Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction: Stats, Odds & AI Analysis

The Bundesliga returns to Signal Iduna Park on January 13, 2026, with a much-anticipated Round 17 fixture. This Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction dives into recent form, tactical trends, and the latest betting odds, offering football fans and sports betting enthusiasts a clear, data-driven preview. Whether you're a stats nerd or just love a good football story, this analysis is crafted for you.

Head to Head, Team Form & Tactical Insights

Historically, Dortmund has enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. Out of 55 direct meetings, the home team has claimed 29 wins, while Werder Bremen has managed 15 victories, and 11 matches have ended in a draw. Their most recent Bundesliga encounter finished 2-2, a reminder that the Green-Whites can occasionally spring a surprise. However, three of the last five meetings have seen a first-half draw, underlining a pattern of cagey starts.

• Dortmund sits 2nd in the Bundesliga with 33 points, unbeaten in their last five matches. Their home form is particularly impressive, boasting two consecutive 2-0 wins at Signal Iduna Park. However, coach Niko Kovač's side has a tendency to draw, sharing the league-high with six stalemates this season.
• Werder Bremen finds itself 10th, with 17 points and a worrying five-match winless streak. Their away form is even more concerning: just one win in eight Bundesliga trips this season. If Bremen were a travel agency, they'd be out of business by now.

In terms of squad value, the gulf is clear—Dortmund’s roster is worth a hefty €500.50m, compared to Bremen’s €178.30m. Injuries could play a role, with Dortmund missing Aaron Anselmino and Emre Can (suspension), while Julian Brandt is racing against time to be fit. On the bright side, Ramy Bensebaïni is back, and key players like Gregor Kobel and Giovanni Reyna are available.

Predicted Lineups & Tactical Approach

Dortmund is likely to line up with Kobel in goal, a solid back four featuring Süle and Anton, and a midfield trio anchored by Sabitzer. Expect them to dominate possession (forecasted at 63%) and apply relentless pressure, with Guirassy leading the line. Bremen, meanwhile, will be hoping for counter-attacking opportunities, but with just 37% predicted possession, it could be a long evening for the visitors.

Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction: AI-Powered Betting Tips

Now for the part every sports betting fan is waiting for: the Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction from NerdyTips’ AI. The algorithm leaves little room for doubt, rating a home win as the most profitable bet, with a trust score of 10.0/10 and odds of 1.422. If you’re looking for value in the 1x2 market, the smart money is firmly on Dortmund.

• Full-time prediction: Dortmund win (1), confidence level 10.0, odds 1.422
• Over/Under goals: Over 2.5 goals, trust score 2.0, odds 1.4227
• Predicted final score: 3:0 to Dortmund
• Half-time prediction: 1:0 to Dortmund

Additional AI insights forecast 15 shots (5 on target) for Dortmund, compared to 8 shots (2 on target) for Bremen. Expect 9 corners (6 for the hosts), and a disciplined home side with just one yellow card, while Bremen may see three. The numbers reinforce the betting odds: Bremen will need more than just luck to get a result.

Sports Betting Odds & Final Thoughts

The betting odds are telling: a Dortmund win is priced at 1.422, a draw at 5.2, and a Bremen win at a distant 8.0. Given Dortmund’s home record, squad depth, and recent form, it’s hard to argue against the AI’s 10/10 confidence. Still, football has a way of surprising us—just ask Bremen, who shocked Leverkusen away last season at odds of 11.0.

1. Head to head history favors Dortmund, and the stats back it up.
2. The form guide, tactical setup, and sports betting odds all point to a home win.
3. For those seeking a bold punt, over 2.5 goals is a reasonable shout, but the main Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction remains a confident home victory.

So, whether you’re placing a bet or just tuning in for the football, expect Dortmund to deliver the goods—and maybe, just maybe, Bremen will give us a story to remember.