Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Spain
Eibar
€19.50m
Malaga
€11.90m
Preview
On April 21, 2025, the Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa will host a Segunda División encounter that might not decide titles but will certainly test pride and momentum. Eibar vs Malaga is a fixture that blends tactical nuance with the raw urgency of a league where every point matters. For Eibar, mid-table comfort offers breathing room, but for Malaga, hovering just five points above the drop, this is a battle for survival.
Eibar sits 12th with 47 points, a position that speaks to steady, if unspectacular, form. Malaga, meanwhile, languishes in 17th with 42 points—a precarious spot in a league where the relegation scrap is unforgiving. The numbers suggest Eibar’s higher squad value (€19.50m vs. Malaga’s €11.90m) and home advantage could tilt the scales, but Malaga’s recent 2-2 draw against Almeria—a match where they defied 6.5 odds—proves they’re capable of chaos.
The last Eibar vs Malaga meeting ended in a 2-1 win for the hosts, who entered as 1.63 favorites. This time, the odds (1.80 for Eibar) reflect a similar expectation, albeit with less conviction. NerdyTips' AI rates Eibar’s victory at 6.6/10 confidence, hinting at a narrow triumph. Malaga’s inconsistency, however, looms large: they’ve shown flashes of resilience but lack the defensive solidity to reliably grind out results.
Segunda División trends paint a clear picture: home wins (43.9%) outweigh away wins (25.1%), and only 38.9% of matches exceed 2.5 goals. Eibar’s projected 54% possession and 13 shots (4 on target) align with their control-oriented approach, while Malaga’s 10 shots (2 on target) suggest a reliance on counters. The expected 1-0 scoreline, mirrored in the under 2.5 goals market (1.52 odds, 5.8/10 confidence), feels plausible given both teams’ cautious tendencies.
Discipline, too, could play a role. With both teams projected for 2 yellow cards, this might be a tense but cleanly contested match. Eibar’s 4 corners to Malaga’s 4 further underscore the balanced yet low-event nature of the fixture.
Malaga’s 46% average possession and knack for set-piece threats—evident in their 4 corners per game—mean they’re not just here to defend. Their desperation for points could fuel a gritty performance, much like their Almeria comeback. But Eibar’s midfield control and home comfort (they’ve lost just 3 of their last 10 at Ipurúa) make them slight favorites.
The Eibar vs Malaga prediction leans toward the hosts, but only just. A 1-0 scoreline, backed by the under 2.5 goals market, feels like the smart play. Malaga’s fight will be palpable, but Eibar’s superior resources and home edge should see them through. In a league where margins are razor-thin, expect this one to follow the script—barely.
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1 -125
Eibar is expected to win with odds of -1251 -125
Eibar is expected to win with odds of -125Under 2.5 -192
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -167
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -189
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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6
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4
-
4
|
|
 Eibar |
21-Apr-25
2:2
| Malaga  |
| Malaga |
27-Oct-24
1:0
| Eibar |
| Eibar |
15-Jan-23
2:1
| Malaga |
| Malaga |
30-Oct-22
0:1
| Eibar |
| Malaga |
23-Apr-22
1:3
| Eibar |
| Eibar |
11-Dec-21
2:2
| Malaga |
| Eibar |
22-Jan-18
1:1
| Malaga |
| Malaga |
21-Aug-17
0:1
| Eibar |
| Eibar |
25-Feb-17
3:0
| Malaga |
| Malaga |
20-Sep-16
2:1
| Eibar |
Recent Matches of Eibar| 13 Dec | D |
Cordoba.
|
0:0
| Eibar.
|
Recent Matches Of Malaga| 14 Dec | W |  Albacete. |
1:3 |
Malaga. |
Spain - Segunda División| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Levante |
42 | 69-42 | 79 |
| 2 |
 Elche |
42 | 59-34 | 77 |
| 3 |
 Mirandes |
42 | 59-40 | 75 |
| 4 |
 Oviedo |
42 | 56-42 | 75 |
| 5 |
 Racing Santand |
42 | 65-51 | 71 |
| 6 |
 Almeria |
42 | 72-55 | 69 |
| 7 |
 Granada CF |
42 | 65-54 | 65 |
| 8 |
 Huesca |
42 | 58-49 | 64 |
| 9 |
Eibar |
42 | 44-41 | 58 |
| 10 |
 Albacete |
42 | 57-57 | 58 |
| 11 |
 Sporting Gijon |
42 | 57-54 | 56 |
| 12 |
 Burgos |
42 | 41-48 | 55 |
| 13 |
 Cadiz |
42 | 55-53 | 55 |
| 14 |
Cordoba |
42 | 59-63 | 55 |
| 15 |
 Castellón |
42 | 65-63 | 53 |
| 16 |
 Deportivo La C |
42 | 56-54 | 53 |
| 17 |
 Malaga |
42 | 42-46 | 53 |
| 18 |
 Zaragoza |
42 | 56-63 | 51 |
| 19 |
 Eldense |
42 | 44-63 | 45 |
| 20 |
 Tenerife |
42 | 35-55 | 36 |
| 21 |
 Racing Ferrol |
42 | 22-64 | 30 |
| 22 |
 FC Cartagena |
42 | 33-78 | 23 |
