebastián Bresba on VAR, broadcast on ESPN Premium. But the bigger backdrop is unusual: Argentine football is coming back after the AFA strike paused Matchday 9 and pushed it to May. So yes, both sides should look fresh… yet a little rusty, like a band playing again after an unexpected break.

Match context, tactics, and what the pause changes

Deportivo Riestra at home usually lean on structure first and emotion second. At Guillermo Laza, the plan is often simple: keep lines tight, win second balls, and make opponents play in uncomfortable areas. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza arrive with the slightly higher squad value (€12.68m vs €9.48m), but this looks more like a game of habits than budgets.

That week-plus without an official match can slow tempo and reduce attacking flow. It often shows in the first touches, the timing of runs, and the final pass. Both teams are coming off results that fit that “hard to beat” story: Riestra held Vélez away (0:0) despite huge pre-match win odds (5.2), while Gimnasia earned a surprising 1:1 at Boca with win odds around 9.0. Neither will fear the moment now.

  • Possession outlook: very even (Riestra 51%, Gimnasia 49%), which hints at a midfield tug-of-war rather than a siege.
  • Chance creation: 11 shots vs 10, and only 3 on target each suggests attempts, not clear openings.
  • Discipline and rhythm: projected yellows (3 home, 1 away) point to stoppages that can break momentum.

Head to head and the market mood

The head to head note is almost too perfect: their last meeting (2022.13.03) ended 0:0. Bookmakers now price the 1X2 as Home 2.1, Draw 3.0, Away 5.2—Riestra slightly favoured, but not enough to call it comfortable.

Dep. Riestra vs Gimnasia prediction: betting tips and picks

Now for the numbers that matter to bettors. Our model’s main read is that goals will be scarce, and it says so loudly.

  1. Best betting tip: Under 2.5 goals at 1.36 with trust 10.0/10. The predicted full-time score is 0:0, and the first-half score is also 0:0.
  2. 1X2 lean: NerdyTips’ AI points to X (Draw) at 3.0, but with a low trust score (2.1). That’s a “small sprinkle” pick, not a cornerstone.

Why does the under fit so well? Equal possession, equal shots on target (3–3), and a corner count that’s busy (8 total) but not explosive often leads to pressure without payoff. Add the post-strike rhythm factor, and the Dep. Riestra vs Gimnasia prediction becomes clear: back the under, and treat the draw as a secondary angle if you want a higher price.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Dep. Riestra vs Gimnasia

U2.5 -278

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -278
10/10

1x2 Tip

X 200

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -278

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
10/10

Both Teams To Score

No -208

At least one team is not expected to score
7/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -217

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

1.15
xG
0.63
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.97
Expected Goals
0.65
0.9
Total Goals
1.8
0.3
Goals Scored
0.7
0.6
Goals Against
1.1
40%
Possession
45%
10.6
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
4.2
4.3
Shots off Goal
4.9
18.2
Fouls
11.8
4.4
Corners
4
2
Offsides
1.3
4.33
Yellow Cards
1.67
264
Total Passes
322

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
3
2
Over 1.5 Goals
5
0
Over 2.5 Goals
2
0
Over 3.5 Goals
1
2
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Dep. Riestra
0 - 5 - 1
Gimnasia
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 12-Mar-26
0:0
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 23-Mar-22
0:0
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 18-Oct-21
0:0
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 14-Dec-20
1:3
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 07-Oct-19
0:0
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia
Gimnasia Gimnasia M. 23-Jun-21
1:1
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra

Profile time Recent Matches of Dep. Riestra

24 AprW Deportivo R Deportivo R 2 Independiente Independiente 0
20 AprL Talleres Talleres 2 Deportivo R Deportivo R 0
14 AprL Gremio Gremio 1 Deportivo R Deportivo R 0
11 AprL Deportivo R Deportivo R 0 Instituto C Instituto C 1
08 AprD Deportivo R Deportivo R 0 Palestino Palestino 0
03 AprL Union S Union S 2 Deportivo R Deportivo R 0
25 MarD Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1
18 MarL Central C Central C 1 Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 0
12 MarD Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 0 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 0
02 MarD Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 0 Platense Platense 0

Profile time Recent Matches Of Gimnasia M.

21 AprWGimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1 Lanus Lanus 0
15 AprDGimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 0 Gimnasia Gimnasia 0
12 AprDPlatense Platense 1 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1
03 AprWGimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 3 Velez S Velez S 2
21 MarLNewells Newells 1 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 0
18 MarLGimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1 Estudiant Estudiant 2
12 MarDDep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 0 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 0
28 FebDBoca Juniors Boca Juniors 1 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1
25 FebDGimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 1 Independiente Independiente 1
21 FebLGimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 0 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 1

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team M G P
1 Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes1417-727
2 Velez SarsfieldVelez1415-926
3 Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1416-824
4 Talleres CordobaTalleres1416-1224
5 LanusLanus1418-1522
6 IndependienteIndependiente1422-1721
7 Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1421-1719
8 Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y1417-1519
9 San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1412-1219
10 Instituto CordobaInstituto1414-1617
11 PlatensePlatense1410-1216
12 Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1411-1616
13 Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de1410-1915
14 Newells Old BoysNewells Old1413-2513
15 Deportivo RiestraDeportivo143-127
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches