icon back

Match Prediction

Empoli vs Palermo Prediction

Finished
Italy flag Italy

Empoli

€33.60m

7 Dec12:15
1 : 3

Palermo

€38.35m

Preview

Empoli vs Palermo Prediction Serie B

Empoli vs Palermo Prediction: Odds, Tips, and Betting Insights

Welcome to our Empoli vs Palermo prediction for the Serie B match scheduled on December 7, 2025, at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. If you’re looking for sports betting tips, betting odds analysis, and a deep dive into team tactics and recent form, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down everything you need to know before placing your bets on this intriguing head to head.

Team Form, Tactics, and Key News

Empoli and Palermo are both sitting comfortably in the top half of the Serie B table, with Empoli currently in 7th and Palermo just a notch above in 6th. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance and moments of vulnerability, making this encounter a fascinating one for sports betting fans.

  • Empoli have been in impressive form, winning their last three matches and keeping clean sheets in all of them. They have scored in every home game this season and have drawn the most home games in Serie B, while also losing the fewest at home. Their defense has been rock solid, not conceding two or more goals in their last five outings.
  • Palermo have had a more mixed run, with big home wins (5-0 against Carrarese and Pescara) but also a 1-0 away loss to Juve Stabia and a 0-3 defeat at home to Monza. They’ve drawn 1-1 away to Virtus Entella and have conceded in their last five away games. Notably, they have the fewest away goals conceded in Serie B and are specialists in “both teams to not score” matches.

On the tactical front, Empoli are managed by Alessio Dionisi, who has brought in several staff members with Palermo connections—a quirky subplot that adds extra spice to this fixture. Palermo, under Filippo Inzaghi, have shown resilience but sometimes struggle to find consistency on the road.

  • Empoli’s squad is missing a few key players due to injuries and international duty, including Ismael Konate and Thomas Campaniello (international duty), Salvatore Elia and Shpendi (knee injuries), and P. Pellegri (cruciate ligament).
  • Palermo could be without Leo Stulac (muscle), Salvatore Elia (ACL), and possibly Emmanuel Quartsin Gyasi, though Claudio Gomes may return after a shoulder problem.

With Empoli’s staff having deep Palermo roots and both teams eager to prove themselves, expect a tactical battle with plenty of subplots. The home side’s value stands at €33.60m, while Palermo’s squad is valued at €38.35m—another sign of how evenly matched these teams are.

Empoli vs Palermo Prediction: Odds, AI Tips, and Betting Value

Now, let’s get into the numbers and our Empoli vs Palermo prediction. The current betting odds show Empoli as slight underdogs at 3.15 for a home win, a draw at 3.3, and Palermo as the away favorite at 2.4. These odds reflect Palermo’s slightly better league position and recent away form, but Empoli’s home record cannot be ignored.

  1. Our AI system’s best tip for this match is under 3.5 goals, with a confidence of 5.1/10 and odds of 1.31. Both teams have strong defensive records and tend to play tight games, especially Empoli at home and Palermo away.
  2. 1x2 prediction: Our AI gives a slight edge to Empoli with a trust level of 2.9 and odds of 3.15. The expected final score is 2:1 in favor of the home team, with a projected halftime score of 1:0.
  3. Match stats forecast: Possession is expected to be close (Empoli 46%, Palermo 54%), with Empoli taking 10 shots (3 on target) and Palermo 13 shots (also 3 on target). Seven corners are anticipated, split 3-4, and two yellow cards each.

Given Empoli’s recent defensive solidity and Palermo’s tendency for low-scoring away games, the under 3.5 goals market looks like a smart pick. If you’re feeling bold, the home win at 3.15 offers value, especially considering Empoli’s strong home form and Palermo’s occasional away stumbles.

Empoli vs Palermo Prediction: Final Thoughts

To sum up, our Empoli vs Palermo prediction leans towards a tight, tactical contest with Empoli possibly edging it 2:1. The best betting tip is under 3.5 goals, but don’t overlook the value in a home win at attractive odds. With both teams fighting for promotion spots and plenty of tactical intrigue, this is one Serie B fixture you won’t want to miss.

  • Best Bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
  • Value Bet: Empoli to win at 3.15
  • Expected Score: Empoli 2-1 Palermo

Stay tuned to NerdyTips for more head to head analysis, sports betting insights, and the latest betting odds for Serie B and beyond!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Empoli vs Palermo

U3.5 -323

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -323
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 215

Empoli is expected to win with odds of 215
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -323

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -120

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -120

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.13
xG
1.34
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.22
Expected Goals
1.53
2.6
Total Goals
2.4
1.7
Goals Scored
1.5
0.9
Goals Against
0.9
46%
Possession
50%
10.9
Total Shots
12.8
4
Shots on Goal
3.7
4.3
Shots off Goal
5.7
15.1
Fouls
15.2
3.8
Corners
4.7
0.6
Offsides
1
2.6
Yellow Cards
2.7
0.33
Red Cards
0.4
352
Total Passes
371

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Empoli
4 - 3 - 1
Palermo
Empoli Empoli 02-Feb-18
4:0
Palermo Palermo
Palermo Palermo 09-Sep-17
3:3
Empoli Empoli
Palermo Palermo 28-May-17
2:1
Empoli Empoli
Empoli Empoli 07-Jan-17
1:0
Palermo Palermo
Empoli Empoli 19-Mar-16
0:0
Palermo Palermo
Palermo Palermo 02-Nov-15
0:1
Empoli Empoli
Palermo Palermo 01-Mar-15
0:0
Empoli Empoli
Empoli Empoli 05-Oct-14
3:0
Palermo Palermo

Profile time Recent Matches of Empoli

08 MarL Catanzaro Catanzaro 3 Empoli Empoli 2
04 MarL Bari Bari 2 Empoli Empoli 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Palermo

08 MarWCarrarese Carrarese 0 Palermo Palermo 1
04 MarWPalermo Palermo 2 Mantova Mantova 1

Italy - Serie B Italy - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Venezia Venezia29
60-25
63
2 Monza Monza29
46-25
60
3 Frosinone Frosinone29
55-28
58
4 Palermo Palermo29
49-22
57
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro29
45-34
49
6 Modena Modena29
37-24
44
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia29
32-34
40
8 Cesena Cesena29
36-41
39
9 Sudtirol Sudtirol29
31-29
37
10 Padova Padova29
30-36
34
11 Avellino Avellino29
31-46
33
12 Carrarese Carrarese29
35-41
32
13 Empoli Empoli29
36-42
31
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella29
27-40
31
15 Sampdoria Sampdoria29
29-40
30
16 Mantova Mantova29
30-44
30
17 Spezia Spezia29
29-39
29
18 Reggiana Reggiana29
29-42
29
19 Bari Bari29
25-44
28
20 Pescara Pescara29
38-54
25
Video preview
You might also like:
Torino vs Parma Marseille vs Auxerre Alaves vs Villarreal
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches