Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
The upcoming match between Dugo Selo and Kustosija is shaping up to be an intriguing battle, set to unfold at Gradski stadion on April 19, 2025. With both teams carrying identical squad valuations of €50k, this encounter promises to be a tightly contested affair, where small margins could decide the outcome. But what do the numbers say, and where does the betting value lie? Let’s dive into the details.
At first glance, Dugo Selo and Kustosija appear evenly matched on paper. However, recent form and historical context suggest subtle advantages that could tilt the scales. Kustosija enters this fixture as slight favorites, with the betting odds reflecting their edge: a home win for Dugo Selo is priced at 3.0, a draw at 3.46, and an away win for Kustosija at 2.1. These numbers hint at a game where Kustosija is expected to avoid defeat, but nothing is guaranteed.
The last time these two sides met, on May 18, 2024, Kustosija walked away with a 0-1 victory. Back then, Dugo Selo were clear underdogs at 5.5 odds, while Kustosija’s win was priced at a confident 1.52. Fast forward to today, and the gap has narrowed, but Kustosija’s historical upper hand adds weight to their favoritism.
The AI-generated best tip for this match is X2 (Away win or draw) at 1.3 odds, though with a modest confidence rating of just 2.6 out of 10. This suggests that while the market leans toward Kustosija avoiding defeat, there’s lingering uncertainty. Contrast this with the predicted 1x2 outcome, which favors a straight Kustosija win (2) at 2.1 odds and a slightly higher confidence level of 1.6. The disparity between these two predictions is interesting—it implies that while Kustosija is the safer pick, the odds might not offer overwhelming value.
Meanwhile, the over/under market leans toward over 2.5 goals at 1.7 odds, backed by a trust level of 1.0. This aligns with the expected scoreline of 1-2, where Kustosija edges out Dugo Selo in a game with a few goals. The likely halftime score of 0-1 further reinforces the idea that Kustosija could start strong and maintain their lead.
Kustosija has a knack for defying expectations, especially on the road. A prime example is their surprising 0-1 away win over Solin on March 26, 2023, where they triumphed at 5.5 odds. This underdog spirit could play a role here, even as favorites. Dugo Selo, on the other hand, will be eager to overturn their recent struggles against Kustosija and prove they can compete on equal footing.
Given the low confidence in the X2 tip, bettors might find more value in backing Kustosija outright at 2.1, especially if they believe in the expected scoreline of 1-2. Alternatively, the over 2.5 goals market at 1.7 offers a safer route for those anticipating an open game.
While Dugo Selo vs Kustosija might not be a headline-grabbing fixture, it’s precisely the kind of match where sharp bettors can find hidden value. Kustosija’s slight edge, combined with their history of pulling off surprises, makes them the logical pick. However, the low confidence in the X2 tip serves as a reminder that nothing is certain in football—especially when two evenly matched sides collide.
For those looking to place a wager, the Kustosija win at 2.1 or the over 2.5 goals at 1.7 stand out as the most compelling options. Whatever you choose, this Dugo Selo vs Kustosija prediction highlights a game where patience and precision could pay off.
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X2 -333
Kustosija to win or draw with odds of -3332 110
Kustosija is expected to win with odds of 110Over 2.5 -143
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -175
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 -200
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:2
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0
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1
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3
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 Dugo Selo |
19-Apr-25
1:1
| Kustosija  |
| Kustosija |
18-Oct-24
1:0
| Dugo Selo |
| Dugo Selo |
18-May-24
0:1
| Kustosija |
Croatia - Second NL| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hrvace | 30 | 71-41 | 64 |
| 2 |
Karlovac 1919 | 30 | 50-20 | 62 |
| 3 |
Jadran LP | 30 | 62-38 | 55 |
| 4 |
Mladost | 30 | 55-32 | 55 |
| 5 |
Solin | 30 | 54-33 | 54 |
| 6 |
Bjelovar | 30 | 56-37 | 54 |
| 7 |
Križevci | 30 | 49-37 | 48 |
| 8 |
Kustosija | 30 | 51-40 | 48 |
| 9 |
Uljanik | 30 | 41-45 | 36 |
| 10 |
Trnje | 30 | 40-53 | 35 |
| 11 |
Segesta Sisak | 30 | 50-69 | 34 |
| 12 |
Hrvatski | 30 | 36-45 | 32 |
| 13 |
Marsonia | 30 | 40-75 | 31 |
| 14 |
Dugo Selo | 30 | 45-60 | 30 |
| 15 |
Grobničan | 30 | 33-59 | 28 |
| 16 |
Jadran Poreč | 30 | 25-74 | 12 |
