Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Spain
Preview
The Ciudad Deportiva José Luis Compañón 4 will host a fascinating encounter this Saturday as Deportivo Alaves II take on Real Sociedad III in a match that might not grab national headlines but promises plenty of regional pride and tactical intrigue. With the home side heavily favored by the odds, the question isn’t just who will win—but why the numbers lean so decisively in one direction.
NerdyTips’ prediction model has thrown its weight behind Deportivo Alaves II, assigning them a 1.62 home win odds with a trust score of 8.0 out of 10. The algorithm forecasts a 2-0 victory (1-0 at halftime), and while that might seem conservative, recent performances suggest it’s anything but a wild guess. Alaves II’s gritty 1-1 draw against UD Logrones—a side with far higher win odds (5.25) at the time—showed a team capable of punching above its weight defensively. Meanwhile, Real Sociedad III’s shock 2-1 win over Arenas Getxo, despite being priced at 8.2 pre-match, felt more like a spirited anomaly than a sign of sustained momentum.
Alaves II’s strength at home is no secret. Their compact style, built on defensive discipline and quick transitions, makes them a nightmare for visiting teams. The under 3.5 goals market at 1.36 odds feels almost too obvious here—both sides have been involved in low-scoring affairs lately, with Alaves II particularly adept at shutting down games early. Real Sociedad III, for all their occasional flair, often struggle to break down organized defenses, which plays right into the hosts’ hands.
At first glance, the 4.75 away win odds might tempt a few daring punters. After all, Sociedad III’s victory over Arenas Getxo proved they can spring a surprise. But dig deeper, and the cracks appear. Their defense tends to wobble under sustained pressure, and Alaves II’s direct approach could exploit that ruthlessly. The visitors’ wins often feel like exceptions rather than patterns—a trait that doesn’t inspire confidence against a side as consistent at home as Alaves II.
Is there any value in backing the underdogs? Probably not. While the high odds might lure those chasing a big payout, the smarter play lies in Alaves II’s dominance. The 1.62 home win isn’t just a reflection of form—it’s a nod to their structural superiority. Sociedad III’s occasional flashes of brilliance aren’t enough to offset their defensive frailties, especially on the road.
This isn’t just a match—it’s a test of consistency versus chaos. Deportivo Alaves II’s methodical, disciplined approach contrasts sharply with Real Sociedad III’s hit-or-miss tendencies. The betting odds, the AI’s prediction, and the recent form all point to one conclusion: a comfortable home win. Whether it’s the 2-0 scoreline or the under 3.5 goals market, the numbers don’t lie. Sometimes, the safest bet is the obvious one.
For those skimming to the end: Alaves II to win (1.62), under 3.5 goals (1.36), and a 2-0 correct score prediction. It might not be the boldest call, but in a game like this, reliability trumps romance.
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1 -161
Deportivo II is expected to win with odds of -1611 -161
Deportivo II is expected to win with odds of -161Under 3.5 -278
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -110
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -256
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:0
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|
3
-
1
-
2
|
|
 Deportivo II |
19-Apr-25
2:1
| Real III  |
| Real III |
07-Dec-24
1:2
| Deportivo II |
| Real III |
20-Jan-24
2:2
| Deportivo II |
| Deportivo II |
10-Sep-23
1:0
| Real III |
| Real III |
26-Feb-23
1:0
| Deportivo II |
Recent Matches of Deportivo II| 31 Jan |
R. Union.
|
-
| Alaves B.
| |
| 25 Jan | W |
Alaves B.
|
2:0
| Eibar B.
|
Recent Matches of Real III
| 24 Jan | L |  Leioa. |
2:1 |
Real III. |
Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arenas Getxo | 34 | 50-24 | 70 |
| 2 |
SD Logroñés | 34 | 54-29 | 66 |
| 3 |
Eibar II | 34 | 45-23 | 62 |
| 4 |
Utebo | 34 | 55-34 | 61 |
| 5 |
Teruel | 34 | 41-28 | 60 |
| 6 |
UD Logroñés | 34 | 42-21 | 55 |
| 7 |
Ejea | 34 | 46-34 | 51 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Alavés | 34 | 35-32 | 49 |
| 9 |
Real Zaragoza | 34 | 43-48 | 44 |
| 10 |
Alfaro | 34 | 32-47 | 43 |
| 11 |
Tudelano | 34 | 43-43 | 43 |
| 12 |
Gernika | 34 | 39-48 | 43 |
| 13 |
Barbastro | 34 | 36-40 | 40 |
| 14 |
Calahorra | 34 | 28-39 | 39 |
| 15 |
Anguiano | 34 | 32-49 | 38 |
| 16 |
Real Sociedad | 34 | 31-57 | 29 |
| 17 |
Subiza | 34 | 36-60 | 28 |
| 18 |
Izarra | 34 | 31-63 | 21 |
