Preview
The Entella vs Modena prediction story writes itself: a midweek Serie B Matchday 28 meeting that smells like small margins. Mark your calendars for Tuesday, March 3, 2026, with kick-off set for 19:00 GMT (20:00 local time), as Entella welcome Modena for a game where patience may matter more than fireworks.
Entella’s recent identity has been built on being awkward to break down, especially at home. They rarely look in a hurry; they prefer controlled phases, trying to keep their shape and pull opponents into wide areas before looking for a simple final ball. That approach can frustrate bigger squads, and it brings to mind that surprise 1:1 away draw at Cagliari on 2025-08-16, when the pre-match betting odds (around 6.95 for an Entella win) suggested they were supposed to be passengers.
Modena, by contrast, arrive with the profile of a side that can handle pressure and manage game-state well. They tend to be comfortable without the ball for spells, then step up to win second balls and turn the match into a sequence of set pieces and half-chances. Their own “we don’t scare easily” moment came on 2024-08-10: a 0:0 away at Napoli, priced at huge odds (14.25), a reminder that this team can keep a clean sheet when the plan is executed.
The tactical tug-of-war looks clear: Entella trying to keep the game tidy, Modena trying to turn it pragmatic. In head to head terms, these are the kinds of Serie B games where the first goal changes everything, and both coaches know it.
There’s also a financial reality in the background. Entella’s squad value is listed at €11.10m, while Modena’s is €28.33m. That gap does not guarantee an away win, but it often shows in depth, late substitutions, and the ability to stay calm when the game becomes messy.
Now to the numbers that matter for sports betting. The 1x2 betting odds price Entella at 3.75, the draw at 3.3, and Modena at 2.15—an away lean, but not a runaway favorite. Our Entella vs Modena prediction from the model mirrors that: the 1x2 pick is 2 (away win) with confidence 3.75 and odds 2.15, pointing toward a narrow Modena success rather than domination.
The strongest angle, though, sits in the goals market. Our best tip is under 3.5 goals (odds 1.26) with a trust score of 5.8/10, and the under/over call repeats the same: under 3.5 with trust level 5.9. That lines up neatly with the projected match stats: possession 48% vs 52%, shots 11 vs 13, and only 3 vs 4 on target. Those are not “four-goal thriller” numbers.
Put together, the model expects Modena to edge territory and chances without turning it into a shootout. If you’re comparing markets, the under 3.5 goals fits the tactical story, the head to head style of Serie B, and the projected low on-target volume better than chasing a high-risk correct score. Still, the 0:1 lean keeps the away win firmly on the table for anyone who prefers the 1x2.
Read More
Read Less
Want to see how AI predicts football matches? → Check the latest results !
|
1
-
0
-
2
|
|
Modena |
05-Oct-25
2:0
| Entella ![]() |
Entella |
30-Jan-22
0:2
| Modena ![]() |
Modena |
25-Sep-21
1:2
| Entella ![]() |
| 27 Feb | L |
Monza
| 2 |
Entella
| 0 |
| 21 Feb | L |
Entella
| 1 |
Catanzaro
| 3 |
| 14 Feb | L |
Palermo
| 3 |
Entella
| 0 |
| 10 Feb | W |
Entella
| 3 |
Cesena
| 1 |
| 07 Feb | D |
Spezia
| 1 |
Entella
| 1 |
| 31 Jan | D |
Entella
| 1 |
Frosinone
| 1 |
| 24 Jan | L |
Juve Stabia
| 1 |
Entella
| 0 |
| 16 Jan | D |
Sampdoria
| 1 |
Entella
| 1 |
| 10 Jan | W |
Entella
| 1 |
Monza
| 0 |
| 27 Dec | L |
Venezia
| 1 |
Entella
| 0 |
| 28 Feb | L | Modena |
1 | Padova |
2 |
| 22 Feb | W | Juve Stabia |
1 | Modena |
2 |
| 14 Feb | W | Modena |
2 | Carrarese |
0 |
| 10 Feb | W | Venezia |
0 | Modena |
2 |
| 07 Feb | L | Modena |
1 | Sampdoria |
2 |
| 31 Jan | D | Empoli |
0 | Modena |
0 |
| 24 Jan | D | Modena |
0 | Palermo |
0 |
| 18 Jan | W | Pescara |
0 | Modena |
2 |
| 11 Jan | L | Padova |
2 | Modena |
0 |
| 26 Dec | L | Modena |
1 | Monza |
2 |
Italy - Serie B| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Venezia | 27 | 54-25 | 57 |
| 2 |
Monza | 27 | 41-20 | 57 |
| 3 |
Frosinone | 27 | 50-26 | 54 |
| 4 |
Palermo | 27 | 46-21 | 51 |
| 5 |
Catanzaro | 27 | 39-29 | 45 |
| 6 |
Modena | 27 | 36-22 | 43 |
| 7 |
Juve Stabia | 27 | 31-31 | 39 |
| 8 |
Cesena | 27 | 35-38 | 38 |
| 9 |
Sudtirol | 27 | 27-28 | 34 |
| 10 |
Padova | 27 | 28-33 | 33 |
| 11 |
Empoli | 27 | 33-37 | 31 |
| 12 |
Carrarese | 26 | 31-36 | 30 |
| 13 |
Avellino | 27 | 30-42 | 30 |
| 14 |
Reggiana | 27 | 29-36 | 29 |
| 15 |
Sampdoria | 27 | 28-36 | 29 |
| 16 |
Mantova | 26 | 26-41 | 26 |
| 17 |
Spezia | 27 | 23-35 | 25 |
| 18 |
Virtus Entella | 27 | 24-39 | 25 |
| 19 |
Bari | 27 | 23-39 | 25 |
| 20 |
Pescara | 27 | 32-52 | 21 |