Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
The ES Sahel vs EGS Gafsa prediction for this Ligue 1 encounter leans heavily in favor of the hosts, and for good reason. On May 4, 2025, at the Stade Olympique de Sousse, ES Sahel will look to capitalize on their home advantage against an EGS Gafsa side that’s struggled to keep pace this season. With Sahel’s squad valued at €6.80m—more than double Gafsa’s €2.92m—the betting odds reflect the gulf in quality: a home win sits at a slim 1.22, while an away victory is a distant 12.47. But as any seasoned football fan knows, the game isn’t played on paper. Let’s dive into the numbers, trends, and a sprinkle of intuition to unpack this matchup.
The sports betting markets don’t lie—well, most of the time—and here, they’re shouting that Sahel should cruise to victory. The AI’s top recommendation is a home win (tip 1), with a trust score of 4.2/10 and odds of 1.22, aligning perfectly with the 1x2 market’s identical prediction (trust rating 4.3). Here’s why the algorithms are nodding in agreement:
If you’re eyeing the under/over market, the AI suggests under 3.5 goals (confidence 4.1, odds 1.28), and the stats back it up. Ligue 1 isn’t a goal-fest this season:
The predicted final score of 2:0 (with a 1:0 halftime lead) feels plausible. Sahel’s defense has been sturdy, and Gafsa’s attack hasn’t exactly set the league alight. But remember, football loves a plot twist—like Gafsa’s gritty 0:0 draw against AS Gabes in January 2025, where they defied betting odds of 5.0 for the win. Could they channel that resilience here?
While the ES Sahel vs EGS Gafsa prediction leans heavily toward the hosts, football’s charm lies in its chaos. Gafsa’s underdog status means they’ll park the bus and fight for every loose ball. A draw (priced at 4.9) isn’t unthinkable, but Sahel’s superior firepower should prevail. Just don’t expect a goal avalanche.
To sum it up:
So, while the sports betting world expects Sahel to deliver, keep one eye on Gafsa’s knack for defiance. After all, in football—and betting odds—the only certainty is uncertainty. Happy punting!
Read More
ES Sahel has an unusually high recent form. Be cautious!
1 -455
ES Sahel is expected to win with odds of -4551 -455
ES Sahel is expected to win with odds of -455Under 3.5 -357
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -278
At least one team is not expected to score1&U4.5 -233
Home win and under 4.5 goals
2:0
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|
8
-
6
-
0
|
|
 ES Sahel |
04-May-25
1:1
| EGS Gafsa  |
| EGS Gafsa |
29-Dec-24
1:1
| ES Sahel |
| ES Sahel |
11-Nov-23
2:1
| EGS Gafsa |
| EGS Gafsa |
03-Sep-23
0:3
| ES Sahel |
| ES Sahel |
09-Jun-16
2:1
| EGS Gafsa |
| EGS Gafsa |
03-Jan-16
1:1
| ES Sahel |
| ES Sahel |
04-Mar-15
0:0
| EGS Gafsa |
| EGS Gafsa |
25-Sep-14
0:3
| ES Sahel |
| ES Sahel |
11-May-14
2:1
| EGS Gafsa |
| EGS Gafsa |
26-Jan-14
0:0
| ES Sahel |
Recent Matches of ES Sahel| 28 Jan |
Etoile Sahel.
|
-
| Ben Guerdane.
| |
| 22 Jan | L |
Club Africai.
|
3:0
| Etoile Sahel.
|
Recent Matches of EGS Gafsa
Tunisia - Ligue 1| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ES Tunis | 30 | 57-22 | 66 |
| 2 |
US | 30 | 42-11 | 62 |
| 3 |
ES Sahel | 30 | 45-24 | 61 |
| 4 |
Club Africain | 30 | 36-19 | 56 |
| 5 |
ES Zarzis | 30 | 38-29 | 54 |
| 6 |
Stade Tunisien | 30 | 29-21 | 49 |
| 7 |
CS Sfaxien | 30 | 31-19 | 44 |
| 8 |
ES Metlaoui | 30 | 32-27 | 43 |
| 9 |
CA Bizertin | 30 | 29-28 | 35 |
| 10 |
US Ben | 30 | 30-34 | 32 |
| 11 |
Olympique | 30 | 19-37 | 29 |
| 12 |
AS Gabes | 30 | 20-38 | 28 |
| 13 |
AS Soliman | 30 | 17-42 | 27 |
| 14 |
Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 25-46 | 26 |
| 15 |
EGS Gafsa | 30 | 24-43 | 22 |
| 16 |
US Tataouine | 30 | 19-53 | 19 |
