icon back

Match Prediction

Eibar vs Almeria Prediction

Finished

Eibar

€16.85m

25 Jan10:15
1 : 0

Almeria

€45.75m

Preview

Eibar vs Almeria Prediction Segunda División

Eibar vs Almeria Prediction: Stats, Tactics, and Top Value Bets

If you’re hunting for the best Eibar vs Almeria prediction ahead of their January 25, 2.26 meeting at Ipurua, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down the numbers, tactics, and trends that matter — and see what our AI thinks about the likely outcome. Grab your coffee, and let’s talk football the way true fans do.

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form

The Segunda División is always full of surprises, but the Eibar vs Almeria prediction comes with some solid background. Almeria currently sits 5th in LaLiga 2, showing why they’re considered one of the promotion favorites. Eibar, on the other hand, is in a trickier spot at 16th, but as any seasoned fan knows, the Ipurua is never an easy place for visitors.

  • Eibar’s recent form: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in their last five, averaging 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per match. Not exactly watertight at the back, but they can certainly find the net.
  • Almeria’s recent form: 3 wins and 2 losses, averaging a strong 2.2 goals scored and a stingy 0.2 conceded per game. That’s a defensive record any coach would envy.

Looking at the head to head, these two sides have met 13 times since 2004: Eibar has 6 wins, Almeria 5, and 2 draws. The last five meetings? Eibar leads 3.65, with one draw. But the last encounter, on November 1, 2.25, went Almeria’s way, 3.65. So, revenge could be on the menu for the home side.

Squad Details and Key Players

  • Eibar: Martón, Arbilla, Corpas, Álvaro R., and Bautista are the main goal threats. Aleix Garrido is the creative hub, while Corpas and Marco Moreno bring some bite to midfield (and the referee’s notebook).
  • Almeria: Sergio Arribas is the man to watch — top scorer, chief creator, and main shot-taker. Bonini and Nelson Monte marshal the defense, but there are a few injury worries, including Dion Lopy and Nico Melamed, who may not be fully fit.

Tactically, Almeria under Rubi likes to mix control with a bit of chaos, especially at set pieces. Their near-post corner routines are designed to cause panic in the box. Eibar, meanwhile, will look to keep things tight and strike on the break, especially with their crowd behind them.

Stats, Odds, and AI Predictions

Let’s talk numbers — because every Eibar vs Almeria prediction needs to be backed by stats and betting odds. The market currently prices a home win at 2.2, a draw at 3.65, and an Almeria win at 3.65. The squads’ values tell their own story: Eibar’s roster is worth €16.85m, while Almeria’s is nearly triple at €45.75m.

  • Projected ball possession: Eibar 52%, Almeria 48%
  • Expected shots: 10 each, but Eibar with 3 on target, Almeria with 4
  • Total corners: 5 (Eibar 3, Almeria 2)
  • Total goals prediction: Under 3.5 looks very likely, with a trust score of 5.2/10 and odds of 1.31
  • Final score prediction: 2-0 to Eibar, with a 1-0 lead at half-time

Our AI leans towards an Eibar victory for the 1x2 market (trust level 3.0, odds 2.2), but the real value sits with under 3.5 total goals (odds 1.31, trust score 5.2/10). The stats suggest a cagey affair, with both sides expected to keep things organized and not give much away — perfect for fans of tactical football, less so for those who want a goal fest.

Betting Tips and Final Thoughts

  1. Eibar vs Almeria prediction: Back the home win if you’re feeling adventurous, but keep stakes sensible — trust is only moderate.
  2. Under 3.5 goals: This is the safest pick, backed by both stats and AI. Expect a controlled, low-scoring game.
  3. Final score forecast: 2-0 to Eibar, with the hosts making the most of their home advantage.

In summary, while Almeria may boast the bigger squad and higher league position, Eibar’s grit at home and their recent head to head edge make this a fascinating match-up. For punters and fans alike, the best Eibar vs Almeria prediction is to expect a tight contest — and maybe, just maybe, a home celebration at Ipurua.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Eibar vs Almeria

U3.5 -323

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -323
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 120

Eibar is expected to win with odds of 120
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -323

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -105

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -189

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

1.55
xG
1.08
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.6
Expected Goals
1.22
2.1
Total Goals
2.9
1
Goals Scored
1.5
1.1
Goals Against
1.4
50%
Possession
53%
11.7
Total Shots
12.8
4
Shots on Goal
4.9
5
Shots off Goal
5.3
15.5
Fouls
13.8
4.5
Corners
3.6
2.5
Offsides
2.1
2.75
Yellow Cards
2.5
405
Total Passes
402

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
8
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
3
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
0
2
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Eibar
4 - 1 - 2
Almeria
Almeria Almeria 01-Nov-25
3:1
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 07-Mar-25
1:0
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 22-Sep-24
2:2
Eibar Eibar
Almeria Almeria 24-Jan-22
0:2
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 15-Oct-21
1:0
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 26-Apr-15
2:0
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 08-Dec-14
5:2
Almeria Almeria

Profile time Recent Matches of Eibar

01 Feb Eibar Eibar.
-
Gijon. Gijon
25 JanW Eibar Eibar.
1:0
Almeria. Almeria
19 JanD Granada CF Granada CF.
0:0
Eibar. Eibar
10 JanL Burgos CF Burgos CF.
1:0
Eibar. Eibar
02 JanW Eibar Eibar.
2:1
Mirandes. Mirandes
19 DecW Eibar Eibar.
3:0
Valladolid. Valladolid
16 DecL Eibar Eibar.
0:1
Elche. Elche
13 DecD Cordoba Cordoba.
0:0
Eibar. Eibar
07 DecL Eibar Eibar.
1:2
Cultural . Cultural
03 DecW Pontevedra Pontevedra.
0:3
Eibar. Eibar

Profile time Recent Matches of Almeria

25 JanLEibar Eibar.
1:0
Almeria.Almeria
17 JanLAlmeria Almeria.
1:2
Deportivo.Deportivo
10 JanDMirandes Mirandes.
2:2
Almeria.Almeria
03 JanWAlmeria Almeria.
3:2
Granada CF.Granada CF
21 DecLMalaga Malaga.
2:1
Almeria.Almeria
14 DecLAlmeria Almeria.
1:2
Burgos CF.Burgos CF
06 DecWAndorra Andorra.
1:2
Almeria.Almeria
03 DecLEldense Eldense.
2:1
Almeria.Almeria
29 NovDAlmeria Almeria.
0:0
Huesca.Huesca
22 NovWLeganes Leganes.
0:3
Almeria.Almeria

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing23
50-32
44
2 Castellón Castellón23
36-25
39
3 Malaga Malaga23
35-26
38
4 Las Palmas Las Palmas23
28-19
38
5 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La23
37-26
37
6 Almeria Almeria23
41-33
36
7 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon23
33-31
36
8 Cordoba Cordoba23
29-26
35
9 Burgos Burgos23
26-23
35
10 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC23
28-30
35
11 Cadiz Cadiz23
26-26
34
12 Albacete Albacete23
28-34
30
13 Leganes Leganes23
25-23
29
14 FC Andorra FC Andorra23
26-31
29
15 Valladolid Valladolid23
24-24
28
16 Eibar Eibar23
24-26
28
17 Granada CF Granada CF23
25-28
26
18 Cultural Leonesa Cultural23
25-37
25
19 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad23
29-33
24
20 Huesca Huesca23
21-32
24
21 Zaragoza Zaragoza23
21-35
22
22 Mirandes Mirandes23
23-40
17
Video preview
You might also like:
Augsburg vs St. Pauli Brighton vs Everton Manchester United vs Fulham
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches