Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Tunisia
Preview
The Tunisian Ligue 1 serves up an intriguing battle this weekend as ES Zarzis hosts US Tataouine at the Complexe Sportif Abdessalem Kazouz. With kickoff set for 14:30 GMT on April 19, 2025, this matchup promises tension, tactical grit, and—if the stats are to be believed—precious few goals. Let’s break down why the numbers favor a cagey affair and how you can turn that insight into smart betting moves.
Neither Zarzis nor Tataouine are fighting for the title, but that doesn’t mean this game lacks importance. Mid-table security, local bragging rights, and momentum for the season’s final stretch are all on the line. Zarzis, with a squad valued at €3.50m, holds a financial edge over Tataouine’s €1.80m roster—though as we’ve seen in recent weeks, money isn’t everything. Tataouine’s budget might buy a decent espresso machine, but their grit is priceless, especially after shocking Olympique Beja in their last outing.
The bookmakers lean toward a home win, pricing Zarzis at 1.7, while a draw sits at 3.35 and an away victory at 4.5. At first glance, that seems fair—home teams in the Tunisian Ligue 1 win 42.9% of the time, while away victories are rare (just 23.3%). But here’s where it gets interesting: goals are scarcer than shade in the Sahara. Only 32.5% of matches in this league see more than 2.5 goals, and NerdyTips’ AI agrees, flagging ‘Under 2.5 goals’ as the smartest bet (odds: 1.56, trust rating: 8.0/10). The algorithm projects a 1-0 finish with a goalless first half, and given both teams’ recent defensive discipline, that’s hard to argue with.
If you’re tempted to dismiss Tataouine outright, think again. Their 1-2 upset against Olympique Beja (odds: 6.9) was a reminder that this team can punch above its weight. Zarzis, meanwhile, pulled off their own shocker with a 0-1 away win over ES Sahel (also at 6.9 odds). These results muddy the waters, suggesting that while Zarzis should edge it, Tataouine won’t roll over. Expect a physical, midfield-heavy battle where chances are few and far between.
With the referee’s influence neutral (no notable trends to report), this game hinges on execution. Here’s how to play it:
1. Prioritize ‘Under 2.5 goals’ (1.56 odds): The AI’s 8.0 confidence rating here is telling. Both teams prioritize structure over flair, and with so much at stake, risks will be minimal.
2. Lean toward Zarzis (1x2 prediction: ‘1’, confidence: 3.0): Home advantage matters, but don’t go heavy—Tataouine’s recent resilience warrants caution.
In short, the ES Zarzis vs US Tataouine prediction boils down to a low-scoring grind, with the hosts slightly favored. Whether you’re backing the trends or banking on another upset, one thing’s certain: don’t expect a goal fest.
Read More
U2.5 -179
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1791 -143
ES Zarzis is expected to win with odds of -143Under 2.5 -179
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -161
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -345
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
|
|
3
-
2
-
1
|
|
 ES Zarzis |
19-Apr-25
3:0
| US Tataouine  |
| US Tataouine |
22-Dec-24
1:1
| ES Zarzis |
| US Tataouine |
28-Apr-17
1:2
| ES Zarzis |
| ES Zarzis |
14-Mar-17
1:0
| US Tataouine |
| ES Zarzis |
15-Feb-17
1:1
| US Tataouine |
Recent Matches of ES Zarzis| 27 Jan | D |
Zarzis.
|
0:0
| Club Africai.
|
| 23 Jan | L |
JS Omrane.
|
2:1
| Zarzis.
|
Recent Matches of US Tataouine
Tunisia - Ligue 1| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ES Tunis | 30 | 57-22 | 66 |
| 2 |
US | 30 | 42-11 | 62 |
| 3 |
ES Sahel | 30 | 45-24 | 61 |
| 4 |
Club Africain | 30 | 36-19 | 56 |
| 5 |
ES Zarzis | 30 | 38-29 | 54 |
| 6 |
Stade Tunisien | 30 | 29-21 | 49 |
| 7 |
CS Sfaxien | 30 | 31-19 | 44 |
| 8 |
ES Metlaoui | 30 | 32-27 | 43 |
| 9 |
CA Bizertin | 30 | 29-28 | 35 |
| 10 |
US Ben | 30 | 30-34 | 32 |
| 11 |
Olympique | 30 | 19-37 | 29 |
| 12 |
AS Gabes | 30 | 20-38 | 28 |
| 13 |
AS Soliman | 30 | 17-42 | 27 |
| 14 |
Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 25-46 | 26 |
| 15 |
EGS Gafsa | 30 | 24-43 | 22 |
| 16 |
US Tataouine | 30 | 19-53 | 19 |
