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Match Prediction

Famalicao vs Casa Pia Prediction

Finished
Portugal flag Portugal
Primeira Liga

Famalicao

€49.45m

16 May14:00
2 : 1

Casa Pia

€20.05m

Preview

Famalicao vs Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga

Famalicao vs Casa Pia Prediction: Primeira Liga’s Tightest Contest?

If you’re searching for the most insightful Famalicao vs Casa Pia prediction, you’ve landed in the right place. As the Primeira Liga season nears its finale, Famalicao and Casa Pia are set to lock horns at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho on May 16, 2025, at 19:00 GMT. With just one point separating Famalicao (8th, 44 pts) and Casa Pia (7th, 45 pts) after 33 matches, this encounter promises drama, tension, and a feast for both football fans and sports betting enthusiasts alike.

Setting the Stage: Neck-and-Neck in the Standings

The table doesn’t lie—these teams are as close as it gets. Famalicao, with a squad valued at €49.45 million, sits just behind Casa Pia, whose market value is €20.05 million. That’s a significant resource gap, but don’t let the numbers fool you. Casa Pia’s recent form, including a shock 2:1 victory over SC Braga (with odds of 6.0), proves they’re more than capable of upsetting the odds. Meanwhile, Famalicao showed their resilience with a thrilling 3:3 away draw against the same Braga side (odds 6.5), underlining their fighting spirit.

  • Famalicao win odds: 1.95
  • Draw odds: 3.5
  • Casa Pia win odds: 3.9

The betting odds favor the home side, but only just. With both teams so closely matched in the standings and recent results, this is as tight as Primeira Liga fixtures come.

NerdyTips AI Prediction: Trust in the Numbers

Our NerdyTips AI has crunched the stats, and here’s the lowdown for your Famalicao vs Casa Pia prediction:

  • Most promising bet: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.33, trust score 6.9/10)
  • Predicted full-time score: Famalicao 2:0 Casa Pia
  • Predicted halftime score: 0:0
  • 1x2 prediction: Famalicao win (confidence 3.5, odds 1.95)

The AI’s confidence in under 3.5 goals is hard to ignore (trust 7.0, odds 1.33). Why? Because only 26.8% of Primeira Liga matches see more than 3.5 goals. In other words, expecting a goal-fest here would be like expecting a Portuguese summer without sunshine—possible, but not likely!

What to Expect on the Pitch

Let’s break down the expected match dynamics:

  1. Famalicao is set to control 55% of the possession, aiming for 12 shots (4 on target).
  2. Casa Pia should see 45% possession, with 6 shots (2 on target).
  3. We’re looking at 9 corners—6 for Famalicao, 3 for Casa Pia.
  4. Discipline will be key: 2 yellow cards for the hosts, 3 for the visitors.

With both teams disciplined and competitive, expect a tactical battle rather than a wild shootout. The last head to head, back on July 27, 2024, ended 2:0 for Famalicao—a result our AI expects to repeat.

Primeira Liga Trends: Home Edge, But Don’t Rule Out Surprises

The league-wide stats back up our Famalicao vs Casa Pia prediction:

  • Home teams win 43.5% of matches
  • Away teams win 32.4%
  • Draws occur 23.9% of the time
  • Both teams score in 48.5% of games
  • Over 1.5 goals in 72% of matches
  • Over 2.5 in 48.6%
  • Over 3.5 in just 26.8%

So, the AI’s under 3.5 goals tip isn’t just “nerdy”—it’s logical. With Famalicao’s home advantage and Casa Pia’s habit of springing surprises, a 2:0 win for the hosts with a clean sheet is more than plausible.

Final Thoughts: Data-Driven, But Never Dull

Primeira Liga football is always full of surprises, but the numbers point to a low-scoring, hard-fought contest. Whether you’re a casual fan or a seasoned bettor, our Famalicao vs Casa Pia prediction leans towards a home win, under 3.5 goals, and a disciplined battle where every detail could make the difference. As always, trust the data—but remember, in Portuguese football, expect the unexpected!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Famalicao vs Casa Pia

U3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 -105

Famalicao is expected to win with odds of -105
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No 102

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -233

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
2
6
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
2.2
1.6
Goals Scored
0.8
1.4
Goals Against
1.4
48%
Possession
47%
10.5
Total Shots
6.9
4
Shots on Goal
2.4
4.2
Shots off Goal
3.3
15.6
Fouls
14.2
5.2
Corners
3.3
0.9
Offsides
1.7
2.4
Yellow Cards
3
0.1
Red Cards
0.2
358
Total Passes
349

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
2
9
Over 1.5 Goals
6
8
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
8
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Famalicao
4 - 1 - 2
Casa Pia
Famalicao Famalicao 16-May-25
2:1
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Casa Pia Casa Pia 05-Jan-25
1:1
Famalicao Famalicao
Famalicao Famalicao 27-Jul-24
2:0
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Famalicao Famalicao 17-May-24
1:2
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Casa Pia Casa Pia 13-Jan-24
0:2
Famalicao Famalicao
Famalicao Famalicao 13-Mar-23
1:0
Casa Pia Casa Pia

Profile time Recent Matches of Famalicao

06 DecL Famalicao Famalicao.
1:2
Braga. Braga

Profile time Recent Matches of Casa Pia

06 DecLSanta Clara Santa Clara.
1:0
Casa Pia.Casa Pia

Portugal - Primeira Liga Portugal - Primeira Liga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Sporting CP Sporting CP34
88-27
82
2 Benfica Benfica34
84-28
80
3 FC Porto FC Porto34
65-30
71
4 SC Braga SC Braga34
55-30
66
5 Santa Clara Santa Clara34
36-32
57
6 Guimaraes Guimaraes34
47-37
54
7 Famalicao Famalicao34
44-39
47
8 Estoril Estoril34
48-53
46
9 Casa Pia Casa Pia34
39-44
45
10 Moreirense Moreirense34
42-50
40
11 Rio Ave Rio Ave34
39-55
38
12 Arouca Arouca34
35-49
38
13 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente34
34-47
34
14 Nacional Nacional34
32-50
34
15 Estrela Estrela34
24-50
29
16 AVS AVS34
25-60
27
17 Farense Farense34
25-46
27
18 Boavista Boavista34
24-59
24
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