Everton vs Leeds Prediction

Everton vs Leeds Prediction: Tactical Insights and Betting Tips

The Everton vs Leeds prediction for Monday, January 26, 2026, is shaping up to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the Premier League weekend. Both sides have plenty to prove at Hill Dickinson Stadium, with Everton hoping to climb into the European conversation and Leeds eager to distance themselves from the bottom half. Our Everton vs Leeds prediction dives deep into team news, tactical trends, and the latest betting tips to help you make an informed choice.

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form

Everton come into this contest with a mixed bag of results and, unfortunately for the Toffees, a laundry list of injuries. Jack Grealish, their creative heartbeat, is sidelined with a stress fracture, and the likes of Tim Iroegbunam, C. Alcaraz, K. Dewsbury-Hall, and J. Branthwaite are all expected to miss out as well. Michael Keane sits this one out due to suspension. There is a silver lining, though: Iliman Ndiaye returns from international duty, fresh off an Africa Cup of Nations win, and Thierno Barry is enjoying a purple patch after netting the winner against Aston Villa. James Garner’s new contract is another boost for David Moyes’ men, who are currently 10th in the table.

Leeds United, meanwhile, have had their own injury headaches. Anton Stach is racing against the clock to be fit, while Jaka Bijol and Daniel James remain doubts. However, the return to training for Joe Rodon, Sebastiaan Bornauw, and others is timely. Daniel Farke’s side sit 16th, but their recent 0-0 draw at Liverpool showed defensive grit and tactical discipline.

• Everton’s tactical approach under Moyes has been pragmatic, often relying on a 4-2-3.1 or 4-3.25 formation. Expect them to defend deep and look for quick transitions, especially with Grealish absent.
• Leeds United have shifted to a 3-5-2, aiming for central solidity and width from their wing-backs. Farke’s men like to control possession and press intelligently, morphing into a 3.25-5 when pushing forward.

Historically, Everton have the upper hand in recent head to head meetings, winning four of the last ten, with Leeds taking three and three ending all square. The last time these two met at Goodison, Everton ran out 3.1 winners, but earlier this season, Leeds edged a controversial 1-0 victory.

Key Stats and What to Expect

• Possession: Leeds are expected to edge the ball (53% to Everton’s 47%) as they try to dictate the tempo.
• Shots: Leeds are predicted to take 14 shots (5 on target), while Everton should manage 12 (3 on target).
• Corners: Expect a lively game on the flanks, with Leeds forecast to win 6 corners to Everton’s 4.
• Discipline: Everton may see more yellow cards, with 1 expected, while Leeds are predicted to keep their noses clean.
• Squad Value: Everton’s squad is valued at €401.65m, outstripping Leeds’ €3.1.03m, but recent form suggests the gap on the pitch may be narrower.

Both teams have been unpredictable of late. Everton have two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 per game. Leeds mirror that instability, with two wins, two draws, and a loss, but have scored slightly more at 1.6 per match.

Everton vs Leeds Prediction: AI Tips, Odds, and Betting Markets

Turning to the Everton vs Leeds prediction from our AI-powered models and expert analysis, the odds suggest a tight affair. Here’s how the main markets stack up:

1. Home Win: 2.55
2. Draw: 3.25
3. Away Win: 3.1

The best tip from NerdyTips is X2 (Leeds to win or draw), with a trust level of 5.2/10 and odds at 1.59. This reflects the sense that Leeds, despite being away, have enough in their locker to avoid defeat, especially with Everton’s injury woes.

• 1x2 Market Prediction: Our model leans towards an away win (2), with a confidence of 4.3 and odds of 3.1.
• Under/Over Market: Under 3.5 goals is favored, with a trust level of 2.9 and odds of 1.26. Both teams have been solid defensively and have struggled to score freely in recent weeks.
• Predicted Final Score: 1:2 in Leeds’ favor, with the first half expected to end goalless.

If you’re looking for betting tips, the stats suggest value in backing Leeds on the double chance (X2), especially considering their recent disciplined display at Anfield and Everton’s depleted squad. The under 3.5 goals market also looks appealing, given both teams’ recent scoring and defensive records.

Summary: Head to Head, Form, and Final Thoughts

To sum up this Everton vs Leeds prediction, the match promises to be a tactical battle, with both managers likely to play it safe early on. The head to head record slightly favors Everton, but Leeds’ recent resilience and Everton’s injury crisis tilt the balance towards the visitors. Expect a tight first half, but Leeds’ energy and tactical flexibility could see them edge it late. Our final Everton vs Leeds prediction: a narrow 2-1 win for Leeds, with under 3.5 goals and a strong case for backing Leeds on the double chance.

• Everton vs Leeds prediction: Away win or draw (X2) is the safest call.
• Look for under 3.5 goals in what should be a cagey affair.
• Leeds’ recent form and tactical discipline could make the difference.

Whatever your pick, this Premier League meeting has all the ingredients for a fascinating contest—on the pitch and at the bookies. Good luck, and may your bets be as well-prepared as Moyes’ midfield!