Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Hungary
Preview
The Diosgyori VTK vs Kisvarda FC prediction for 2026-02-01 (11:45 GMT) lands at an interesting moment in Hungary’s top flight, now widely branded as the Fizz Liga. Coming out of the winter break, both teams have reasons to feel uneasy, but also enough quality to make this match in Miskolc lively rather than cautious.
Diósgyőr (often written as DVTK) return in 10th place in the 12-team table, sitting on 18 points from 19 matches and carrying the weight of a rough run of results. Three straight league defeats will do that to you, especially when the gap to the relegation fight is thin enough to make every home match feel like a final. Kisvárda, in 7th with 27 points, look safer on paper, yet their form has also been uneven, and a recent 3-2 home loss to MTK Budapest did not help the mood.
Vladimir Radenković’s DVTK typically line up in a 4-2-3-1 and try to stretch teams through the wings. Their main attacking reference is Elton Acolatse, who has been both scorer and creator this season (8 goals, 8 assists). With Bence Babos also contributing (5 goals) and Ivan Šaponjić expected to be involved up front, Diósgyőr’s best path is usually simple: get the ball wide, arrive in the box early, and make the stadium noise matter.
Off the pitch, there has been some churn. Young winger Zétény Varga has returned from his loan spell, and there has been talk around the squad about a possible move involving a leading forward—never ideal for calm decision-making in January. Add a few minor defensive knocks, and you can see why Radenković remains under pressure.
Kisvárda, led by Attila Révész (also the club’s sporting director), can play more directly, but their defensive stability has been questioned lately. Winter additions Nikola Radmanovac and Hianga’a Mbock are clearly meant to harden the spine. Up front, Bence Bíró (5 goals) and creator Jasmin Mešanović (6 assists) are central to their hopes—though Révész recently admitted the final-third quality has not always been there, which is a polite way of saying “we need to finish better.”
This head to head is famously balanced. The last meeting on 2024-04-06 ended 1-1, and across the last 15 meetings the win-draw split has been almost perfectly even. Both clubs have also shown they can frustrate giants: DVTK’s 2-2 away draw at Ferencváros in 2025 came with huge odds (10.25), and Kisvárda’s 0-0 at Ferencváros in 2024 was even more unlikely (11.8). In other words, surprises are part of the shared vocabulary here.
Markets are tight, which matches the table picture: home win 2.65, draw 3.3, away win 2.65. Our Diosgyori VTK vs Kisvarda FC prediction leans slightly to the home side in the 1X2, with “1” rated the most likely outcome (confidence 4.5/10, odds 2.65). That is not a promise—more a sign that home urgency plus a possession edge could tilt key moments.
The match stats projection supports a busier DVTK afternoon: 55% expected possession, 15 shots to Kisvárda’s 10, and corners leaning heavily home (7-3, 10 total). Shots on target are close (4-3), which hints at a game where both sides create, but neither locks it down. Discipline is projected to stay manageable, with 1 home yellow to 2 away.
Interestingly, Kisvárda’s squad value (€7.24m) edges DVTK’s (€6.88m), so this is not a classic “big vs small” spot. It feels more like two imperfect teams trying to look convincing at the same time—often the recipe for goals, a few nervous clearances, and at least one moment where a defender wishes winter break was longer.
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Diosgyori VTK didn't play better in the last H2H match!
HS -333
Diosgyori VTK is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -3331 165
Diosgyori VTK is expected to win with odds of 165Over 2.5 -105
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -133
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -115
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3:2
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7
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5
-
4
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|
 Kisvarda |
05-Oct-25
1:0
| Diosgyori  |
| Diosgyori |
06-Apr-24
1:1
| Kisvarda |
| Kisvarda |
10-Dec-23
1:2
| Diosgyori |
| Diosgyori |
26-Aug-23
2:0
| Kisvarda |
| Kisvarda |
14-Jul-22
2:3
| Diosgyori |
| Diosgyori |
03-Jul-21
3:2
| Kisvarda |
| Kisvarda |
24-Apr-21
0:1
| Diosgyori |
| Diosgyori |
06-Feb-21
2:0
| Kisvarda |
Recent Matches of Diosgyori| 13 Mar | L |
Diosgyori
| 0 |
Kazincbar
| 4 |
| 08 Mar | D |
MTK Budapest
| 1 |
Diosgyori
| 1 |
| 05 Mar | L |
Honved
| 1 |
Diosgyori
| 0 |
| 28 Feb | D |
Diosgyori
| 1 |
Zalaegerszegi
| 1 |
| 21 Feb | L |
Ujpest
| 2 |
Diosgyori
| 1 |
| 14 Feb | W |
Paks
| 1 |
Diosgyori
| 2 |
| 11 Feb | W |
Paks
| 2 |
Diosgyori
| 6 |
| 07 Feb | D |
Diosgyori
| 1 |
Gyor
| 1 |
| 01 Feb | D |
Diosgyori
| 1 |
Kisvarda
| 1 |
| 25 Jan | L |
Debrecen
| 3 |
Diosgyori
| 2 |
Recent Matches of Kisvarda
| 14 Mar | L |  Ujpest |
2 | Kisvarda |
1 |
| 06 Mar | W | Kisvarda |
1 |  Puskas A |
0 |
| 28 Feb | W | Kisvarda |
2 |  Paks |
1 |
| 21 Feb | D |  Nyiregyhaza |
2 | Kisvarda |
2 |
| 15 Feb | L |  Gyor |
1 | Kisvarda |
0 |
| 06 Feb | W | Kisvarda |
1 |  Kazincbar |
0 |
| 01 Feb | D | Diosgyori |
1 | Kisvarda |
1 |
| 24 Jan | L | Kisvarda |
2 |  MTK Budapest |
3 |
| 17 Jan | W | Kisvarda |
3 |  Michalovce |
1 |
| 12 Jan | L |  Radnicki 1923 |
3 | Kisvarda |
0 |
Hungary - NB I| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ferencvarosi | 25 | 49-27 | 49 |
| 2 |
Gyori ETO FC | 25 | 50-27 | 49 |
| 3 |
Debreceni VSC | 25 | 39-30 | 43 |
| 4 |
Kisvarda FC | 25 | 31-37 | 38 |
| 5 |
Zalaegerszegi | 25 | 38-31 | 38 |
| 6 |
Paks | 25 | 46-37 | 37 |
| 7 |
Puskas Academy | 25 | 31-31 | 35 |
| 8 |
Ujpest | 25 | 33-41 | 30 |
| 9 |
Nyiregyhaza | 25 | 34-43 | 28 |
| 10 |
MTK Budapest | 25 | 45-54 | 27 |
| 11 |
Diosgyori VTK | 25 | 33-40 | 25 |
| 12 |
Kazincbarcikai | 25 | 21-52 | 14 |
