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Match Prediction

Empoli vs Sudtirol Prediction

Finished
Italy flag Italy

Empoli

€36.70m

17 Jan10:00
0 : 1

Sudtirol

€16.10m

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Empoli vs Sudtirol Prediction Serie B

Empoli vs Sudtirol Prediction: Stats, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Welcome to our Empoli vs Sudtirol prediction for the Serie B match on January 17, 2026, at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. If you’re looking for a clear, data-driven look at sports betting tips, betting odds, and head to head stats for this fixture, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down everything you need to know before placing your bets!

Empoli vs Sudtirol: Team Form, Tactics & Head to Head

Empoli and Sudtirol meet in Tuscany, both eager to climb the Serie B table. Recent form tells an interesting story:

  • Empoli are sitting 9th, showing a mixed bag with two losses, two wins, and a draw in their last five. Not the most consistent, but they’ve shown grit—just ask Como, who were held to a 1-1 draw by Empoli despite the odds being stacked against the Azzurri.
  • Sudtirol are in 14th place, struggling to convert draws into wins. Their last five reads: three draws, one loss, and a single win. Still, they surprised many by holding Monza to a 1-1 draw away, defying win odds of 6.5.

When it comes to head to head meetings, Empoli have the psychological edge: two wins from two previous encounters this season. That’s a stat Sudtirol will be desperate to change, but history is not on their side.

In terms of team news, Empoli look relatively healthy, with no confirmed injuries or suspensions—quite a luxury at this stage of the season. Sudtirol, on the other hand, have battled a string of injuries over the past year. While players like Poluzzi, Tait, and El Kaouakibi have been on the mend, their status for this match remains a mystery.

  • Empoli’s squad is valued at €36.70m, more than double Sudtirol’s €16.10m. That financial muscle could make a difference in tight games like this.

Tactically, expect Empoli to control the ball (projected 53% possession) and create more chances (12 shots, 4 on target). Sudtirol will try to keep things tight and hit on the counter, but with only 10 shots (2 on target) predicted, they’ll need to be clinical.

Empoli vs Sudtirol Prediction: AI Betting Tips & Odds

Let’s dig into our Empoli vs Sudtirol prediction for sports betting fans. The current betting odds are:

  • Home win (Empoli): 2.45
  • Draw: 3.3
  • Away win (Sudtirol): 3.3

Our AI sees the 1X (Empoli win or draw) market as the standout pick, with a high confidence of 8.3/10 and odds of 1.36. If you’re looking for a safer bet, this is the one to circle on your slip. For those who like a bit more risk, a straight Empoli win is the most likely 1x2 outcome, with a solid 6.6 confidence and odds of 2.3.3.

Goals are expected to be at a premium. The AI strongly favors under 3.3 goals (trust level 8.0, odds 1.25). The predicted final score? 1-0 to Empoli, with a goalless first half. If you’re into correct score betting, this could be your moment.

  • Predicted corners: 3 for Empoli, 4 for Sudtirol (total 7)
  • Yellow cards: 2 each side—so keep an eye on those feisty midfielders!

To sum up our Empoli vs Sudtirol prediction:

  1. Best Bet: 1X (Empoli win or draw) at 1.36 odds
  2. Value Bet: Empoli to win at 2.3.3 odds
  3. Goals Market: Under 3.3 goals at 1.25 odds
  4. Correct Score: 1-0 Empoli

Final Thoughts: Sports Betting Value & Match Context

Empoli’s stronger squad, home advantage, and positive head to head record make them favorites in our Empoli vs Sudtirol prediction. Sudtirol’s resilience on the road shouldn’t be ignored, but the smart money is on Empoli to avoid defeat. As always, bet responsibly, enjoy the game, and may your slip be ever in your favor!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Empoli has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Empoli vs Sudtirol

1X -278

Empoli to win or draw with odds of -278
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 145

Empoli is expected to win with odds of 145
6/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

No -114

At least one team is not expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -189

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.23
xG
0.72
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.15
Expected Goals
0.7
2.2
Total Goals
1.6
1.4
Goals Scored
0.6
0.8
Goals Against
1
44%
Possession
40%
10.8
Total Shots
10.5
3.6
Shots on Goal
3
4.6
Shots off Goal
4.7
14.3
Fouls
17
3.7
Corners
4.2
1.3
Offsides
2
2.44
Yellow Cards
2.38
353
Total Passes
309

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
1
6
Over 1.5 Goals
6
3
Over 2.5 Goals
2
2
Over 3.5 Goals
0
3
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Empoli
1 - 0 - 0
Sudtirol
Sudtirol Sudtirol 05-Oct-25
1:2
Empoli Empoli

Profile time Recent Matches of Empoli

17 Mar Spezia Spezia - Empoli Empoli -
14 MarD Empoli Empoli 2 Mantova Mantova 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Sudtirol

18 MarAvellino Avellino - Sudtirol Sudtirol -
15 MarDSudtirol Sudtirol 0 Pescara Pescara 0

Italy - Serie B Italy - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Venezia Venezia30
60-25
64
2 Monza Monza30
49-25
63
3 Frosinone Frosinone30
57-30
59
4 Palermo Palermo30
49-25
57
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro30
48-35
52
6 Modena Modena30
40-24
47
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia30
33-35
41
8 Cesena Cesena30
38-43
40
9 Sudtirol Sudtirol29
31-29
37
10 Avellino Avellino30
33-47
36
11 Padova Padova30
31-39
34
12 Carrarese Carrarese30
36-42
33
13 Empoli Empoli30
38-44
32
14 Sampdoria Sampdoria30
29-40
31
15 Mantova Mantova30
32-46
31
16 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella30
28-42
31
17 Bari Bari30
29-45
31
18 Spezia Spezia30
29-42
29
19 Reggiana Reggiana30
30-46
29
20 Pescara Pescara29
38-54
25
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