Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
The wait is finally over for local football fans as the East Midlands derby returns to Pride Park on December 6, 2025, at 12:30 GMT. Our Derby vs Leicester prediction dives deep into tactics, form, and betting tips for this long-awaited Championship fixture. With both teams desperate for points and pride, this encounter promises drama, goals, and plenty of talking points for supporters on both sides of the A52.
It’s been eight years since Derby and Leicester last met in competitive action, and a lot has changed since then. Leicester City, recently relegated from the Premier League, are struggling to find stability under manager Marti Cifuentes. Their defensive woes have reached crisis levels, with key centre-back Wout Faes doubtful after a nasty facial injury, and Caleb Okoli, Ben Nelson, and Harry Souttar all sidelined. This leaves Cifuentes with just one fit senior centre-back, Jannik Vestergaard, forcing makeshift solutions like Oliver Skipp and Hamza Choudhury in defence. The Foxes’ recent form is a worry: a 3-0 defeat to Southampton followed by a chaotic 3-2 loss to Sheffield United, where they conceded twice in the opening four minutes.
Derby County, meanwhile, have their own headaches. Injuries have forced head coach Liam Slatem to shuffle his pack, with Sam Tebbs missing out and Jake Roome stepping in recently. Lewis Hancock’s return from a groin injury offers hope on the wing, but Derby’s main struggle has been finishing their chances. They haven’t won since mid-September, and Slatem’s focus is on turning opportunities into goals. Despite their patchy form, Derby showed resilience in a recent 2-2 draw at Ipswich, defying the odds and hinting at their fighting spirit.
The Derby vs Leicester rivalry might be overshadowed by both clubs’ animosity towards Nottingham Forest, but make no mistake: this fixture means everything to fans. Historically, Derby have the upper hand with 46 wins in 108 meetings, while Leicester have 34 victories and 28 draws. However, recent history favours the Foxes, who have won 8 of the last 9 encounters. The last time these sides met was in the FA Cup in 2017, with Leicester triumphing 3-1 after a 2-2 draw at Pride Park.
With both teams desperate for a morale-boosting result, expect plenty of passion, crunching tackles, and maybe a few nervy moments for the goalkeepers. Derby’s home advantage at Pride Park could be a factor, but Leicester’s higher squad value (€168.75m vs Derby’s €51.92m) and Premier League pedigree can’t be ignored—if they can patch up their backline, that is.
Let’s get to the numbers and see what our data-driven tips say about this Derby vs Leicester prediction. Bookmakers have set the odds at 2.75 for a home win, 3.3 for a draw, and 2.6 for an away win. The market is tight, reflecting both teams’ unpredictable form and the derby-day wild card factor.
If you’re looking for a Derby vs Leicester prediction with guaranteed fireworks, this is your match. Both teams are desperate to turn their seasons around, but defensive injuries and inconsistent form mean anything can happen. Our tip? Back over 1.5 goals, expect a few heart-stopping moments, and don’t be surprised if it ends 2-2—giving both managers something to build on, and the fans plenty to talk about on Monday morning.
Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just tuning in for the rivalry, this East Midlands derby is set to deliver excitement. Keep an eye on late team news, and remember: in matches like these, form often flies out the window.
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O1.5 -250
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -250X 235
The match is expected to end in a drawOver 1.5 -250
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -114
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 -104
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:2
|
|
1
-
1
-
8
|
|
 Derby |
23-Jul-22
1:3
| Leicester  |
| Leicester |
08-Feb-17
3:1
| Derby |
| Derby |
27-Jan-17
2:2
| Leicester |
| Leicester |
10-Jan-14
4:1
| Derby |
| Leicester |
24-Sep-13
2:1
| Derby |
| Derby |
17-Aug-13
0:1
| Leicester |
| Derby |
16-Mar-13
2:1
| Leicester |
| Leicester |
01-Dec-12
4:1
| Derby |
| Derby |
23-Feb-12
0:1
| Leicester |
Recent Matches of Derby| 10 Mar |
Millwall
| - |
Derby
| - | |
| 07 Mar | W |
Derby
| 2 |
Sheffield Wed
| 1 |
Recent Matches of Leicester
| 10 Mar | Leicester |
- |  Bristol City |
- | |
| 07 Mar | D |  Ipswich |
1 | Leicester |
1 |
England - Championship| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry | 36 | 74-38 | 74 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough | 36 | 57-35 | 69 |
| 3 |
Millwall | 36 | 50-41 | 65 |
| 4 |
Ipswich | 35 | 61-35 | 64 |
| 5 |
Hull City | 36 | 57-52 | 60 |
| 6 |
Wrexham | 35 | 54-45 | 57 |
| 7 |
Derby | 36 | 54-47 | 54 |
| 8 |
Southampton | 35 | 57-46 | 53 |
| 9 |
Watford | 35 | 45-41 | 51 |
| 10 |
Bristol City | 36 | 48-46 | 50 |
| 11 |
Sheffield Utd | 36 | 51-49 | 49 |
| 12 |
Birmingham | 36 | 46-47 | 49 |
| 13 |
Swansea | 36 | 42-43 | 49 |
| 14 |
Preston | 36 | 42-43 | 49 |
| 15 |
Stoke City | 36 | 39-36 | 47 |
| 16 |
QPR | 36 | 46-57 | 47 |
| 17 |
Norwich | 35 | 47-44 | 45 |
| 18 |
Charlton | 36 | 34-44 | 44 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth | 35 | 35-45 | 40 |
| 20 |
Blackburn | 36 | 34-47 | 39 |
| 21 |
West Brom | 36 | 35-53 | 36 |
| 22 |
Leicester | 36 | 48-57 | 35 |
| 23 |
Oxford United | 36 | 34-48 | 35 |
| 24 |
Sheffield | 36 | 22-73 | -7 |
