Entella vs Frosinone Prediction

Entella vs Frosinone prediction: points, pressure, and a plan

The Entella vs Frosinone prediction starts with context: Saturday, January 31, 2026, at the Stadio Comunale di Chiavari, kick-off 14:00 GMT (15:00 local). On paper it reads like a “small budget vs big ambition” afternoon, with Entella trying to keep daylight from the bottom while Frosinone arrive as Serie B’s winter pace-setters.

Setting the scene in Chiavari

Frosinone sit top of the table with 45 points from 21 matches and come in fresh from a gritty 1–0 win over Reggiana. Away from home they have travelled like a promotion side, already posting seven away wins. Entella, meanwhile, hover in the lower half with 20 points and have found momentum hard to hold, including a recent 0–1 loss to Juve Stabia. Still, their home form has been stubborn: only one defeat in their last 10 home league matches, even if draws have padded that record.

Tactics and team news: what kind of game is this?

Massimiliano Alvini’s Frosinone are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 built on flexibility and a calm belief in their structure. He even brushed off the synthetic surface in Chiavari as a factor, insisting the principles stay the same. That usually means a patient build-up, an extra man between the lines, and pressure after losing the ball.

Andrea Chiappella’s Entella are likely to respond with a compact 3-4-2-1, keeping the centre protected and asking their wing-backs to turn defence into quick counters. The set-piece angle matters too: defender Andrea Tiritiello has been their top scorer and is a real nuisance on dead balls, while Nermin Karic gives them legs and bite in midfield.

Absences that may shape the flow

• Frosinone suspensions: Benjamin Lhassine Kone and Gabriele Bracaglia.
• Frosinone injuries: Damar Dixon, Victor Hegelund, and S. Kalaj out; Jacopo Gelli a major doubt (soleus); Lorenzo Gori nearing a return (knee).
• Entella concern: Antonio Boccadamo (muscle) is the main worry.

Head to head notes and a couple of reminders

The reverse fixture back in October was one-way traffic: Frosinone won 4–0. Overall head to head trends also lean their way, with six wins to Entella’s three across the last 11 meetings. Yet both clubs have shown they can spring surprises away from home: Entella’s 1–1 at Cagliari in August 2025 landed at huge prices, and Frosinone’s 2–2 at Napoli in April 2024 was a reminder they do not scare easily.

NerdyTips numbers: betting odds and AI picks

The 1X2 betting odds reflect Frosinone’s status but still leave room for doubt: Home 3.25, Draw 3.35, Away 2.47. Our model leans to the visitors, and the story it tells is simple: Frosinone should create more, control slightly more of the ball, and force Entella to defend for long spells.

Most trusted bet: away team to score

• Top tip: AS (away team will score)
• Trust level: 10.0/10
• Odds: 1.25

This fits the projected shot profile: Entella 10 shots (2 on target) vs Frosinone 15 shots (5 on target). Even if Entella keep their shape, volume tends to win over 90 minutes.

1X2 and total goals angles

• 1X2 prediction: Away win (2) — Trust 8.5, Odds 2.47
• Total goals: Under 3.5 — Trust 6.5, Odds 1.34

Under 3.5 makes sense in Serie B terms and in tactical terms: Entella’s back three is designed to reduce chaos, while Frosinone’s best road wins have often been professional rather than wild. The projections back that up too: 48%–52% possession, eight corners total (Entella 5, Frosinone 3), and four yellow cards split evenly (2–2), suggesting a controlled contest rather than end-to-end madness.

Projected scoreline

• Half-time: 0–1
• Full-time: 0–2

That is also where the Entella vs Frosinone prediction lands for NerdyTips readers: Frosinone to score looks the safest entry point, the away win is the value-minded play at 2.47, and under 3.5 total goals keeps you on the right side of a match that should be decided by efficiency, not fireworks.