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Match Prediction

Eibar vs Almeria Prediction

Finished

Eibar

€16.85m

25 Jan11:15
1 : 0

Almeria

€45.75m

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Eibar vs Almeria Prediction Segunda División

Eibar vs Almeria Prediction: Stats, Tactics, and Top Value Bets

If you’re hunting for the best Eibar vs Almeria prediction ahead of their January 25, 2.26 meeting at Ipurua, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down the numbers, tactics, and trends that matter — and see what our AI thinks about the likely outcome. Grab your coffee, and let’s talk football the way true fans do.

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form

The Segunda División is always full of surprises, but the Eibar vs Almeria prediction comes with some solid background. Almeria currently sits 5th in LaLiga 2, showing why they’re considered one of the promotion favorites. Eibar, on the other hand, is in a trickier spot at 16th, but as any seasoned fan knows, the Ipurua is never an easy place for visitors.

  • Eibar’s recent form: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in their last five, averaging 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per match. Not exactly watertight at the back, but they can certainly find the net.
  • Almeria’s recent form: 3 wins and 2 losses, averaging a strong 2.2 goals scored and a stingy 0.2 conceded per game. That’s a defensive record any coach would envy.

Looking at the head to head, these two sides have met 13 times since 2004: Eibar has 6 wins, Almeria 5, and 2 draws. The last five meetings? Eibar leads 3.65, with one draw. But the last encounter, on November 1, 2.25, went Almeria’s way, 3.65. So, revenge could be on the menu for the home side.

Squad Details and Key Players

  • Eibar: Martón, Arbilla, Corpas, Álvaro R., and Bautista are the main goal threats. Aleix Garrido is the creative hub, while Corpas and Marco Moreno bring some bite to midfield (and the referee’s notebook).
  • Almeria: Sergio Arribas is the man to watch — top scorer, chief creator, and main shot-taker. Bonini and Nelson Monte marshal the defense, but there are a few injury worries, including Dion Lopy and Nico Melamed, who may not be fully fit.

Tactically, Almeria under Rubi likes to mix control with a bit of chaos, especially at set pieces. Their near-post corner routines are designed to cause panic in the box. Eibar, meanwhile, will look to keep things tight and strike on the break, especially with their crowd behind them.

Stats, Odds, and AI Predictions

Let’s talk numbers — because every Eibar vs Almeria prediction needs to be backed by stats and betting odds. The market currently prices a home win at 2.2, a draw at 3.65, and an Almeria win at 3.65. The squads’ values tell their own story: Eibar’s roster is worth €16.85m, while Almeria’s is nearly triple at €45.75m.

  • Projected ball possession: Eibar 52%, Almeria 48%
  • Expected shots: 10 each, but Eibar with 3 on target, Almeria with 4
  • Total corners: 5 (Eibar 3, Almeria 2)
  • Total goals prediction: Under 3.5 looks very likely, with a trust score of 5.2/10 and odds of 1.31
  • Final score prediction: 2-0 to Eibar, with a 1-0 lead at half-time

Our AI leans towards an Eibar victory for the 1x2 market (trust level 3.0, odds 2.2), but the real value sits with under 3.5 total goals (odds 1.31, trust score 5.2/10). The stats suggest a cagey affair, with both sides expected to keep things organized and not give much away — perfect for fans of tactical football, less so for those who want a goal fest.

Betting Tips and Final Thoughts

  1. Eibar vs Almeria prediction: Back the home win if you’re feeling adventurous, but keep stakes sensible — trust is only moderate.
  2. Under 3.5 goals: This is the safest pick, backed by both stats and AI. Expect a controlled, low-scoring game.
  3. Final score forecast: 2-0 to Eibar, with the hosts making the most of their home advantage.

In summary, while Almeria may boast the bigger squad and higher league position, Eibar’s grit at home and their recent head to head edge make this a fascinating match-up. For punters and fans alike, the best Eibar vs Almeria prediction is to expect a tight contest — and maybe, just maybe, a home celebration at Ipurua.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Eibar vs Almeria

U3.5 -323

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -323
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 120

Eibar is expected to win with odds of 120
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -323

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -105

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -189

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

1.55
xG
1.08
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.6
Expected Goals
1.22
2.1
Total Goals
2.9
1
Goals Scored
1.5
1.1
Goals Against
1.4
50%
Possession
53%
11.7
Total Shots
12.8
4
Shots on Goal
4.9
5
Shots off Goal
5.3
15.5
Fouls
13.8
4.5
Corners
3.6
2.5
Offsides
2.1
2.75
Yellow Cards
2.5
405
Total Passes
402

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
8
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
3
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
0
2
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Eibar
4 - 1 - 2
Almeria
Almeria Almeria 01-Nov-25
3:1
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 07-Mar-25
1:0
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 22-Sep-24
2:2
Eibar Eibar
Almeria Almeria 24-Jan-22
0:2
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 15-Oct-21
1:0
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 26-Apr-15
2:0
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 08-Dec-14
5:2
Almeria Almeria

Profile time Recent Matches of Eibar

15 Mar Eibar Eibar - Burgos CF Burgos CF -
08 MarW Leganes Leganes 0 Eibar Eibar 1
01 MarW Eibar Eibar 3 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 1
21 FebL Deportivo Deportivo 1 Eibar Eibar 0
15 FebW Eibar Eibar 2 Racing S Racing S 1
07 FebD Zaragoza Zaragoza 1 Eibar Eibar 1
01 FebW Eibar Eibar 1 Gijon Gijon 0
25 JanW Eibar Eibar 1 Almeria Almeria 0
19 JanD Granada CF Granada CF 0 Eibar Eibar 0
10 JanL Burgos CF Burgos CF 1 Eibar Eibar 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Almeria

14 MarZaragoza Zaragoza - Almeria Almeria -
09 MarWAlmeria Almeria 3 Cultural Cultural 0
27 FebDAlbacete Albacete 1 Almeria Almeria 1
21 FebWAlmeria Almeria 2 Cordoba Cordoba 1
13 FebWAlmeria Almeria 3 Andorra Andorra 2
08 FebWCadiz CF Cadiz CF 1 Almeria Almeria 2
01 FebWAlmeria Almeria 4 Ceuta Ceuta 2
25 JanLEibar Eibar 1 Almeria Almeria 0
17 JanLAlmeria Almeria 1 Deportivo Deportivo 2
10 JanDMirandes Mirandes 2 Almeria Almeria 2

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing29
60-39
56
2 Almeria Almeria29
56-40
52
3 Castellón Castellón29
48-33
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La29
44-33
49
5 Las Palmas Las Palmas29
38-22
48
6 Malaga Malaga29
44-34
48
7 Burgos Burgos29
32-26
46
8 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC29
36-43
44
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon29
38-37
42
10 Eibar Eibar29
32-30
41
11 Cordoba Cordoba29
41-41
41
12 FC Andorra FC Andorra29
36-40
38
13 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad29
42-41
37
14 Albacete Albacete29
33-39
36
15 Granada CF Granada CF29
34-33
35
16 Cadiz Cadiz29
29-36
35
17 Leganes Leganes29
29-29
34
18 Valladolid Valladolid29
32-41
33
19 Huesca Huesca29
26-37
31
20 Zaragoza Zaragoza29
24-41
27
21 Cultural Leonesa Cultural29
27-47
27
22 Mirandes Mirandes29
28-47
24
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